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I think there's big money on Dallas. Looks like they're begging the public to take Detroit to me....and fading a team on their first game back after a road trip (especially a successful one) is often a good play.
Then with Dallas blowing it at home against Phoenix in a game they had put away, and then almost losing to Boston, I think they will be far more focused and ready to go today than will Detroit. Doesn't hurt that Dallas is the better team either. As much as I hate road chalk, this line is begging for Detroit action, and I was forced to take Dallas. I mean really, Detroit wins 5 straight road games, and now they're a mid sized dog at home? I took Orlando for alot of the same reason you said too. Live value. Miami is rolling, which causes them to be a bit overvalued and Orlando is a bad road team, which often causes them to be a bit undervalued. Neither one is a secret to the public either, and when you combine the two, I think this line is off by at least 2 points. Plus I like that Howard can combat Shaq...something most teams don't have, and a very minor part of my decision was that it's an in state rivalry. |
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