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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 12-27-2009, 11:21 AM
TommyGold TommyGold is offline
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Default Tommy Gold's NBA 2009.12.27 Picks

NBA 2009.12.27, first 3 picks:

Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors: Over 193 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Houston Rockets @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Under 192 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks: Under 198 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker


Houston Rockets @ Cleveland Cavaliers

This will be a matchup where a Eastern team host a Western team. Houston used to be a defensive team with Ming, however they have been adapted this season to play a faster game in order to keep competitive despite Ming season absence.

So, this ultra defensive team has started to use fast players, which could make them score a lot more.

However this doesn't happen in every game. When they faces a team that knows how to defend, they usually play a lower game to try to keep the scoreboard balanced.

Cleveland is incredible how they play in Sundays. They just enter the game with a high defensive, allowing few points, and with a low pace in the game, that keep them also away for a high score.

This year they aren't pushing themselves to big performances when they aren't facing a direct adversary, keeping only the control of the game against the other teams and with a low win margin. Today I expect a game played in a low pace and with a low score.


Pick: Under 192 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker


San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks

Knicks are going to their 7 straight game scoring less than 100 points. Their percentages are decreasing and their confidence is not the best right know, as they are nervous because of the memories of the start of the season, which could return soon.

This is not the best game right now to Knicks, as Spurs are a hard team to them, as they are 2-8 against Spurs in last 10 games. Spurs are being a disappoint so far, as they were expected to be one of the best teams on the league.

However, this had a break in Christmas that could benefit this team.

They are a team that doesn't enjoy to keep a high pace, as they are the oldest team in the league. Since Christmas, they went to Milwaukee won 112-97. But it's hard to keep this high score, as their bench shoot 71.5% on their attempts.

In a B2B game, Spurs have to be smart against a fast team such Knicks, and they could easily control this game if they keep a good defensive and a low pace.


Pick: Under 198 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker


NBA 2009.12.26 results:

Philadelphia 76ers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -7 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (97-76: WIN)
San Antonio Spurs @ Milwaukee Bucks: Under 191 -110 (1.91) The Greek (97-112: LOSS)
Charlotte Bobcats @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Under 190.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (98-91: WIN)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings: Los Angeles Lakers -6 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (103-112: WIN)
Phoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors: Phoenix Suns -3 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (132-127: LOSS)

NBA 2009.12.26 finished 3-2 and +0.73 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009/2010 Handicaps and Totals Record: 92-67-1 (+16.76 units won/159 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 14-16 (+3.9 units won/30 units risked)


NBA 2009/2010 Pointspreads and Totals L10 Days Tracker: 18-17-1 and -0.62 units lost/35 units risked.
NBA 2009.12.26 finished 3-2 and +0.73 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.25 finished 2-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.23 finished 3-4 and -1.27 units lost/7 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.22 finished 2-2 and -0.18 units lost/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.

NBA 2009.12.21 finished 0-4 and -4 units lost/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.20 finished 2-1-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.19 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.18 finished 4-1 and +2.60 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.17 finished 2-0 and +1.86 units won/2 units risked on point spreads and totals.
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Old 12-27-2009, 03:32 PM
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Troubleduke Troubleduke is offline
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I like your reasoning in the Rockets under. GL
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Old 12-27-2009, 06:13 PM
TommyGold TommyGold is offline
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NBA 2009.12.27, last 2 picks:

Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets: Dallas Mavericks +5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker & Dallas Mavericks ML +205 (3.05) The Greek
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Old 12-27-2009, 06:17 PM
TommyGold TommyGold is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Troubleduke View Post
I like your reasoning in the Rockets under. GL

Many thanks!!! :D
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Old 12-27-2009, 11:42 PM
TommyGold TommyGold is offline
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4-0 FULL MOON SWEEP!!! :D




NBA 2009.12.27 results:

Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors: Over 193 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (102-95: WIN)
Houston Rockets @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Under 192 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (108-83: WIN)
San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks: Under 198 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (88-95: WIN)
Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets: Dallas Mavericks +5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (96-104: WIN)

NBA 2009.12.27 finished 4-0 and +3.64 units won/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009/2010 Handicaps and Totals Record: 96-67-1 (+20.04 units won/163 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 15-16 (+5.95 units won/31 units risked)
Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets: Dallas Mavericks ML +205 (3.05) The Greek


NBA 2009/2010 Pointspreads and Totals L10 Days Tracker: 20-17-1 and +1.16 units lost/37 units risked.
NBA 2009.12.27 finished 4-0 and +3.64 units won/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.26 finished 3-2 and +0.73 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.25 finished 2-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.23 finished 3-4 and -1.27 units lost/7 units risked on point spreads and totals.

NBA 2009.12.22 finished 2-2 and -0.18 units lost/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.21 finished 0-4 and -4 units lost/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.20 finished 2-1-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.19 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.18 finished 4-1 and +2.60 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals.
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