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Old 04-16-2008, 03:33 PM
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Default ***Udoggie's Regular Season Finale***

Last day of the regular season, with some seeding implications in the West. Everything is set in the East, so there is really nothing for any team to play for. IMO because of this today's lines could be more perception based than usual. I expect a couple outright dog winners today, & have some strong leans. Stepping out but back in a bit to break it down...
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Old 04-16-2008, 05:24 PM
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Be Selective!


Here's the projections, TIFWIW:

4/16/2008 Predictions
Rank Team Win Odds Proj Margin
#22 New Jersey (34-47) 15.3%
#1 Boston (65-16) 84.6% +12.0

#3 New Orl/OKC (56-25) 43.2%
#9 Dallas (50-31) 56.7% +1.5

#4 Utah (54-27) 43.3%
#6 San Antonio (55-26) 56.6% +1.4

#5 Detroit (58-23) 57.0% +1.6
#13 Cleveland (45-36) 42.9%

#26 LA Clippers (23-58) 17.6%
#7 Houston (54-27) 82.3% +10.7

#16 Portland (41-40) 26.6%
#8 Phoenix (54-27) 73.3% +6.7

#14 Washington (43-38) 31.2%
#10 Orlando (51-30) 68.7% +5.0

#27 Memphis (22-59) 20.7%
#11 Denver (49-32) 79.2% +9.2

#29 Seattle (19-62) 19.5%
#12 Golden State (48-33) 80.4% +9.8

#15 Toronto (41-40) 52.8% +0.6
#21 Chicago (32-49) 47.1%

#17 Philadelphia (40-41) 50.7% +0.1
#23 Charlotte (31-50) 49.2%

#19 Atlanta (37-44) 62.3% +3.0
#30 Miami (14-67) 37.6%

#28 New York (23-58) 29.8%
#20 Indiana (35-46) 70.1% +5.5

#24 Milwaukee (26-55) 38.8%
#25 Minnesota (21-60) 61.1% +2.7



I'm Watching the por line...
GL UD
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Old 04-16-2008, 06:01 PM
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Thanks HD...




Knicks/Pacers o112 1sth

T-Pups -6.5-102


3 units each



Wizards+8-108/ +310

Nets+9.5-105/ +435

Heat+4.5+100/ +175

2 units each/ 1 unit moneylines
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Old 04-16-2008, 06:09 PM
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Knicks/Pacers over- I expect zero D to be played here, so of course I lean to the over. I couldn't justify a road play on the Knicks with their road record, but I do think they could stay competitive, which is good for the over.

T-Wolves- Fading the Bucks on the road one last time. The Wolves have been playing well, & 6 of their last 8 home wins have been by 8 or more pts. The Bucks have lost their last 5, 4 by 13+ pts.

Wiz- Neither team has a thing to play for, & the Magic are on a b2b off a 121-105 win @ Atl. Coach Eddie Jordan has said he want both Butler & Arenas to play, but I'll believe it when I see it. Still, I think that this is too many points for a meaningless season ending game....

Nets- C's with nothing to play for, likely to rest Rondo & the big three. 9.5 pts is just too high...

Heat- WTF am I thinking? Oh yeah, the public Hawks who can't win on the road & have nothing to play for are favored.

Basically I expect to hit at least 1 of these moneylines, 2 would be wonderful. I guess we'll see. If the Hornets beat Dallas (though I don't think they will), I'll look to play on the Nuggets. Also leaning Spurs & will be on the lookout for 2ndh unders to close out the regular season...
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Old 04-16-2008, 06:20 PM
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GL tonight UD!
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Old 04-16-2008, 07:16 PM
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Thanks Rah! No sweat on that 1sth over



Pistons-5.5 2ndh

2 units




Getting a 8 pt fave basically on the ML..... This is when playing their bench should benefit Detroit....
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Old 04-16-2008, 07:21 PM
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Hornets/Mavericks u95 2ndh

3 units




Mavericks-4.5 2ndh

Sixers/Bobcats u98.5 2ndh

1 unit each




53 pt 1stq in Dallas, I think they've settled in & it should be a playoff type atmosphere 2ndh....
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Old 04-16-2008, 08:39 PM
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Clips/Rockets u91 2ndh

3 units






Bulls-4.5 2ndh

Spurs-2.5-105 1sth

Spurs-4.5-107

2 units each
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Last edited by Underdog88; 04-16-2008 at 08:41 PM..
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Old 04-16-2008, 09:07 PM
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Hell of a season for you as usual... ....If the Stones don't make it to the finals I'll be cheering for a Boston/La matchup how sweet would that be to see..
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Old 04-16-2008, 09:59 PM
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Thanks EMV! I'm very excited about the playoffs this season...



Jazz/Spurs u47.5 4thq

2 units
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Old 04-16-2008, 10:01 PM
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kicking myself for not playing the Sonics... hoping to jump in at the half.
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Old 04-16-2008, 10:22 PM
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Blazers/Suns u104 2ndh

2 units
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Old 04-16-2008, 10:48 PM
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Can't bring myself to play on the Sonics 2ndh. Last play before the playoffs!


Sonics/Warriors u113.5 2ndh

2 units
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Old 04-16-2008, 11:10 PM
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great job this season
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Each play is to win the # of units posted unless it's a dog then I'm betting that amount.
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Old 04-16-2008, 11:34 PM
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Yeah this should be one of the best NBA playoff seasons in a while..
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