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Indy/Bulls under- The Pacers have been on an under run, failing to get out of the 160's the past 3 games...The Bulls have been low scoring on the road, with 1 of the past 5 road games surpassing 176. Lean to the Pacers as well, as the Bulls are horrible road faves. They are 2-6 ats last 8 as road faves...
Sea/SA under- Last 2 meetings have had totals of 172 & 176. The Spurs have gone over 180 in 1 of the last 6 games. No Ray Allen, Spurs should slow it down....no interest in guessing the margin of victory for the Spurs but I do think they win.... Dal/Atl over- IMO Dallas gets 100+, so this is partially a play on the Hawks...they have scored over 98 pts in 9 of the last 10 home games. The Heat were the only team to hold them under 99...I think the Hawks have a decent chance of covering this high number, but IMO if they do, chances are it goes over..... The Suns play is a Kings fade....considering a play on the Kings team under again. This is probably the most chalk I will lay, & I don't even have to look to know it's very public...I know the risk, but this is a great road team playing an ice cold team...Kings have covered 1 in the last 8 games. The Hornets are my homedog play....They play well at home, & put up solid offensive numbers...considering the Hornets team over 92.5, as they haven't been held under this number in the past 10 games...Houston is 19-15 on the road, NO is 20-14 at home su, IMO they have a decent shot at the su win..... Leans- Blazers, who have been pretty good road dogs as of late. Looking at the Bucks, who are 4-2 ats vs Det & always seem to play the Stones well. No Sheed & Webber seems to have come down to earth lately. Not sure if 5 is worth it, but the Buck to tend to play Detroit tough. |
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Of course 5Dimes waits forever to add NBA to the reduced juice list....NO +165 & GS +160, damn I miss Pinny
Pacers+106 3 units I have to do it....bad road fave? check. home dog with a favorable series history? check. Public on other side? check. Reverse line movement? you bet. GS/LaL over set extremely high, but I still like it. Lakers continue to play no defense... |
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