Horfins Week 4 (Damn 1st month is gone)

[Horfin]

I hardly ever play games early in the week, but this line is wrong. I really like Detroit in this game and have played it early to avoid any further line movement. I posted thoughts in the Udoggie Discussion thread and just cut and pasted them here. I haven't fully capped the game, but I will add thoughts in here on it later:

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Lions are probably the best play on the board. I got news for everyone. Not everything in Chicago is Grossmans fault, there is a lot more to it. Benson Fumbled, defense lost key players in the off season and in the season so far. Detroit is off an embarassing loss. Lions should be a FAV of 3 points. Last week was a fluke. Kitna is not as bad as the INTs and Fum he put up. Remember he put up 400 yards against philly (only managed 21 points becuase of TOs). This same Philly D only allowed 16 and 20 points and a LOT less yards in the previous 2.

My gut was the Detroit should be favored by 3. I can't figure out how a team who has barely put up 40 points with a questionable QB, injured (and missing) defensive players, and the wrong RB can be favored on the road to a team with an offense and a limited defense.

1 unit on Detroit +3 (-120)
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Added:
Upon further review of some stuff....Chicago, if not for Devon Hester, could easily be 0-3. Hester returned a Punt for a TD against KC, and returned a punt which put Chi in FG position. Those two plays are worth 10 pts Chi won by 10. I checked out Detroits ST, allowed a long one to Minnesota, but other than that they have been pretty good against KR and EXCELLENT against Punting. The concern in this game is - Detroit should be able to do well against Hester (Chicagos main threat), but Kitna will be pressured and Detroit may not get much pressure on Grossman/Griese/Orton. Plus Detroit has problems at RB. But the focus on Det side should be hester. Keep it a field position game and Grossman/Griese should not be able to move the ball
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Horfin

[Daws1089]

Don't forget CHI's corner Vasher is out. That should put a less experienced guy out there to try and handle Roy, Calvin, or Furrey.

[Lpmatt]

Couldn't agree more, thinking the public might be on the Bears now that Rex is out so I'm gonna wait until sunday to bet it though.

[birdsfan5]

GL Horfin

[Horfin]

YTD:
NFL ML: 1-0 +1.85u
NFL Side: 15-22 -8.62u
NFL Total: 3- 5 -2.37u
-------------------------
19-27 -9.04u

Parlays 0-7 -3.5u
Teaser 3-3 -0.6u

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This season started out very poorly. Mostly because I'm an idiot and played way too many games. Cuttin' down the number of plays.

1:00
Detroit +3 (-120) vs. Chicago
Miami -4 vs. Oakland
Over 40 in Cleveland/Baltimore
Atlanta +3(-120) vs. Houston
Green Bay -1.5 vs. Minnesota
Buffalo +3.5 vs. NY Jets
St. Louis +13 vs. Dallas

4:00
K.C. +11.5 vs. S.D.
Ind -10 vs. Denver
Arz +6 vs. Pittsburgh

Parlay (1/2 to win 6)
Miami +4.5
GB -1
Ind -11
Phi ML +145

Teaser (1/2 to win 1)
Balt/Cle O 33
Ind -3
NYG +10
Cin +14.5

Good Luck Everyone
Horfin.

[Horfin]

Early Games:
Sides: 4-2 +1.6 units
Totals: 0-0-1 0 +0.0 units
Parlay: 0-1 -0.5 units


added:
ny giants +2.5


Horfin

[Touchdown]

GL Horfin

[Horfin]

Sides 7-2 +4.3 units
Totals 0-0-1

Pending: Teaser and NYG +2.5


Horfin

[Horfin]

Been a hell of a weekend:
Friday 4-1 in MLB
Saturday NCAAB 17-5
Sunday NFL 8-2
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Weekend: 29-8. 78%.

Today:
Sides 8-2 +5.2u
Totals 0-0-1 +0

Parlay 0-1 -0.5

Pending teaser: 1/2 to win 1 with Cincinnati +14.5

I'll be back tommorrow night with my plays on NE/CIN

[Larry]

Good job H! Nice weekend

[Underdog88]

Looks like your baby boy brought you some luck

[Horfin]

I may end up playin' the Moneyline, But for now:

Cincinnati +8


Horfin

[homedawg]

GL Horfy

[Horfin]

I hate a good weekend screwed up by a bad MNF game. At least I won the Colorado/SDP game.

Guess I should've listened to Kevin. He's the man you know. Blew my damn teaser too.


Thanks Homedawg......but your GL didn't give me any good luck (LOL!)


Horfin