JML Tuesday >>>

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

MLB YTD: 219-201, +11.63 Units

Well...good day yesterday going 4-0 for just over 5 units profit. Woke up today, and absolutely loved the card, so it's a full day for me...

Tigers -111 (Bonderman) vs White Sox - 2 Units
Bonderman usually good for 7+ innings, and 3 ER's or less every start...real steady guy...so with that lineup behind him, Bonderman just gets it done...I'll take this matchup on a very low number against the awful Chisox (who are now tied with KC for last in the Central) any day.

Drays +102 (Kazmir) vs Orioles - 2 Units
Tampa comes into Baltimore after getting hammered by the Yanks, and will no doubt be looking for some redemption with their ace on the hill. Wrong team favoured here, IMO with Kazmir pitching the best he has all year, and Cabrera struggling, giving up tons of walks, and 5 ERs per start. Not sure why we get TB as a dog here...just because they gave up football type scores to the Yanks? Well...the O's aren't the Yanks, and Kazmir is better than that.

Brewers -136 (Gallardo) vs Reds - 2 Units
This Gallardo kid has been amazing, and I like him to pick up the win for the Brewers, after losing a close one last night to these lowly Reds. Belilse will give up runs, and serve up long ball in that park...the Brewers can hit the long ball with the best of 'em.

Cubs -134 (Zambrano) vs Cardinals - 3 Units
Nobody's been better than Zambrano since his dugout fight (except maybe Young), and the Cubs were the NL's hottest team before these back to back losses against Zona. I like Zambrano, and the returning Derek Lee to get the Cubs back to winning tonight. Really expected this to be -160 or so.

Yankees -233 (Wang) vs Royals - 4 Units
I know...too much chalk, but the Yanks are absolutely destroying these bottom feeder teams. I liked them at -170 yesterday with Clemens/Perez....so how can I not excpect the Yanks best starter, Wang to win over KC's worst, Elarton the next night? I mean, Elarton was getting hammered all year, and is now making his first start after being on the DL for the past month, and was hammered in his rehab starts in the minors to a tune of 21 runs over 26 innings. I guess that gets you called up in Kansas. Now he gets to face the hottest bats in the mlb all year? Just like yesterday, worth the huge chalk IMO...if KC wins...my hats' off to 'em.

Padres/Rockies UNDER 9.5 -111 (Young/Jimenez) - 3 Units
Was looking at playing the insanely hot Young, but when I saw that this total wasn't 7.5 or 8, I jumped on this instead. Don't get this at all....maybe it's because of Coors field, but Young is virtually unhittable, rarely gives up more than 1 or 2 runs, and plays for one of the worst hitting clubs in mlb. This Jimenez kid apparentely has nasty stuff, and showed well in his first mlb start. Bottom line is...I don't see Young giving up more than 3 runs at the worst (more likely 1!), and I don't see SD getting more than 4 or 5 on their best day...so why is this total 9.5?

Braves -128 (Hudson) vs Giants - 3 Units
Hudson's been great, and is one of the NL's best...Giants blow bad, are one of the NL's weakest teams, and Morris has been getting absolutely lit up lately...serving up 17 runs over his last 3 starts.

Big day....looks like I got $950 on the board today...alot for me....GL everyone!

[ncsucharlie]

best of luck to you today! I'm on most of the same teams today! I thought the Cubs would be a much bigger favorite myself .. I imagine that Cubs line will be moving before the game tonight.

[Hoosier]

good stuff JML. like the picks and the write-ups.

money money money

[emv01]

GL JML..We have a very similiar card today...I like the Yanks to just can't play that juice..Still thinking about the Rays and the Braves will prolly def be an added play as well..The Giants are a joke..

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

emv...thanks! Yeah...saw your card...pretty much the same. Stayed away from LA though...Houston actually a good home team, they hit lefties pretty decent, and Hendrickson blows. Anyway...GL!

Yanks

lol

[Underdog88]

GL JML.... Like the Braves & Cubs

[flmmkrz]

GL jml, I havent finished deciding what im playing in the late games but I'm leaning the same way in almost all your plays. Might take the O's tho

[Low]

GL..today..JML ...like your card

[Stifler's Mom]

I am thinking the same on the Rockies/SD under. Everyone is on that under though (literally), so I'm torn between thinking I'm missing something, or maybe it's just that they really can't set a total lower than 9.5 at Coors field.

If i knew which, it would be an easy play to make either way, lol....but I agree, I don't see that one getting to 10 runs.

GL

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Everyone is on that Under, yet the line is moving the other way...currently +103 on the 9.5 Under, and moving to 10.

GL, Stif...how bout the Yanks by 2? lol

[Daddy Diego]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

Padres/Rockies UNDER 9.5 -111 (Young/Jimenez) - 3 Units
Was looking at playing the insanely hot Young, but when I saw that this total wasn't 7.5 or 8, I jumped on this instead. Don't get this at all....maybe it's because of Coors field, but Young is virtually unhittable, rarely gives up more than 1 or 2 runs, and plays for one of the worst hitting clubs in mlb. This Jimenez kid apparentely has nasty stuff, and showed well in his first mlb start. Bottom line is...I don't see Young giving up more than 3 runs at the worst (more likely 1!), and I don't see SD getting more than 4 or 5 on their best day...so why is this total 9.5?

I'll admit I was impressed by Ubaldo's performance in his 1st start but in like 20 starts in AAA he's got over 5 ERA... he was much worse in CO than on the road... I say the Pads put up 5 or 6. Look at how little value there is on the Pads RL. I'm on the Pads just in case this game gets out of control in the pens, but the under is a good thought as well. GL!

[Stifler's Mom]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

Everyone is on that Under, yet the line is moving the other way...currently +103 on the 9.5 Under, and moving to 10.

GL, Stif...how bout the Yanks by 2? lol

LOL, Yanks by 2 works great for me. I actually have Yanks ML in a system play (but only for 1 tiny unit, lol), so that works for me.

BTW, you have any idea why Adam Dumb is still in the majors? Guy can't field, can't run, can't hit, etc....what the **** is he any good for? The once a week he closes his eyes, swings really hard and actually makes contact and hits a home run? What a joke he is. And what's worse is that there is talk of contending teams wanting that buffoon. If i were the Reds, I'd send his ass packing to anyone who wanted him and be happy for anything I could get in return. If no one wanted him, I'd cut the piece of **** outright. I wouldn't even care if i had to pay him to sit at home. I'd rather do that than have him costing my team runs in the field and crushing rallies every night. He's just horrible

[Stifler's Mom]

Or Yanks by 20.....after 1 inning. LMFAO at Elar**** and his quirky windup. I wish they'd just yank his sorry ass now and bring the pen in. KC actually has a half respectable bullpen lately, lol

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Adam Dunn...lol, yeah....what a waste, it would be frustrating to have him on a team I cheered for...especially when teams put him in the middle of the order because he hits some home runs, and you are supposed to have power in the 4-6 holes....but more often than not it's a rally killer in the middle of the order. I think he's FF's favourite player, however.

Yanks bats have been insane...and against a scrub like Elarton, I had to lay the chalk again. I am usually against a Yank line like these last two, but with the way their bats have been, and Clemens/Wang pitching, I think it's worth it. I mean, Elarton was getting pounded in his rehab assignments pretty bad, so I figured Arod and the boys would really tee off.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

wtf happened to Chris Young? He's left his no-hitter in the third...