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Thanks Whaley!
Warriors- I was waiting for this game.... one of the few automatic plays for me in the NBA is the GSW/Phx over. For the Warriors this is their first game back of a very successful road trip. As I predicted they went 4-1, with their sole loss to the Celtis. No fault there, as they were in a horrible spot facing Boston of a loss & playing b2b. Normally I look to fade a team in their first game back off a longer road trip, but not this time. The Warriors are clicking, thanks largely to Stephen Jackson. Now they are back home in front of their crowd having won 5 of 6. The Suns are entering on an 8 game win streak, & are off 2 days rest. Safe to say the pace of game will be frenetic. Here's a recap of the last 3 games played between these 2 teams last season.... @GS Warriors won 124-119- Both teams shot over 50% from the field, 40% from 3 pters. @Phx- Suns won 128-105- Suns shot 51%, 37% from 3. Warriors shot 43%, 26% 3 pters. @Phx- Suns won 105-101- Suns shot 43% & 25% 3 pters. Warriors shot 40%, 38% 3 pters. Nash nails a 3 to get the win. So in 2 of the last 3 matchups, the total went over 230. The one that didn't was a horrible spot for an over play. It was the Suns first game home after an East coast roadie, & the Warriors were on a b2b. IMO the Suns lose today, but I have to grab the pts as insurance... as far as the total, IMO if both teams shoot 44% this total goes over easily. I don't think the game is a blowout either way, so thwere should be a continuous flurry of pts until the end. It's not uncommon for these 2 teams to combine for a 70+ pt quarter. I'm hoping that comes early, so I don't have to sweat it out late. Wiz/Mavs over- Since Arenas went down, the Wiz have been pushing the tempo. Their last 4 games have yielded totals of 242, 238, 225, & 217. Dallas is off two straight losses, & I expect them to be scoring today. IMo this line is high, but I'm opting for the over rather than pts. IMO Washington gets over 100, so I think this is good Kings- Situational play on the 1sth. The Spurs have been more of a second half team this season, as evidenced in last night's game. They are on a b2b, & also playing their 5th game in 7 days. In the Spur's second game of a b2b this season, they are 0-4 ats 1sth line. I'm not sure if the kings have enough to close out a game vs. the Spurs, but I do think they will keep it tight & possibly be leading at the half.... Looking into 1stq plays, will add as I play them
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Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends... |
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Quote:
Added 2 public plays, but I just don't see the Jazz/Orlando being down at the end of the 1stq to the Knicks/Blazers. The Knicks are god-awful, that doesn't change just because they beat the Bulls. Jazz on a b2b, but I think they have enough to pull out the su win.....
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Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends... |
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gl with the plays udogg. i thought you were around even unit wise in nba after after that tough friday?
i agree with your play on the kings and i may tail the warriors over play, i can really see them shooting like on average 10 seconds into the shot clocks, just get the ball run and shoot, gl dogg |
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Wizards+9.5 2ndh
Suns/Warriors o59-115 1stq 1 to win 2.57 units
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Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends... Last edited by Underdog88; 11-26-2007 at 09:02 PM.. Reason: wrong team posted |
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Definitely some missed opportunities, should have hit the Wizards ML. I don't know if I've ever seen a day in the NBA where all 7 games have the potential to be su dog winners. Some missed opportunities, liked the Wizards, but settled on the over & lost by a bucket. Houston is the team that burns me more than anyone.
Rockets/Clippers u93.5 2ndh Rockets/Clippers u47 3rdq/ u47 4thq Clipperss+200 1 unit each Watch the Rockets win by 6 Played the Warriors 2ndh, but won't count it as I didn't post....
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