Daddy's MLB Wild Wild West Wednesday (7.25)

[Daddy Diego]

Love the fact that I'm at work with nothing to do this afternoon, and my A's get to take another crack at the Angels. I'll be on PROTRADE's fan gamecenter while watching MLB.tv if anybody is bored. Not happy to see Lackey on the mound though, he's the sweep stopper... he dominates the A's. First however, I'm starting with the Rockies since they're earlier.

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PADRES/ROCKIES = ROCK PILE (-130) = *6.5 UNITS

- At first glance I think alot of people will hop on the Padres as a doggie, and I appreciate them keeping the line on this reasonable. The Padres pen is just shot. They had to toss 5 relievers out there last night and still barely hung on to win it. Linebrink has not been too good this year (1/6 in save opportunities) and we can pretty much bank on him coming in at some point. Also, Germano may be a new sensation this year, but he's seen the Rockies a few times, and he owes his shortest outting of his career (2 IP) to a Blake St. bombing in 2004. Although this is a different Colorado team, they're equally productive. The Padres are coming into the home stretch of a 17-day game streak (13th-29th), and I have to immagine that being the lowest daytime run producing team, the Padres might be a little slower today up a mile high. Alot of Rockies streaks were broken last night (consecutive home HRs, consecutive home wins). The Rockies are 22-3 at home if they score at least 5 runs.... with the total at 10.5 (going up despite public on the under), I like my chances against Germano, who's only decent outing recently was against the D-Backs, the most unbalanced offensive team this year IMO. Holliday and Helton are #1 and #2 current RBI leaders vs. the Padres, they should get some production today (Holliday CRUSHES righties). Cookie is one of my favorite undervalued pitchers, and he always deals against the Padres, only losing when he's up against Peavy, and even then by only a run. I like Germano, but he is not Peavy. Cookie has QS in 4 of his last 5 with hitters only knocking .178 during those 5 starts. I think he can work through his difficulties at home, as I must admit the Padres today sound like an easy challenge.


ATHLETICS/ANGLES = TBD


Back soon... BOLT!

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DADDY DIEGO

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

I read Vladdy is out of the lineup today for the Halos....

[Daddy Diego]

ATHLETICS/ANGELS = A's (+160) = *5 UNITS

- As Johnny pointed out, no Vladdy today, in fact both lineups are looking a little weak, but the A's just got Street back today and should be able to win this one at any time with Shields and Speier might be working back to back days as they have stuggled a little recently. Prediction "A's pull the sweep in this one thanks to a Donnie Murphy RBI single in the 7th." LOL.


Could end up +13 Units if today works out... at which point I will only hop on the Tigers for tonight... and just forget the rest of the west. BOLT!

[Hoosier]

great info man. GL Daddy!

[Daddy Diego]

That Rockies game played out perfectly. Should have gone bigger after I found out how much I liked that one, but oh well... baby steps back to even. Tonight... I like a couple. Call the cops, cause I just can't keep my hands off of these.

DODGERS/ASTROS = DODGERS (-150) = *7.5 UNITS

1. Lowe vs. Albers = No Brainer. Lowe is going to bounce back.
2. Houston pen is stretched thin... Dodgers got alot of fire power rested.
3. You don't need to know anymore than that.


MARINERS/RANGERS = MARINERS (-115) = *5.75 UNITS


** NON-WEST TAIL OF THE DAY ** = TIGERS (-135) = *5.4 UNITS

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Other West games tonight....

MARLINS/D-BACKS = TBD

BRAVES/GIANTS = TBD

[Daddy Diego]

Going to pass on the last two... Lean on the Braves (-110)... might still pull the trigger at game time, just feel I lost my chance to cash in last night. Just going to ride the three above for now...


PS - Thank you Rob Bowen for the pass ball in the bottom of the 9th that allowed the Angels to win it on Izturis' single. They still might have anyways... (not on that single) but with that comeback in the 9th and the no. 8 hitter coming up, 2 outs... just a stupid play that lost the game. So thanks again asswad, try catching the ball next time, block it if need be... it is your job.

[emv01]

Any thoughts on the Fish/Snakes game?

[Daddy Diego]

Can't back Olsen... and D-Backs are my team to fade. Webb ain't worth the -165 with that offense against a lefty... I'd say the Under +100 would be my best bet. Webb SHOULD be on his game, and both pens have been solid and are rested. But that's a very slight lean. I like the Braves more tonight. Should be Soriano out there to shut things down tonight.