Tommy Gold's NBA 2009.12.11 Picks

[TommyGold]

NBA 2009.12.11, picks:

New Jersey Nets @ Indiana Pacers: Under 198.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Without Granger, Pacers aren't the some scoring team as with him playing. He is their best scorer, and in these kind of teams, a all-star player is a heavy loss, particularly one that is one of the biggest reasons why Pacers usually plays with a high pace. After 4 games this season without Granger, the team are showing a slowest pace, scoring 86, 91 and 92 points in 3 home games. The highest score the team achieved without Granger was on GSW. In that game, the team scored 107 points, but they were forced to play in the same pace they usually plays with Granger. And they couldn't keep that pace, losing that game by 19 points.

They will host Nets, a team that finally start to win games, after one of the worst streaks on NBA history. But after they won against Bobcats, they went 2 games ago to Chicago and made their second win. So, after some enthusiasm that have tricked them, they lost the last one at home, against GSW, a bad defender team. Scoring 89 points at home against a bad defense team is not a good sign. They didn't even fought that gimme, it was a easy win for GSW.

With this, I think that will be hard to have here a over. The line is to high, and should be around 187, not 199! Indiana Pacers are slowing their game to cover the holes that Granger absence could make. Averaging only 90 points at home in this condition, they will face a team that have less than 90 points when playing on the road. Nets are again in a bad spot after 2 wins in 3 games. They should think their game again, as they are showing offense problems even against bad defenders. So i can't see here a high score game, as Pacers needs to find their best game without Granger (they are 1-3), and one thing is certain: Their best game without Granger isn't run and gun. In the other hand, we have a Nets team that needs to improve their offense, but playing on the road is not the right spot to do so, and Indiana is a little bit better in defense than other teams that Nets couldn't score 3 digits points.



New York Knicks @ New Orleans Hornets: New Orleans Hornets -6.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies: Memphis Grizzlies -2 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

[TommyGold]

NBA 2009.12.10 results:

Denver Nuggets @ Detroit Pistons: Under 198 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (101-99: LOSS)
Boston Celtics @ Washington Wizards: Boston Celtics -7 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (102-104: LOSS)
Boston Celtics @ Washington Wizards: Under 195 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (102-104: LOSS)

NBA 2009.12.10 finished with a 0-3 and -3 units lost/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009/2010 Point Spreads and Totals Record: 58-43 (+9.78 units won/101 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 10-10 (+4.8 units won/20 units risked)
Orlando Magic @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz ML +120 (2.20) Bookmaker

L10 Days NBA 2009/2010 Pointspreads and Totals Tracker: 32-29 and +0.09 units won/61 units risked.
NBA 2009.12.10 finished with a 0-3 and -3 units lost/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-2 and -1.09 units lost/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.07 finished with a 2-4 and -2.18 units lost/6 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.06 finished with a 4-1 and +2.64 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.05 finished with a 6-3 and +2.46 units won/9 units risked on point spreads and totals.

NBA 2009.12.04 finished with a 5-7 and -2.45 units lost/12 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.03 finished with a 2-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.02 finished with a 4-4 and -0.36 units won/8 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.01 finished with a 4-2 and +1.64 units won/6 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-2 and +1.64 units won/6 units risked on point spreads and totals.