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Thanks Low...
Phils/over- Willis has a 1.62 WHIP & a 4.23 road era. Righties are hitting .325 vs him & in his last 26.2 ip he's allowed 17 er. Lohse has a 1.35 WHIP & a solid 2.57 home era, but I think the Fish will be able to get some runs off him. It's never a bad idea to play on the Phillies overs at home....7 of 10 have gone over 11 runs in the 2ndh..... Rockies/under- Gallardo has been stellar, with a 1.04 WHIP, but the Brewers are 1-4 last 5 on the road. I'm sure there will be chasers on the Brew Crew today, but I won't be one of them. As Stif mentioned in my thread yesterday, the Brewers are likely to be a good fade the rest of this year, especially away. The Rockies are solid at home, & although Francis was hit well last time he faced the Brewers, that wasn't at home. I'm thinking the Rockies win 5-2 or so. M's/O's under- King Felix has a 1.39 WHIP & a road era of 3.98. All 5 of his last five road starts have totalled 8 or less runs. Guthrie has a 1.08 WHIP & a 3.30 era at home. 4 of his last 5 home starts have totalled 7 or less. 7 of his last 10 starts have totalled 8 or less. Tough call on the side, as Felix is the better pitcher, but the M's are a scary bet on the road. They are 1-3 in his last 4 road starts, with losses to KC, Houston & Toronto. They are 2-6 on the road in the 2ndh. The Jays/Twins parlay is pretty square, but there is no ignoring Santana's numbers on the road. 2.48 era & AL best 1.03 WHIP, with an opp ba of .194! Despite all this he hasn't recorded a win in his last 4 starts (0-3). The Twins simply can't generate the runs for him. Put this guy on the Yankees & he'd probably win 25 games! On the other side, Perez has a 1.64 WHIP & a 6.14 home era. Batters are hitting .324 vs him at home, so if the Twins can't generate some offense vs him, they may as well lay down. The Jays play is one I had already decided on when this series started. Halladay is 5-0 in his last 5 home games & won them all by 2 or more runs. Last meeting he went 7 innings & allowed 1 er. Her also sports a 3.48 home era. Wang has been winning on the road, but he hasn't been dominating by any means. A 4.45 road era & 20 er in 30.2 ip for his last 5 road starts. I'd rather tie these two great pitchers together than eat chalk on a runline.... Padres- Kip Wells/Cards fade- He has a 1.60 WHIP & allowed 4 er in 6 ip last meeting. Maddux has been shaky on the road, losing his last 3, but he's still the better pitcher (1.26 WHIP) & even the Padres should be able to generate some offense vs Wells....
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Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends... |
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Couple more....
Disastros team u3.5-115 2 units NYY/Tor u8.5-105 Hallajays-1.5+210 1 unit each Z has a 1.25 WHIP & a 2.83 road era. Opponents are batting .208 vs him in his road starts. in his last 35.1 ip he's only allowed 7er. I like the total u7.5 as Oswalt at home has a 2.30 era, but of the 12 road starts for Z, only 2x has the opponent scored over 3 runs. playing the under in Toronto with 2 aces on the mound, gotta play the alt rl- like I said before the last 5 home wins for Halladay all covered the rl as well.
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Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends... |
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Quote:
Hope Gallardo goes the whole game for ya, cause that pen SUCKS |
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Can't wait to fade the Brewers on the road the rest of the year...I might consider playing against them in every away game from here on out regardless of stats and what not...Cubs take that divison going away IMO...GL on the rest of the day...On the Hallajays with you as well..
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