MLB Monday 6/25

[Stifler's Mom]

ytd 285-275 (+53.07 units)

Tampon Bay -135

Pretty sad when Tampon Bay is -135 against you and Kazmir is not pitching. The White Sox blow and can't hit LHP worth a ****, or any other pitching for that matter. In addition, their once unhittable bullpen is about the ****tiest in the league now. Not crazy about laying juice with TB, but honestly, when I see TB favored over someone by this much, you gotta know the oddsmakers think they've got a great chance to win

Colorado Rockies -105

Cubs also blow vs LHP, although I must admit they have improved. Still, this is the red hot Jeff Francis they're facing tonight, and a Rockies line up that was also hot until getting shut down by McGowan yesterday. I don't know that they all have suddenly gone cold because of one bad day. I'll take my chances.

Arizona Diamondbacks +125

Owings has proven to be solid. I believe the Dodgers are fading, and will contunue to do so, since they can't seem to produce too many runs on a consistant basis, even against average to poor pitching. Sure, they have their moments when they break out a pile, but again, I'll take my chances with Owings and what I think is actually probably the better team in Arizona as a decent sized home dog tonight.

KC Royals +275
KC/LA Angels over 8.5

Talk about a f'd up line. Lackey may not even be healthy. KC isn't this ****in bad. I don't care if John Thomson sucks, I will blindly take a stab at almost 3/1 odds anytime with a pitcher who is very questionable with a shoulder injury. Also played the over for the same reason. If KC can get to 4, the worst I can do is break even here, even if Thomson gets hammered....plus I have a chance of either one of these teams getting to this low total by themselves with a questionable Lackey and a ****ty Thomson. I can't believe the public isn't all over this one. I mean ****, they usually play practically every other over on the board every day, and then when you have a game with an injured pitcher facing a ****ty one, they only play it at 57%? Baffles my mind.

2 units each

Will probably be adding a few more. More than likely a few "value plays", as well as a possible play on the SF/SD game. Need to do some research on that one yet, and I'm about out of time for now.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

GL....like the plays...nice to see you on Colorado...it was McGowan yesterday, but the point remains the same....Colorado has had the hots bats....and just ran into a pitcher with nasty stuff. Add in Francis, and it is the POD, IMO.

Love the OVER as well....Lackey is a question mark, and Thomson couldn't even crack the Jays top 10 starters (5 diff callups b/c of injuries ahead of him) before being released from AAA.

GL

[birdsfan5]

GL Stif

[Stifler's Mom]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

GL....like the plays...nice to see you on Colorado...it was McGowan yesterday, but the point remains the same....Colorado has had the hots bats....and just ran into a pitcher with nasty stuff. Add in Francis, and it is the POD, IMO.

Love the OVER as well....Lackey is a question mark, and Thomson couldn't even crack the Jays top 10 starters (5 diff callups b/c of injuries ahead of him) before being released from AAA.

GL

My bad. I was in a hurry, lol. At least I got the "M" right

And, the point remains the same. Getting shut down by one good pitcher, doesn't mean they all of a sudden are ****ty or cold, and I believe Marquis blows. A few decent starts this year doesn't change the fact that he's been average to ****ty his whole career, and I think his true form has started showing a bit more lately, and will continue to do so.

[PhillyFan3]

gl tonight STIFF...on Colorado, took KC at the RL(+125)...yea Lackey is having shoulder problems and he is still a -275 fave, crazy

[Underdog88]

GL today Stif....with you on TB & the Rockies. Great job so far this season

[Stifler's Mom]

Washington Nationals +170

2 units

Decided to play on this seemingly crazy line too. Just can't understand how the Braves can be nearly -200 with the way they are playing.

Also probably going to play on Toronto, Houston and SF yet unless I can find good reason not to.

[Underdog88]

Originally Posted by Stifler's Mom

Washington Nationals +170

2 units

Decided to play on this seemingly crazy line too. Just can't understand how the Braves can be nearly -200 with the way they are playing.

I can't believe this line either. IMO a classic case of shading a line based on public perception. The Braves are playing horrid- .205 batting in the last 7 games. Hinnings has pitched well vs the Braves- 13 ip, 1 run on 3 hits this season. I like it as well

[homedawg]

GL Stif

[Stifler's Mom]

Yep. That's the way I saw it too. Same with KC. I mean granted, the Angels should obviously be favored, but IMO -180 to -200 should be more than plenty to get even action there. The public is in love with Lackey though, and still is on their KC sucks kick as well, so -300 or more it is i guess. And honestly, I would have played KC at +175 or so given the current situation. Getting +275 was a gift IMO, and that's one of those games where I bet alot of people parlayed the Angels with other plays, thinking it's one of those can't lose games, and it just might turn out to be a huge game for the books if KC wins it.

Well anyway, I decided to go with all 3 of these:

Houston +165
Toronto -140
SF Giants -105

2 units each

[Stifler's Mom]

Kaz Matsui and Stephen Drew can both lick my scrotum. Nice fielding