Detroit/Angels SNB Opinions? - Sports Betting Forums

Horfin · #1 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 04:33 PM

Line Opened at detroit -119. 81% of gamblers are on Detroit and the line moved to -132 and as high as -145 at some books.

Also the O/u moved from 10.0 to 9.5

the -1.5 is +115
and
LAA +1.5 is -135

Anyone got a good take on this one?

Horfii

Stifler's Mom · #2 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 04:57 PM

My guess would be that the line move was due to heavy public action, which obviously hasn't been averted by the line move.

IMO, the public would be pretty heavy on their hero Bonderman as high as -170 here....and just the fact that DET opened at only -119 in this one, with the books knowing the public would pound DET, tells me they believe ANA has a great shot.....which would stand to reason since ANA is playing better ball right now than DET, judging by the last few games, plus that the DET bullpen is garbage.

Reminds me of the STL/MIL game today. SP advantage to MIL, everything else advantage to STL

Just my 2 cents

FlyersFan · #3 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 05:02 PM

halos

homedawg · #4 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 06:06 PM

Must be a gift from the books...

Seriously, the linemakers set this line, because of the asswhoopin's the angels gave the tiggers, last 2 games, and D.Moseley era as a starter!

DMoseley has 2 starts, 6inn in each, only given 1er per game... that was at the beginning of the season, since then he's gone to the pen, and been stinkin' up the joint lately...

Their movin' the line due to heavy public action.

Joepub is not buyin' into: the asswhoopin's the last 2 days, and DMosely 1.50 era as a starter, plus they see the tiggers ace is on the mound for the: Sweepbuster

Horfin · #5 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 06:43 PM

All of this is fine and dandy....but who is QuickNick on?

Q-Unit · #6 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Horfin

All of this is fine and dandy....but who is QuickNick on?

Stros to win 1st inning

homedawg · #7 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 06:51 PM

but I just found det -165

Horfin · #8 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 06:53 PM

Well

I couldn't get a great feel on it so I played:

LAA +1.5 (-135)

Over 9.5 (EVEN)

Thanks for the input

Horfy

homedawg · #9 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Horfin

Well

I couldn't get a great feel on it so I played:

LAA +1.5 (-135)

many times, less is better!

Q-Unit · #10 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Horfin

All of this is fine and dandy....but who is QuickNick on?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Q-Unit

Stros to win 1st inning

what were the odds to that? and how much would have QN played?

homedawg · #11 (**permalink**) 07-29-2007, 07:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by homedawg

many times, less is better!

just to clearify, 1--->You risked less (than takin' det ml) and 2----> you win less (than if you took laa ml, if they win outright). However 3---> you have better odds of winnin'!