JML Tuesday >>>

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Raptors -3.5 -110 vs Wince and the Nets
Toronto a very different team at home all year...thinking they bounce back and get it done easy tonight...my only concern is TJ Ford's health (gametime decision), although I do like Calderon...

1 Unit

GL

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Golden State -151 vs Dallas
Tailing rjp on this one....got a great line from Pinny....

2 Units

[Whit_Eboy]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

Golden State -151 vs Dallas
Tailing rjp on this one....got a great line from Pinny....

2 Units

Just wondering, so by taking the GS series line you think Warriors are going to win tonight? If so, wouldn't you take the moneyline for today's game? Because if Mavs win tonight I assume the series line would go in your favor if you still want to play GS.

Not sure how you see it though.

[rjp]

JML, if only I were Canadian, too!

Whi_Eboy, by taking GSW series price you win when the Warriors win tonight, in game 6, or in game 7. In tonight and game 7 the Warriors will not be favored, and they'll likely be small underdogs in game 6. The point is that while the Warriors aren't likely to win in Dallas, odds are good that over this three game stretch they will win one of the games often enough to be profitable at the available prices. My line for the series should be GSW ~74.5%, so a fairly significant overlay exists.

[BlazerAndy]

Originally Posted by rjp

JML, if only I were Canadian, too!

Whi_Eboy, by taking GSW series price you win when the Warriors win tonight, in game 6, or in game 7. In tonight and game 7 the Warriors will not be favored, and they'll likely be small underdogs in game 6. The point is that while the Warriors aren't likely to win in Dallas, odds are good that over this three game stretch they will win one of the games often enough to be profitable at the available prices. My line for the series should be GSW ~74.5%, so a fairly significant overlay exists.

Did you play the Lakers against the Suns last year also? Wasn't that a similar situation?

[rjp]

Nope, and I have no idea what the series price was after the Lakers were up 3-1. Like I said, I figure the true odds to be ~74.5%. Not a lock, but we're getting the best of it.

[PhillyFan3]

im hoping for the Warriors too, I like my odds I still have riding at +1000, I might hedge and take the Mavs at + money so no matter what I will be winning money