***Udoggie's Spooky Tatts*** - Sports Betting Forums

Underdog88 · #1 (**permalink**) 10-31-2008, 05:01 PM

Straight 6-9 -4.05 units

Dog ML 2-2 +3.42 units

2-1 yesterday....

Knicks/Sixers o107.5 1sth

Bulls+10.5

Clippers/Nuggets o100 1sth

Blazers+3

2 units each

Underdog88 · #2 (**permalink**) 10-31-2008, 05:34 PM

NY/Phila over- Already stated the other day that NY will be a fast paced team this season, & books know it too. This total is set high for a reason. I was hoping for a 210 game, but that didn't happen. Sets up good situationally imo, aslong as it isn't a blowout. Philly is off a home opening loss, scoring just 84 points vs Toronto (34fg/25% 3pt). Despite that they had 18 fast break points, & should get plenty more opportunities tonight. They are on the front end of a b2b as they are @ATL tomorrow. The Knicks beat the Heat with thier new uptempo style. They allowed 14 fast break points & had 14 themselves. Once they got hot, they seemed to play very careless & cocky- Crawford played well overall but one particular play he attempted a stupid And 1 pass & threw it away. It's sticking in my mind right now & honestly is keeping me off the Knicks lol. NY does have one thing going for them....the last time they played a regulaton game @Phil, they were clobbered 124-84. They did play 2 preseason games vs each other this season, so I don't know how much stock can be put into that revenge angle. Most that know the way I wager in the NBA know that I don't shy away from the high totals, this is one such case. May be back at the half with this game...

Bulls+10.5- I don't think too highly of the Bulls at all, but this number is driven by perception. Playing this inflated line despit the worst writeup ever.

Blazers- Spurs could win this one, but I wouldn't bet on it. Love the Spurs fade for games that are unimportant to them. Last season they lost 9 of their first 15 road games su, so I would be careful backing them on the road at all. No Manu is huge, IMO Oberto out is 10+ cleanup pts off the board & a better inside presence. Blazers even cover the other night vs LAL & they open 2.5 pt faves today. Oden goes down & voila! Value on a home dog. As it was Roy shot 5-15 (does that happen often), Frye was 0-7 & Aldridge was 4-12. This is one they will be up for. Rudy Fernandez played well off the bench last game, hoping for a similar performance. Leaning Spurs team u89.5 as they very well could win & not top that. I think the pace will be dictated by the Blazers though...

Clips/Nugs over- Um, Denver is a bad road team. And they are favored. Clips off a beating at the hands of the Lakers, but I'm sure many teams will go through that. Read reports that there was a closed meeting where Baron Davis yelled a bunch. I think they respond tonight, & will be on them in some form. Denver doesn't play defense, especially on the road. Because of the lookahead factor (they are @home +Melo tomorrow vs the Lakers) there could be a slowdown 4thq or the Nuggs could pack it in early, which is why I settled on the 1st half.

Other thoughts- I think the Heat are overvalued because they are home, but the Kings are not a good team. Memphis played scrappy vs Houston, not sure the Magic deserve to ba that large of a road fave. Lean under.

Still finalizing the card.... GLTA