Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Point Spread - Pick

[J Green]

Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Point Spread - Pick

Betting Odds: Louis +14.5 / UNC -14.5
Over/Under Total: OFF
Moneyline: Louis +475 / UNC -6-5

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Team Records Straight up and Against the Point Spread:

Louisville Cardinals: 2-2 SU / 1-3 ATS
North Carolina Tar Heels: 4-1 SU 3-2 ATS

Sagarin PREDICTOR Power Rankings
Louisville Cardinals: 64.80
North Carolina Tar Heels: 81.80

Trends Worth Noting:

1. Louisville is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
2. Louisville is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
3. UNC is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
4. UNC is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Key Injuries:

Louisville
Will Stein QB day-to-day - Shoulder

UNC
Joshua Adams WR day-to-day - Illness
Casey Barth PK day-to-day - Groin
Terry Shankle CB day-to-day - Knee
T.J. Leifheit T day-to-day - Ankle
Jonathan Smith S day-to-day - Ankle

Matchup Analysis:

UNC has a pretty solid team on both sides of the ball and both of the Cardinals win this season have come against pretty weak teams. On top of that Louisville does not have a good offense and their starting QB is questionable for the game. Take the Tar Heels to win and cover.

Jason's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: UNC -14.5

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