Cavorca NBA Fri

[cavorca12]

NBA 3/7:

Atlanta -1 (-105)

Milwaukee 0 (-105)

Denver -2

Portland at Milwaukee Over 197

San Antonio at Denver Under 200.5


1 Unit Each



Way off w/ both side & total on Hou/Dal last night, but got Chi and Ind.

Had time for some writeups again today, hopefully I'm closer w/ some than the Hou/Dal game, lol......

ATL side... ATL off 3 L's in tough ones @Bos, vsGS, and @NO. Char off 3 W's, 2 decent ones at H and 1 @Min. Not so bad a spot IMO. ATL's had enough games w/ Bibby, and it's just about time for them to pick it up if they're going to do so.

Mil side & total... Mil had been great at home recently, off home W vs Sea. Port is headed in opposite direction and hasn't been anything special on the road even during hot start, yet majority of public on them tonight. They've just been absolutely bad both SU & ATS since a Jan 25 home game vs Hou after finishing a long road trip. Couple ok trends on total, nothing special, just think Mil shoots good again and either Port musters enough O or maybe wins game to push it over.

Den side... Den has been doing ok, and I like them being at home. SA hasn't been very good this season in their 1st game away after both a single or multiple H games. SA also 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS, and 2-4-1 OU as road dog, including 0-4 SU & ATS and 1-3 OU in 1st Aw after 1 or more at H. Even though SA is now healthy and playing really great ball during this W streak, just taking a shot that Den picks it up in this one.

SA/Den under... Stated SA trends above, also good under record this season, incl uding Aw. Media absolutely rips Den's D, but their points allowed is high b/c of their pace more than bad D. They have the fastest pace in the NBA, more posession & FGA, BUT they're 5th best in Def Efficiency and 8th in opp FG%. Anyway, just think under might have some value and total may be a bit high w/ perception of Den's D. Hopefully importance of game & matchup b/t good teams means a typical slower pace by both teams, or possibly a typical slower pace by SA that dictates Den's pace slowing them down.


GL everyone!

[cavorca12]

Adding:

Utah at Phoenix Over 223

1 Unit

[cavorca12]

Adding:

LA Clippers +15.5 (-105)

0.75 Unit


Denver -2 (-105)

0.67 Unit ..... Total of 1.67 Units



LAC just a tail of HD.

Den, more I sit around the more I like the play. Den is darn good at H with SU records of 24-7 overall, 10-4 since Jan 1st, 12-5 vs West, and 8-5 vs teams over .550. Seems like Den is getting more criticism than they deserve for both their record & defense & a W over SA would prove something, not to mention help in playoff race. Their record isn't bad given strength of the West, and as I said in first post IMO the numbers show their pace results in high point totals and that they really play ok D. SA being in a questionable spot could potentially help Den as well.