JML Tuesday >>>

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Back from a long weekend holiday at a cottage in Muskoka...missed alot of bases this weekend...lots of games today catch my eye...

Angels -120 (Lackey) vs Tigers - 2 Units
They don't come more solid than Lackey, who's held teams under 3 runs 8 of 9 starts. Maroth coming off some kind of viral infection, hasn't pitched in 11 days and might be on a pitch count...Angels also hit lefties well.

Blue Jays +100 (Burnett) vs Orioles - 2 Units
AJ has been one of the hottest pitchers in MLB the past month, including a 3 hit CG against these same O's last start. He has 30 strikeouts in his last 3 starts...is going deep into games, and has been as dominant as I have seen him since he signed. To get him as a dog against a mediocre opponent he has owned in the past almost makes me hard.

Mariners +112 (Washburn) vs Drays - 2 Units
Battle of two similar lefties...but Kazmir has been a little inconsistant, and a little wild (6 walks, 109 pitches over ONLY 4 innings last start)...and you WANT to get to the TB bullpen! M's also hit lefties very well.

Nationals +153 (Chico) vs Reds - 1 Unit
Nats have sure been getting alot of value lately for a team that isn't playing too poorly...nice line here going against the equally bad Reds who throw journeyman Saarloos into the rotation out of the pen with a 5 ERA. Chico pitching decent as of late coming off 3 quality starts in a row. No reason this shouldn't be a pick'em.

Twins -170 (Santana) vs Rangers - 3 Units
Johan not receiving much help lately, but is still his dominant self, and I'll back him to get a much needed win today on a number unusually under -200. Twins should be able to get the 3 runs of Loe that Johan needs.

Indians -155 (Carmona) vs Royals - 3.5 Units
I'll eat some juice here as well with the Central's best facing the worst. Carmona might be the best young righthander in the AL so far this year, and Odalis is bound to blow up against this great Tribe lineup after pitching well of late...he is anything but consistant.

Pirates +123 (Duke) vs Cards - 1 Unit
Why is STL still getting all these fav lines? They might be the best fade all year (well, except for NYY), beacuse they are the champs, but are a very different team this year with no pitching and slumping, over the hill sluggers...even Albert is off to a slow start. Still we get a fairly big dog line facing the brutal Wainwright with a decent lefty in Duke facing the Cards who cannot hit lefties worth a **** (.224).

Enjoy the games...

[gadfly36]

gl jml

[Longhorn Fan]

GL JML. I love the Twins and Tribe. A litle leary of Tor they seem to be a different team on the road. Washington's pen could screw up a good start by Chico and Angels facing Maroth who Detroit has found a way to win every one of his starts 7-0.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Originally Posted by Longhorn Fan

GL JML. I love the Twins and Tribe. A litle leary of Tor they seem to be a different team on the road. Washington's pen could screw up a good start by Chico and Angels facing Maroth who Detroit has found a way to win every one of his starts 7-0.

Thanks Hook'em! and

Yeah...the Jays are not great on the road for sure, but the play is mostly on AJ's recent dominance...I'd play him in Cal Ripken's basement as a dog right now against a .455 team who he almost no-hit last week.

As for the Nats play...the bullpen didn't really come into play there as Cincy's bullpen is actually worse ERA-wise, and they are both ranked about the same overall..I only take bullpen's into consideration when capping a game if there is a BIG discrepency between the two....but even that is rare, and usually it comes down to capping the starters, offence, lefty/righty trends and hope for the best at the end.

Yeah...Maroth has got the run support this year, and got a bit lucky to have his team win all his starts...but I doubt Detroit goes 35-0 when he takes the hill this year, and like I said...he could be rusty and a tad weak after the long layoff due to a virus. Lackey a good pitcher in his own right (probably even better than Maroth actually)...so I feel I'm on the right side as a near pick'em...we'll see.

GL Longhorn

[rjp]

GL JML!

[joepa66]

GL today Leaf....I'll be all over them scalpers again today as they have won 10 series this season. Took them until August to do that last year. Also backing the Padres cause it's National Maritime Day and backing the Mariners as well....

[birdsfan5]

Gl JML

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Thanks guys...looking into that Phils/Marlins Under....2 pretty good lefties, and Prof has some good info...

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Damn...if the Tribe wouldn't have blown that 3-0 lead it woulda been like a 10 unit day. I'll take the 5-2, +4.5 units though...

[joepa66]

Nice work Leaf....
Same for me....coulda shoulda woulda went 4-2 & +2 units if they could have held on to that lead.....