North Carolina Tar Heels vs. East Carolina Pirates Point Spread - Pick

[J Green]

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. East Carolina Pirates Point Spread - Pick

Betting Odds: UNC -6 / ECU +6
Over/Under Total: OFF
Moneyline: OFF

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Team Records Straight up and Against the Point Spread:

North Carolina Tar Heels: 3-1 SU / 2-2 ATS
East Carolina Pirates: 1-2 SU 1-2 ATS

Sagarin PREDICTOR Power Rankings
North Carolina Tar Heels: 79.54
East Carolina Pirates: 66.56

Trends Worth Noting:

1. UNC is 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
2. UNC is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
3. ECU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
4. ECU is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games.

Key Injuries:

UNC
Jabari Price CB Ques Sat - Hand
Joshua Adams WR Ques Sat - Illness
Erik Highsmith WR Ques Sat - Ankle
Casey Barth PK Doub Sat - Groin

ECU
Kyle Tudor LB Out indefinitely - Knee - 9/6/11 notes
John Lattimore DE Out for season - Achilles - 9/2/11 notes
Justin Jones WR Out indefinitely - Knee - 8/28/11 notes
Drew Gentry OL Out indefinitely - Knee - 8/28/11

Matchup Analysis:

UNC has a good all around team while ECU has a weak defense and no real running game to speak of. The Tar Heels should have no problem winning and covering the 6-point spread.

Jason's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: UNC -6

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