***UDoggie's Playoffs part 2***

[Underdog88]

Shit guys, I totally messed that up. Didn't even check back but yes I meant the over- kind of obvious if you read the reasoning. Really sorry gsad

[Underdog88]

Pre-Tuesday record


Playoffs 36-38-1 -4.37 units



Still in the red, but headed in the right direction after being down 17 units at one point. The spread has continued to be a non-factor, even in closely played games- see Orlando/Detroit last night. yeah I know you could have grabbed the 7 before tipoff, but for the most part it was 6.5. I'm going to be following the format that has worked so far this playoff season- pick the winner of the game, then play accordingly. Seems so simple yet how many times do you see plays on dogs, with reasoning like "last time they played it was close. Or it should be a closely played game, so I'm taking the points. With that being said....



Tuesday


Celtics-9.5-108

3 units


Celtics team o96.5-105

1.5 units



Thursday

Spurs-6-120

4 units




Picking the winner in both. I think this C's/Cavs series could go the distance, but I also think the game 1 line is a bigtime setup. The Cavs were solid ats vs the C's in the regular season, so this line looks high. C's MOV at home has been huge, & again I'll state the MOV for the winning team for the past week or so has been predominately double digits. I do think at some point in the series, the Cavs could be live on the road, but I just don't feel it's today. If you are playing the Cavs, then for god's sake play the ML at least a little! As for the Spurs, I was hoping they could steal one in NO, but this series is far from over. The Hornets held their position, but now they have to go to SA. Don't hit the panic button just yet. I will say however that this Hornets team is great & fun to watch...shaping up to be a good series. Leaning pretty hard on the La/Utah over, but I haven't looked too deeply into it. GLTA today

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Seems like "NFL" pick a winner reasoning....makes sense to me! GL!

[gsad]

Originally Posted by Underdog88

Shit guys, I totally messed that up. Didn't even check back but yes I meant the over- kind of obvious if you read the reasoning. Really sorry gsad

no matter, you've givin me so many freakin winners I'm sure I'm way ahead with your plays, anyhow I should have taken the 6 seconds to read the post.

[homedawg]

Bigtime setup? didn't boston just win 4 home games, by an average margin of 25ppg?

GL UD

[Underdog88]

0-2 yesterday.... First time in a while where the su winner didn't cover the spread as well. That's gonna be one hell of a series, & I will be playing the Cavs to win it, likely before game 2. Too much value for LBJ.



Pistons/Magic u187-106

Magic-4.5-104

Magic-1 1stq

3 units each




Magic-9.5+180

Pistons/Magic u177.5+250

D. Howard P&R o34.5-115

1 unit each

[Underdog88]

Jazz-3.5+375

1 unit

[homedawg]

Originally Posted by Underdog88

Jazz-3.5+375

1 unit

WTF RU smokin'??? +300 on the ml, why add 3pts? ya greedy sumabitch.

[Underdog88]

Pistons team u47+100 2ndh

1.5 units

[Underdog88]

Originally Posted by homedawg

WTF RU smokin'??? +300 on the ml, why add 3pts? ya greedy sumabitch.

+265 is what I see for the ML, could have had +275 earlier. So getting an extra +100 by playing them to win by more than 3 is a risk I'm willing to take. 7 of the last 10 road dogs to win outright did so by 4 or more points.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Originally Posted by homedawg

WTF RU smokin'??? +300 on the ml, why add 3pts? ya greedy sumabitch.

[homedawg]

Interesting line movement at Vegas:

Mirage Odds (Line) Over/Under (Total)
05/05/08 11:55:04 AM -7.5/-110 (Open) 209.5 -110 (Open)
05/05/08 12:55:04 PM -7/-110 209.5 -110
05/05/08 10:55:04 PM 2.5/-110 209.5 -110
05/07/08 12:05:07 PM 2.5/-110 209.5o -120
05/07/08 1:45:09 PM -6.5/-120 209.5o -120
05/07/08 3:25:05 PM -7/-110 209.5o -120
05/07/08 3:55:06 PM -6.5/-110 209.5o -120
05/07/08 5:05:07 PM -7/-110 209.5o -120
05/07/08 7:35:08 PM -7/-110 209.5o -125
05/07/08 8:45:09 PM -7/-120 209.5o -125
05/07/08 9:15:10 PM -7/-110 209.5o -125

[Underdog88]

Cadavaliers+153 2ndh

Cadavaliers-8+550 2ndh

1 unit each

[Underdog88]

Cavs/Celtics u89 2ndh

2 units

[Underdog88]

Spurs team o24.5-105 3rdq

2 units


Now or never for the Spurs....