Tommy Gold's NBA 2010.03.10 Picks (274-203-6, +46.29u)

[TommyGold]

NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 274-203-6, +46.29 units won (477 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 39-56, +6.01 units won (95 units risked)



NBA 2010.03.10 Final 6 picks:

Charlotte Bobcats @ Philadelphia 76ers: Over 188.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Utah Jazz @ Detroit Pistons: Under 201.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Utah Jazz @ Detroit Pistons: Utah Jazz -6 -105 (1.95) The Greek

Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolves: Over 216 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

New Orleans Hornets @ Oklahoma City Thunders: Oklahoma City Thunders -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

New Jersey Nets @ Dallas Mavericks: Over 203 -110 (1.91) 5Dimes

*One unit each always.

[DukiesBaby]

Just curious what did u get the okc line at on bookmaker?

[TommyGold]

OKL -7.5, which was at the time the current line in any sportsbook. Silly blunder.




Charlotte Bobcats @ Philadelphia 76ers

76ers will fight for this game to try save their coach that is with his job in risk. They have to give all they can today, despite they had a game yesterday, as they will face the Cavaliers next. This is the game where they have to take their chances and try to win.

And there is another unquestionable thing. To acomplish their goals today, they have to be focused and be able to ensure at least 45% of their shots. With a fast pace, they will be able to pass the (questionable) Bobcats' defense breach.

The truth is that the Bobcats are not good defenders on the road, specially if we compare it with their home defense. With great scorers and happy with their bounce back in their last games, they will have to be able to score a lot, behind the arc and quick penetrations to supress their lack of Centers.

This game will be a high pace game, with both teams probably reaching at least 100 points.

Pick: Over 188.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker


Utah Jazz @ Detroit Pistons

I believe that after the break, Detroit was convicted that it were possible to turn things and get a playoff spot. But with a 4-8 record, they showed that despite their wills, the improvement were minimum and not enough. So, their commitment with their games suffered a little bit and is not the same we saw when they won against the Spurs at home.

Despite their last game at home, where they win against Houston in OT without Stuckey, the truth is that the team can't keep that momentum to the next game. Stuckey has been a key in this team, and with him out, and Ben Wallace probably out as well, the team is a little bit soft, as we all know how Prince and Hamilton are, a little bit soft and not the same players we saw in previous years.

Utah will play just the enough to ensure the win, so, will be focus in their defense. With Boozer, Okur, Millsap and others, they will easily secure the frontcourt and smash Detroit there. At home, 27% behind the line is the numbers for Pistons. With their lack of size and strength in the paint and with Stuckey also out, this contest will be a slow game, totally controlled by Utah.

Picks: Utah Jazz -6 -105 (1.95) The Greek & Under 201.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker


Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota is suffering defeats over defeats. Is their game that bad? No, only their defense. They can very easily pass the 100 points mark. Denver, in their last 2 road games, weren't able to reach 90 points.

But that's something odd, as they are with an average of 102 points scored on the road. In the next games, 3 home games, 118 points were the minimum they reached. However one fact is that the Nuggets easily enter the games letting the opponents mark the pace with a high pace. They have great shooters, and a run and gun game is a better garden for them.

Today, Minnesota will try to make it a high pace game, to cover their lack of defense and try their chances. Even facing good defenses, they are able to score a lot, today, if they play that kind of game, Denver can despise a little bit their defense as well.

Pick: Over 216 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

[TommyGold]

New Orleans Hornets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

With CP3 and Peja out, the big shooters are out for New Orleans. With Okafor and West, the size stills there, but they are to soft particularly on the road. Their defense is really bad on the road. Their young guards were able to make a better job than everyone thought when CP3 get hurt, however, they will face today a young roster like them, but have a big edge.

Oklahoma City is a very mature for their age, and that have been their edge all the season, and with Durant (who is scoring at least 30 points per game very easily) leading them, they are among the teams that is fighting for a playoff spot. The recent form is different for both teams, as NOH are with several defeats, and the Thunder is with few defeats lately.

New Orleans is a team that easily gives up the game, but Thunder uses all their irreverence and youth to fight for the games. With a great supporters in Oklahoma, happy for host a NBA team playing a nice game, Oklahoma have all the edge to control this game, and it will be probably another huge night for Durant and his mates.

Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker


New Jersey Nets @ Dallas Mavericks

After the trade and the break, Dallas entered and amazing streak of wins. And they will enter todays game knowing that they had a great improvement and have to be looked as a contenders.

Even with 2 PGs out, the team will probably keep their offensive pace, that has been huge. Haywood will return today, and will have a hard work has we will face Brook Lopez. Probably in this individual matchup, both players will make a good job offensively, but not in the defense.

The Nets, despite a bad season, are showing some improvements, particularly on the road, where they don't have to face the tension they have at home. They play better on the road, scoring easily, and where they can fight and win games.

Probably they will not win this one, but will make it hard to Dallas, that will have to be alert and keep focus during all game.

Pick: Over 203 -110 (1.91) 5Dimes