Tater, Round-Tripper, Yard, 4-Bagger Contest

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

What the ****...might as well make it interesting....going with a couple lefties and that short porch in right.

Prince Fielder +390
Hopefully the fat bassard doesn't have a heart attack before the finals.

Justin Morneau +613
Playing a hunch.

1/2 Unit Each

Alexis Rios +1400 - 1/4 Unit
Incredible value, and I wanted to add a righty.

Vlad Guerrero UNDER 6.5 HRs first round +110 - 1 Unit
Fade, fade, fade.

[chickameng33]

Nice Lines..... GL JML

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Added Rios at a staggering +1400...if righties do indeed have the advantage, then he's as good as any of 'em.

[flmmkrz]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

Added Rios at a staggering +1400...if righties do indeed have the advantage, then he's as good as any of 'em.

I added him as well after what you wrote in the other thread. Too good a price if the field favors right handed bats but I can't say he's as good as any of em, Pujols is a right handed bat as is Vlad. I'd love to see Rios do it if Morneau doesn't tho.

[PhillyFan20]

I ended up taking Rios too. Along with Magglio ..... just to make it more interesting.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Originally Posted by flmmkrz

I added him as well after what you wrote in the other thread. Too good a price if the field favors right handed bats but I can't say he's as good as any of em, Pujols is a right handed bat as is Vlad. I'd love to see Rios do it if Morneau doesn't tho.

Well...I'd say right now he's as good at hitting HR's as those two, probably better than Vlad. Guerrero really isn't that big of a basher anymore...he hasn't hit 40 since his early days in Montreal (2000), is coming off 33/32 type HR years, and only has 14 this year. Albert has one less that Rios (16), and while he probably is the better HR hitter, there is some value on Rios at +1400.

Vlad has the least value out of all of the contestants IMO, as he is a big name, but will not make it out of the first round...he will hit about 9 gap doubles though! lol.

I still think Prince wins it though...

[flmmkrz]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

Well...I'd say right now he's as good at hitting HR's as those two, probably better than Vlad. Guerrero really isn't that big of a basher anymore...he hasn't hit 40 since his early days in Montreal (2000), is coming off 33/32 type HR years, and only has 14 this year. Albert has one less that Rios (16), and while he probably is the better HR hitter, there is some value on Rios at +1400.

Vlad has the least value out of all of the contestants IMO, as he is a big name, but will not make it out of the first round...he will hit about 9 gap doubles though! lol.

I still think Prince wins it though...

lmao

I don't think Prince has the stamina to win it especially if any of the other guys push him early and force him to put up big numbers in the 1st round. 3 rounds of swinging for the fences when the guys winded running to first?

[PhillyFan20]

Originally Posted by flmmkrz

I don't think Prince has the stamina to win it especially if any of the other guys push him early and force him to put up big numbers in the 1st round. 3 rounds of swinging for the fences when the guys winded running to first?

I think Rios has a legit shot at winning it. Most of the other guys are bigger and will try to push it early on Rios who is a leadoff hitter has some power and I think should be able to pace himself.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Originally Posted by flmmkrz

I don't think Prince has the stamina to win it especially if any of the other guys push him early and force him to put up big numbers in the 1st round. 3 rounds of swinging for the fences when the guys winded running to first?

Ladies and gentleman....you're reigning Home Run Derby champ...



lol.


Seriously though....you make a good point, and as you can see I thought about it in my original post....but I guess you just have to go on "gut" feelings with these contests (pardon the pun).

[flmmkrz]

Well lets hope for a Morneau and Rios final so we're both guaranteed some cash

[homedawg]

GL JML I like Rios alot, but went with the HRD experienced, Vlad(just hope he dont tank, like the last time)

Hope Rios cashes for you...

[flmmkrz]

wow this line movement for the derby is pretty interesting

Rios + 1400 to + 1054 at pinny

Morneau was +650 when I got it, +613 when you got it jml and now is +750

Vlad upto +1000

Pujols from +400 to + 359

howard and fielder still holding steady as far as I can tell

looks like moneys coming in on Rios

[homedawg]

lookin' at the totals by rounds movement last 2hrs:


1st 51.5 to 53.5

2nd 27.5 to 28.5

3rd 12.5 to 12.5


public beatin' the hell outta the overs, 1st and 2nd round questionable, 3rd round looks good...


2006 - PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Ryan Howard Phillies 8 10 5 23
David Wright Mets 16 2 4 22
Miguel Cabrera Marlins 9 6 -- 15
David Ortiz Red Sox 10 3 -- 13
Jermaine Dye White Sox 7 -- -- 7
Miguel Tejada Orioles 3 -- -- 3
Lance Berkman Astros 3 -- -- 3
Troy Glaus Blue Jays 1 -- -- 1


2005 - Comerica Park, Detroit
Player Country Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Bobby Abreu Venezuela 24 6 11 41
Ivan Rodriguez Puerto Rico 7 8 5 20
Carlos Lee Panama 11 4 -- 15
David Ortiz Dominican Republic 17 3 -- 20
Hee-Seop Choi Korea 5 -- -- 5
Andruw Jones Netherlands 5 -- -- 5
Mark Teixeira United States 2 -- -- 2
Jason Bay Canada 0 -- -- 0


2004 - Minute Maid Park, Houston
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Miguel Tejada Orioles 7 15 5 27
Lance Berkman Astros 7 10 4 21
Rafael Palmeiro Orioles 9 5 -- 14
Barry Bonds Giants 8 3 -- 11
Sammy Sosa Cubs 5 -- -- 5
Jim Thome Phillies 4 -- -- 4
Hank Blalock Rangers 3 -- -- 3
David Ortiz Red Sox 3 -- -- 3


