Cavorca NBA Wed

[cavorca12]

NBA 2/13:


Orlando -5 ... 1.5 Units

Philadelphia -9 ... 1.25 Units




ORL - Agree with Udogg on Orl and IMO Den in pretty bad situation. Teams that W first 2 games on 3 game road trips having 0 rest fare poorly in the final 3rd game before returning home, or I guess a sweet weekend vacation in this case w/ AS weekend. They are 20-30 SU & 15-35 ATS back to the mid-90's. Against teams with a winning record, 6-18 SU & 8-16 ATS. After 3 SU wins, Den is 1-4 SU & ATS (3 10+ L's) this season, though all vs good teams kind of similar to this game vs Orl. Den is ok against revenge, but Orl has very good with revenge at 5-1 SU & ATS after 2 early L's. Orl 1-3 SU/ATS in homestand and gotta think they give a good effort to avoid a 1-4 home wreck heading to break.


PHI - Good spot vs Mem team that is 1-12 SU & 3-10 ATS following SU W. Home fav w/ SU and ATS streaks both equal to 4 games have done well, and recent good play on D makes it stronger. Philly now 9th in East and right in playoff hunt. Had concerns w/ young, unproven team looking ahead to AS break, but playoff possibility hopefully keeps focus so they maintain level of play.


Still looking at some others w/ the monster card, just getting these up since I actually had some time to write something. GL!

[cavorca12]

Adding:

Houston -9.5 ... 0.75 Unit

Cleveland +3.5 and ML +140 ... 0.5 / 0.75 Unit

San Antonio at Cleveland Under 178 ... 0.75 Unit

Phoenix at Golden St Over 234 ... 0.75 Unit


HOU - Mostly veteran team more likely to be focussed on keeping good run and momentum w/ battle for playoffs. Home w/ revenge vs Adelman's former team, Sac.

CLE - In matchups between two teams w/ winning %'s above .550 and totals below 200, home dogs are 135-84 ATS (62%) since '00. Since '05, home dogs w/ WP>55 are 13-13 SU & 17-9 ATS vs SA. SA very good with revenge, but IMO the long road trip and being w/o Parker hurt. Cle off big W over Orl probably won't overlook SA before break, so IMO Cle might have some value.

SA/CLE UN - O/U's: Cle 1-8 and SA 2-13 on totals below 186. Cle o/u is 2-8-1 against revenge, and SA o/u is 2-4-1 with revenge. IMO Cle likely to give good effort on D after allowing 110+ L2 games, and also since its vs SA. High pace not likely, but one worry is Cle pushing it w/ SA at end of long trip.

PHO / GS OV - Didn't look too far into this and probably doesn't really require much explanation anyway.


Trying to avoid a gigantic card, but I'm still looking at some later games...

[cavorca12]

Adding:

Orlando 2H -4 ... 0.5 Unit

[cavorca12]

Adding:


Seattle +6.5 ... 0.5 Unit



Waited for some movement like every other line today but didn't get anything. Under was very tempting, but just from scores it doesn't look like there is much D being played tonight. Guess it makes sense right before break, so under is a no play.