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Cubs-138
Pale Hose team o4-120 Twinkies-131 1 to win 4.57 units Cubs-1.5+150 1 unit Gotta roll with big Z at home... I know he hasn't faced the toughest of teams in his last 5 home starts (Houston 2x, SF, SD, Col) but he's only allowed 3er in 34.2 ip. Very impressive to me. Hernandez has a 3.64 era on the road, but has allowed 21 er in his last 33.1 ip. He has only reached the 6th inning 1x in his last 4 road starts, & I would think the Cubs can get to him today... Whie Sox team o4- Miller hasn't been able to get past the 5th inning in his last 4 starts. Last time he faced the Sox, he allowed 10 hits, 5 er in 4.2 ip. Doesn't really bode well when you have a shaky pen. IMo a play on the Tigers is hoping you can outslug the Sox, which could be difficult with bad-ass Buehrle on the mound. Dewtroit hit him well last time, but he still has a 2.81 road era, & the pitching edge is a no-brainer. Still considering a straight play on the Sox or team total..... Twins- Tough call here, but the way the Twins pitching has been, I have to side with them. IMO the line is set right, but gimme Santana at home vs. virtually anyone @-130 & I'm likely to be on it. In his last 5 home starts, he's allowed 11 er in 37 ip. Give him 4 runs & IMO it'll be enough for the win. The Twins are 8-5 at home 2ndh, & Cleveland is 3-7 last 10. Sabathia has a 4.61 road era, & has allowed 19 er in his last 32.2 ip. Won't be playing this straight, but I just had to play Santana @ home.....
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