2003 - U.S. Cellular Field, Chicago
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Garret Anderson Angels 7 6 9 22
Albert Pujols Cardinals 4 14 8 26
Jason Giambi Yankees 12 11 -- 23
Jim Edmonds Cardinals 4 4 -- 8
Gary Sheffield Braves 4 -- -- 4
Carlos Delgado Blue Jays 2 -- -- 2
Richie Sexson Brewers 1 -- -- 1
Bret Boone Mariners 0 -- -- 0


2002 - Miller Park, Milwaukee
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Jason Giambi Yankees 11 6 7 24
Sammy Sosa Cubs 12 5 1 18
Paul Konerko White Sox 6 6 -- 12
Richie Sexson Brewers 6 4 -- 10
Torii Hunter Twins 3 -- -- 3
Barry Bonds Giants 2 -- -- 2
Alex Rodriguez Rangers 2 -- -- 2
Lance Berkman Astros 1 -- -- 2
Note: Giambi advanced to the finals after winning a swingoff with Konerko.


2001 - Safeco Field, Seattle
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Luis Gonzalez Diamondbacks 5 5 6 16
Sammy Sosa Cubs 3 8 2 13
Jason Giambi Athletics 14 6 -- 20
Barry Bonds Giants 7 3 -- 10
Bret Boone Mariners 3 -- -- 3
Todd Helton Rockies 2 -- -- 2
Alex Rodriguez Rangers 2 -- -- 2
Troy Glaus Angels 0 -- -- 0


2000 - Turner Field, Atlanta
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Sammy Sosa Cubs 6 11 9 26
Ken Griffey Jr. Reds 6 3 2 11
Carl Everett Red Sox 6 6 -- 12
Carlos Delgado Blue Jays 5 1 -- 6
Vladimir Guerrero Expos 2 -- -- 2
Edgar Martinez Mariners 2 -- -- 2
Chipper Jones Braves 2 -- -- 2
Ivan Rodriguez Rangers 1 -- -- 1


1999 - Fenway Park, Boston
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Ken Griffey Jr. Mariners 3 10 3 16
Jeromy Burnitz Brewers 6 6 2 14
Mark McGwire Cardinals 13 3 -- 16
Jeff Bagwell Astros 5 1 -- 6
Shawn Green Blue Jays 2 -- -- 2
B.J. Surhoff Orioles 2 -- -- 2
Nomar Garciaparra Red Sox 2 -- -- 2
Larry Walker Rockies 2 -- -- 2
John Jaha Athletics 1 -- -- 1
Sammy Sosa Cubs 1 -- -- 1


1998 - Coors Field, Denver
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Ken Griffey Jr. Mariners 8 8 3 19
Jim Thome Indians 7 8 3 17
Vinny Castilla Rockies 7 5 -- 12
Rafael Palmeiro Orioles 7 3 -- 10
Moises Alou Astros 7 -- -- 7
Javy Lopez Braves 5 -- -- 5
Alex Rodriguez Mariners 5 -- -- 5
Mark McGwire Cardinals 4 -- -- 4
Damion Easley Tigers 2 -- -- 2
Chipper Jones Braves 1 -- -- 1
Note: First-round ties were broken based on home runs hit by a player to that point in the season.


1997 - Jacobs Field, Cleveland
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Tino Martinez Yankees 5 8 3 16
Larry Walker Rockies 9 9 1 19
Mark McGwire Athletics 5 2 -- 7
Jeff Bagwell Astros 4 1 -- 5
Brady Anderson Orioles 4 -- -- 4
Ken Griffey Jr. Mariners 3 -- -- 3
Chipper Jones Braves 3 -- -- 3
Ray Lankford Cardinals 2 -- -- 2
Nomar Garciaparra Red Sox 0 -- -- 0
Jim Thome Indians 0 -- -- 0


1996 - Veterans Stadium - Philadelphia
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Barry Bonds Giants 4 10 3 17
Mark McGwire Athletics 4 9 2 15
Brady Anderson Orioles 5 6 -- 11
Jay Buhner Mariners 6 2 -- 8
Henry Rodriguez Expos 3 -- -- 3
Jeff Bagwell Astros 2 -- -- 2
Joe Carter Blue Jays 2 -- -- 2
Ellis Burks Rockies 1 -- -- 1
Gary Sheffield Marlins 0 -- -- 0
Greg Vaughn Brewers 0 -- -- 0


1995 - The Ballpark in Arlington, Texas
Player Team Round 1 Round 2 Finals Total HRs
Frank Thomas White Sox 8 4 3 15
Albert Belle Indians 7 7 2 16
Mo Vaughn Red Sox 3 3 -- 6
Ron Gant Reds 3 3 -- 6
Manny Ramirez Indians 3 -- -- 3
Raul Mondesi Dodgers 2 -- -- 2
Reggie Sanders Reds 2 -- -- 2
Sammy Sosa Cubs 2 -- -- 2

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Added a fade of Guerrero...he is the most overrated player in this thing, IMO...he's not much of a homerun hitter any more, and the previous time he did compete in this thing, when he was more of a masher (2000) he only hit 2 in the first round, and was eliminated. We'll see.

[homedawg]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

Added a fade of Guerrero...he is the most overrated player in this thing, IMO...he's not much of a homerun hitter any more, and the previous time he did compete in this thing, when he was more of a masher (2000) he only hit 2 in the first round, and was eliminated. We'll see.

he was playin' for Canada then... must have been the water...