**The Knuckleballers 2009-2010 NBA Season Computer Based System Tracking Thread**

[The Knuckleballer]

I hope everyone is having a great day. I mentioned several days ago that I would be posting how I track my success and why I do it in that manner. I use the same method used by Dr. Bob, because I respect his long term track record of success and to be quite honest it is the only way that makes sense. In my opinion, a "Total Unit Based Record" must be used to compute your overall winning %. This means that higher unit picks are weighted more heavily than lower unit picks. For example, a 1 Unit win obviously counts as 1 win, while a 3 Unit win counts as 3 wins. Likewise, a 1 Unit loss counts as 1 loss, while a 3 Unit loss counts as 3 losses. This is the only way to truly track a handicappers success. Below is my updated record, which includes my "Total Unit Based Record" and winning %. GL and I will be back shortly with my NBA picks for today!!


Overall (21-24) +3.4 Units
5 Unit Picks (0-0)
4 Unit Picks (0-0)
3 Unit Picks (5-2) +8.4 Units
2 Unit Picks (12-8) +6.4 Units
1 Unit Picks (4-14) -11.4 Units

Total Unit Record (43-36)
Winning % (54.43%)

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (21-24) +3.4 Units
5 Unit Picks (0-0)
4 Unit Picks (0-0)
3 Unit Picks (5-2) +8.4 Units
2 Unit Picks (12-8) +6.4 Units
1 Unit Picks (4-14) -11.4 Units

Total Unit Record (43-36)
Winning % (54.43%)

I have three picks for tonight. My favorite pick is the under in the Suns/Lakers game. This is somewhat of a contrarian play, but my system has this total capped at 208.5. Also, 8 of the Suns 13 road games this season have gone under the posted total. Along with the total, I also like the Suns to cover tonight. I have this game capped at Lakers -1, and I have the final score as Laker 105- Suns 104. GL and enjoy the picks!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Suns/Lakers Under 220

**2 Unit Picks**
Kings +1.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Suns +9.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (22-26) +3.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks (6-2)*** +11.4 Units
**2 Unit Picks (12-9)** +4.2 Units
*1 Unit Picks (4-15)* -12.5 Units

Total Unit Record (46-39)
Risk Adj. Winning % (54.12%)

Tonight, I have three picks. I love the Spurs at '+1.5 tonight against the Jazz. I have this game capped at Spurs -2. Kirilenko is questionable for the Jazz tonight. This could prove to be a critical injury if he fails to play. Both teams are a solid ATS after one day of rest. The Spurs are 6-2 ATS w/ one day of rest, while the Jazz are 6-4 ATS w/ one of rest. Going forward, the Jazz will likely be the better team this season, but I love the Spurs in this situation. GL and enjoy tonight's picks!!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Warriors/Thunder Under 221.5
Spurs +1.5

**2 Unit Picks**
Spurs/Jazz Over 194

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (24-27) +4.8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks (7-3)*** +11.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks (13-9)** +6.2 Units
*1 Unit Picks (4-15)* -12.5 Units

Total Unit Record (51-42)
Risk Adj. Winning % (54.84%)

Above is my updated record. Sorry I was unable to post any picks today, but I have been extremely busy lately. I should have picks for the remainder of the week. GL and please let me know if you ever have questions about a particular game!!!

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (24-27) +4.8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks (7-3)*** +11.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks (13-9)** +6.2 Units
*1 Unit Picks (4-15)* -12.5 Units

Total Unit Record (51-42)
Risk Adj. Winning % (54.84%)

Below are the two picks I have for the early games tonight. I will be back shortly with some additional picks. I love the Pistons against the Sixers tonight. I have this game capped as the Piston -1.5. The Sixers are 1-8 ATS at home this season. The Pistons are 4-1-1 ATS with 2 days of rest. GL and enjoy the picks!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Pistons +4.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Warriors/Nets Under 219

[The Knuckleballer]

Below are the remainder of my picks for tonight. I like the Jazz to cover the 10.5 points tonight. Williams is probable, which raises some concern, but assuming he plays the Jazz should be able to keep this game close. The Jazz are7-4 ATS with 1 day of rest this season. I also like the Under 206.5 in this game. The Jazz are the slowest paced team in the NBA, per my ratings. Their slow pace should help keep this game under the total. I have this game capped at Lakers -4 with a total of 201. GL tonight and enjoy the picks!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Hornets/TWolves Over 194
Jazz +10.5
Jazz/Lakers Under 206.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Kings +12.5

[The Knuckleballer]

I will update my record later this evening. Unfortunately, none of tonights games fit the model. Stay tuned for tomorrow's picks and GL to those that take a shot at tonight's card. In my opinion, there is no value on the card tonight. GL!!!!

