Tommy Gold's NBA 2009.12.25 Picks

[TommyGold]

NBA 2009.12.25, 3 picks:

Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic: Under 189.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Los Angeles Lakers: Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek

Los Angeles Clippers @ Phoenix Suns: Over 210.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek

[TommyGold]

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Los Angeles Lakers

This will be a matchup between two contenders to the championship. But isn't all. It's probably a game between two runners to MVP title.

Cleveland after LeBron turned a star, have two kinds of teams. The first kind is a team that it's only LeBron plus 4 players. Since they signed Mo Willians, and with improvement of their centers. But the team get a little bit comfortable again, and still to much dependent of LeBron. For this year they signed Shaq, however it's only a big name, and isn't anymore a big player in quality terms. So, even we thought that this team would improve from last year with this sign, the truth is that the team isn't corresponding so well this season. They already have 8 losses, isn't much, but for the expectations is a little bit to much. They are struggling against teams that are showing a good game, as they are a little bit less effective in their defensive, as their centers aren't producing the expected.

Lakers are 16-1 after the return of Gasol. They are playing well, and are strong in the paint. This team is the actual champion, and are already launched to make a great season. This team, even when they slowdown, are able to win. Even with a broken finger, Kobe led this team to some straight wins, showing to everyone what is a champion. Their offense is going great particularly at home, and they usually allow less than 95 points. If you thing that they have an average of 105 points scored, we can conclude that their average is a win by 10 points. Show how ease it his, and this team is invincible at home since the return of Gasol, the key to a great improvement for this team.

Today we can expect two different teams. Cavaliers will try their best, with LeBron making a great game for sure. Shaq will return for the house where he was a big star and a champion, but he can't play many minutes. In the paint, there is a huge advantage to Lakers, and will be probably the key for this game. LeBron will be the best scorer for Cleveland and they will have to wait for some inspiration for another player, for example, Mo Willians. Lakers doesn't have to wait for anything. Their players are all good scorers, and this team enjoy and loves to play this big matches against another contenders. It will not take their foot off the accelerator even when they get in control of the game.


Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek



Los Angeles Clippers @ Phoenix Suns

Christmas should be a happy day for players. We can expect some Christmas spirit today, and the effect will be probably a soft defense, as both team will not be to hard doing something that they aren't good to.

Clippers are a team with good scorers. They have great scorers behind the arc as Davis and Gordon, and great scorers in the paint, such as Kaman and Camby. This team average normally 100 points allowed and the some on scored, but the tendency is making this numbers groin, as they are with 101 points scored and allowed in last 5.

Suns is a well known team. In 12 home games, only once they missed the target of 100 points scored. At home, this team was invincible until 2 games ago. In last 2 games, the team suffered the first and second home loss. Something strange, as they were showing a great game led by the veteran Nash.

This matchup have all to be a comfortable over. Some joy due to the holiday, two teams adept of offensive game, one bad defender as host and another as visitor, and a team that will be try to win this game with all they got. Suns can't miss another win at home and today will fight hard. And when they fight hard, it means that they will give all they got on offense. However, Clippers aren't making easy the game in this roadtrip, and normally scores 100 points even against good defensive teams. Against a no-defense team, it will be probably be higher.


Pick: Over 210.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek

[TommyGold]

NBA 2009.12.25 results:

Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic: Under 189.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (77-86: WIN)
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Los Angeles Lakers: Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (87-102: LOSS)
Los Angeles Clippers @ Phoenix Suns: Over 210.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (124-93: WIN)

NBA 2009.12.25 finished 2-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009/2010 Handicaps and Totals Record: 89-65-1 (+16.03 units won/154 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 14-16 (+3.9 units won/30 units risked)


NBA 2009/2010 Pointspreads and Totals L10 Days Tracker: 19-15-1 and +2.29 units won/34 units risked.
NBA 2009.12.25 finished 2-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.23 finished 3-4 and -1.27 units lost/7 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.22 finished 2-2 and -0.18 units lost/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.21 finished 0-4 and -4 units lost/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.

NBA 2009.12.20 finished 2-1-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.19 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.18 finished 4-1 and +2.60 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.17 finished 2-0 and +1.86 units won/2 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.16 finished 4-0 and +3.64 units won/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.