JML Week 5 NFL >>> - Sports Betting Forums

JohnnyMapleLeaf · #1 (**permalink**) 10-05-2007, 10:47 AM

Week 4: 4-2, +8.72 Units (Pats

)

NFL YTD: 20-12. +26.64 Units

Thanksgiving long-weekend up here...lots of sports to watch...sweeeeet.
Bigger Card this week...things seem to be rolling, so what the hell...

Saints -3 -120 vs Panthers - 4 Units
Carolina has burned me the past two weeks...they were just overhyped before the season, and aren't a very good team...especially on offesnse. I don't see Carr changing that futility. They're 2-2, to NO's 0-3, but who have they beat? ATL & STL? Big deal. Saints have lost to 3 very good teams, and I see the Saints covering this one at home.

Steelers -5.5 vs Seahawks - 4 Units
Pittsburgh back home in the friendly surroundings of Heinz Field...I think they are still an elite team, but were in a bad spot travelling to Zona last week. I think they put a licking on the Seahwaks playing away from their crazy fans in the Northwest.

Cardinals -3 -115 vs Rams - 6 Units
With all the problems in STL, no Jackson again, Gus F'ing Ferotte at QB....I think this line is a gift, regardless of Zona's road history. Actually, Zona has covered both numbers on the road this year, and won outright as a 6.5 dog in STL last year...and these are two different teams this year (Cards better, STL way worse). Actually, Zona has covered the number 8 of their last 9 games, so why the hate on a really low number against the worst team in the nfl? Easy cover, IMO. Line should be 6. Second best line of the year behind the MNF NE line, IMO.

Falcons +9 vs Titans - 4 Units
Seems too high to me...Atlanta has turned things around on offense, and Joey is coming off a great game against that Houston defence. This one should be a close FG game, IMO.

Ravens -3 -115 vs 49ers - 4 Units
Niners not the team alot thought they would be. I've been fading the Ravens so far this year, but I think they get it done over the struggling Niners. Gore has done nothing. Dilfer starts for the first time in a while, and gets to face the pressure Raven defence?

Chargers ML +105 vs Denver - 6 Units
Another game I love. Denver sucks...they really should be 0-4 if not for lucky wins against Buf & Oak. Yes, SD is struggling, but after beating the Bears, they have lost to great teams NE & GB, and lost in the toughest stadium to play a road game in Arrowhead. Now they play in Denver, where the Broncos are 0-8 ATS in their last 9 at home!. SD goes back to basics, and gets it done against Denver's horrible, horrible run defence (181 yds p/g!). SD has been running the ball better, and LT might have had 200 yards against KC if Norv didn't go strictly to the pass in the 2nd half. Travis Henry also looks to be out for Denver...and he was one bright spot in their blowout loss at Indy. Chargers by DD.

Bears +4 -120 vs Packers - 4 Units
God help me, but I have a feeling Chicago finally shows up, Griese with another week to prepare hopefully looks better, and the Packers come back down to earth a bit. Maybe Hester runs back 3 kicks, lol!

Will also be on Dallas on MNF.

Let's keep it rolling!

Daws1089 · #2 (**permalink**) 10-05-2007, 11:40 AM

i like a bunch of those as well. specifically sd, no, and pitt. GL and happy canadian thanksgiving.

Lpmatt · #3 (**permalink**) 10-05-2007, 12:41 PM

Like the first 4, I really don't get the Titan line. I guess it's because they're coming off a bye and has the extra week to prepare but I think it should be more at 6-7.

bookiekilla · #4 (**permalink**) 10-05-2007, 02:05 PM

wow..almost the exact same card...only difference I see is that I'm not playing the Steelers game, and have the redskins instead...well...hope you sweep bro...cuz that means I'd have a helluva weekend too..lol...GL!