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (28-29) +6.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks (7-3)*** +11.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks (15-11)** +5.8 Units
*1 Unit Picks (6-15)* -10.5 Units

Total Unit Record (57-46)
Risk Adj. Winning % (55.34%)

Sorry I was unable to post yesterday, but the Holiday's are a busy time of the year with work, parties, etc... I love the Pacers tonight at +7.5 and the Under 205.5. I have this game capped at Pacers -1.5 with a total of 198. The Wizards are 0-6 ATS with 1 day of rest, which bodes well for the Pacers in this matchup. As for the Under 205.5, neither team is extremely efficient according to my rankings. I have the Pacers ranked #24 in efficiency and the Wizards ranked #18 in efficiency. Also, neither team averages over 98 points per game on offense. Below are my picks. GL and enjoy the hoops!!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Pacers +7.5

**2 Unit Picks**
Pacers/Wizards Under 205.5
Blazers +4
Suns/Nuggets Under 226

*1 Unit Picks*
Suns +8.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (31-31) +8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks (8-3)*** +14.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks (16-13)** +3.4 Units
*1 Unit Picks (7-15)* -9.5 Units

Total Unit Record (63-50)
Risk Adj. Winning % (55.75%)

I have two picks for today. I don't have time for write ups, but enjoy the picks and the NBA hoops today. GL !!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Grizzlies/Heat Over 195.5

*1 Unit Pick*
Spurs/Clippers Over 188

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (33-31) +11 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks (8-3)*** +14.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks (17-13)** +5.4 Units
*1 Unit Picks (8-15)* -8.5 Units

Total Unit Record (66-50)
Risk Adj. Winning % (56.90%)

Below are the early picks. GL, and I will be back shortly w/ the late picks!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Pacers +12

**2 Unit Picks**
Pacers/Magic Under 207.5
Warriors +4

[The Knuckleballer]

Below are the late night plays:

**2 Unit Picks**
Thunder +10
Thunder/Nuggets Under 209
TWolves +13

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (38-32) +19.8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks (9-3)*** +17.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks (21-14)** +11.2 Units
*1 Unit Picks (8-15)* -8.5 Units

Total Unit Record (77-52)
Risk Adj. Winning % (59.69%)

We had a great night last night. Below are tonights picks. GL and enjoy the hoops action!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Spurs +2

*1 Unit Picks*
Raptors +7

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (38-34) +15.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks (9-4)*** +13.8 Units
**2 Unit Picks (21-14)** +11.2 Units
*1 Unit Picks (8-16)* -9.6 Units

Total Unit Record (77-56)
Risk Adj. Winning % (57.89%)

Tonight, I have one 2 Unit Pick. I love the Knicks at +3. I have the Knicks winning this game by six points tonight. Here is some food for thought. The Bulls are 1-7-2 ATS with one day of rest and 3-6-2 ATS at home this season. Should be a good night to watch some hoops. GL!!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Knicks +3

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall (38-35) +13.2 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0)
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0)
***3 Unit Picks (9-4)*** +13.8 Units
**2 Unit Picks (21-15)** +9 Units
*1 Unit Picks (8-16)* -9.6 Units

Total Unit Record (77-58)
Risk Adj. Winning % (57.04%)

Below are tonight early picks. No time for write ups now, but I will be back shortly with the remainder of the picks. GL and enjoy the hoops!!

**2 Unit Picks**
Blazers +8.5
Clippers +3

*1 Unit Picks*
Jazz +2.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Below are the remainder of tonight's picks. We have a full card tonight that is full of winners. I love the Wizards tonight, despite the fact that this is their 4th straight road game and they are playing back to back games. I have this game capped at Suns -5. In their last 9 meetings, the road team is 8-1 ATS. Look for this trend to continue tonight as the game goes under the posted total of 218 and stays within the number. GL!!!

***3 Unit Picks***
Wizards +10.5

**2 Unit Picks**
Kings/Bucks Under 209.5
Pacers +12
Wizards/Suns Under 218

*1 Unit Picks*
Hawks -4.5