First Round Upsets?

[Vic Mackey]

I can see Washington knocking off Cleveland.

It's only a 5 over a 4 but LeBron going out in round 1 nationally would get alot of attention as an upset I think.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Suns, Wizards & Raptors all win outright, IMO...

And yeah...Wizards not too much of an upset...in fact, they are listed pretty close to a pick'em at most books...


I have the Suns WINNING the West facing the Celtics in the Finals. Phoenix flying under the radar a bit this year, not the top seed...and I think they get it done. Spurs, Hornets, Jazz & Lakers can all be had, IMO...

[homedawg]

cavs didn't impress me at all this year, even after the late trades.
They limped into the playoffs, while keeping a close eye on the 4th seed.
This should be a tight series, even though the cavs took the wizzards out, the last 2 years in the 1st round (2006 4-2, 2007 4-0).
One positive for the cavs is, the home team has won every game this season.
Me thinks, cavs win in 7.

[Daws1089]

call me crazy but, I'll be taking a piece of denver.

[Underdog88]

I just don't see the Wizards winning the series over the Cavs... not as long as LBJ is on the court. Pavlovic is out for the series & everyone writes them off? The Cavs aren't the best in the East, but the Wiz? It would be one thing if they've shown me anything this season, but there are too many question marks. How healthy is Arenas? Butler?. Washington finished their last 8 road games 3-5 su (congrats to beating the Bulls, Sonics & Kings). The 5 losses? Utah, Detroit, Lakers, Magic, & Portland (4 playoff teams). They lost 4 of the 5 by 20+ points! To play a series line (assuming the dogged team doesn't have court advantage), I have to believe the team can take one on the road. The Wiz just don't offer that IMO. From a betting standpoint, I don't see how there is value in such a a short line for the Wiz... I would need +170 or more to even consider it. I'm leaning on the Cavs for the series, & will likely play them on the ML game 1.

[Underdog88]

Originally Posted by Daws1089

call me crazy but, I'll be taking a piece of denver.

I'll call you crazy LoL! If anything, wait until they lose the first game

[Daws1089]

i will wait. hey, i could be crazier and take atlanta lol

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

I agree there is no value in BETTING the Wiz, UD. Either team could win, and I "think" the Wiz win in 7, but it could go either way, and I'd need +150 to lay a unit...

But yeah....it'd be tough to fade Lebron too...especially with the trash talk from Washington coming out lately....he might go off in a serious way...

[homedawg]

I'd even take the wizzies at +150 or more.

[homedawg]

current lines:

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals
Sat 4/19 Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers
09:35 AM 101 Wizards +100
102 Cavaliers -110
Sun 4/20 Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic
09:35 AM 103 Raptors +278
104 Magic -298
Sun 4/20 Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons
03:05 PM 105 76ers +1050
106 Pistons -1250
Sun 4/20 Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics
05:30 PM 107 Hawks +3500
108 Celtics -5500
Western Conference Quarterfinals
Sat 4/19 Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs
12:05 PM 109 Suns +124
110 Spurs -134
Sat 4/19 Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Hornets
04:00 PM 111 Mavericks +125
112 Hornets -135
Sat 4/19 Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets
06:35 PM 113 Jazz -218
114 Rockets +198
Sun 4/20 Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers
12:05 PM 115 Nuggets +489
116 Lakers -589

[Underdog88]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

Raptors win outright

I don't know JML, Bosh will have his hands full there. My problem with backing Toronto is their record on the road vs. playoff teams. 3-10 on the road vs. Eastern playoff teams. The Magic finished the regular season 8-5 vs eastern playoff teams.

[homedawg]

I'm thinkin' philly...

[Underdog88]

Nearly 2 to 1 on the Rockets look good to me, mostly because they have the home court advantage. The Jazz are favored that large yet have serious trouble winning on the road...

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Originally Posted by Underdog88

I don't know JML, Bosh will have his hands full there. My problem with backing Toronto is their record on the road vs. playoff teams. 3-10 on the road vs. Eastern playoff teams. The Magic finished the regular season 8-5 vs eastern playoff teams.

"Superman" will have his hands full too. Yeah...I just think it's going to be a close series, so there's some value with Toronto IMO. Likely the Magic in 7. Probably a homer view though...

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Originally Posted by homedawg

I'm thinkin' philly...

will lose in 5? Me too...