***UDoggie's MNF in Buffalo***

[Underdog88]

NFL 55-69-2 -13.65


This one deserves it's own thread, my Bills are finally on the big stage @ home....




Buffalo+10.5-105

3 units

Buffalo/Dallas o45-105

Bills+7 1sth-115

1 unit each


Bills+550

half unit


OK, so we have Dallas traveling to Buffalo 4-0 su & 4-0 ats. They have scored 34 or more points in every game & the smallest margin of victory was week 1 vs NYG (they won by 10). They are off an easy win at home vs. the Rams, & are back at home vs. the Pats next week. Possible look ahead situation here with the sandwich game. The Bills are off a su win as home dogs to the Jets & are 1-3, but 2-2 ats. I had them 1-3 going in to this game before the season started, so it's no surprise to me. Dallas is averaging a league best 440 total yards of offense- 288 passing, 152 on the ground. The Bills have the worst pass D allowing 282 per game, & their run D is allowing 4.9 ypc 148 per game. Romo should be able to move the ball, especially if Dallas can establish Barber/Jones early. The Bills are thin at LB, well pretty much everywhere defensively, but it's very apparent with the LBs. Crowell played well vs the Jets with 11 tackles (8 solo), & I think DiGiorgio played alright. Haggan worries me a bit, as Witten will likely be lined up on his side. That is one huge mismatch IMO, as Haggan (6-3, 263) will not be able to cover him. I don't think any of the Bills LB can cover Witten, & would expect him to be a huge part of the offense today. The Bills did well defending the run last week, allowing just 60 yards @ 3.2 ypc vs the Jets. However, Dallas has a much better run game than the Jets, & the Bills have had the task of playing 3 of the top rushing teams in the league so far with pretty bad results. I have Dallas putting up 27-30 points, so the question for me would be can the Bills score?

It would be an understatement to say the Bills offense was anemic in the first 3 games. Losman barely even attempted to throw downfield. Now I'm not going to get ahead of myself & say Edwards is the answer quite yet, but I do think his style of play is better suited for the Bills right now. The last game, he was able to sit in the pocket, go through his progressions & throw accurately. He wasn't rattled at all, which impressed me the most. 22-28 243 1td 1int, a pretty solid day overall. The Cowboys defense will definitely be a bigger test for him, but i still think he'll be able to move the ball. Lee Evans reappeared last week as Edwards was able to find him 6 times. I think Price's absence is a blessing in disguise, as Roscoe Parrish will be able to get more time. He's a big threat in the open field, & has the moves to make people miss. He had 4 catches last week, & I'm really hoping he can get involved tonight. He could be a Radle El type playmaker... Lynch is looking good considering the o-line is really having problems run blocking. I think the Bills will be able to put up 20 on Dallas today, so I'm taking the points. I'm also leaning towards the 1stq over 7.5, & will likely play the Bills ML small. Right now it's at +500.....

[PhillyFan3]

gl UDOGG!! I like the Bills as well, Evans should have his breakout week this week against the Dallas secondary....lets get this tonight, go bills!

[gladgarbage]

UDOGG hows the weather in Buffalo ?

[homedawg]

GL UD I'm gonna need a whole lot more beer, before I can even attempt to make a wager on the bills.... damn do they suck!!!! last in in offense & defense against the 1 offense & 9 defense.... look ahead for the boyz????

[Underdog88]

Thanks Philly, HD

HD- I'm hoping the Bills offense can score points today... if not maybe a kr for TD, hell I'll take em any way I can get em

Gladgarbage- right now it is low 80's & sunny, contrary to what FF may think there's no need for a shovel quite yet...

[homedawg]

unless there are garbage td's for da' bills, I dont think this game goes over the total and buffalo covers... kinda like nep/cle and ind/tbb yesterday... both went over, and neither dog covered... GL

[tdawgmd]

Like the pick UDogg--mostly because 70% of public is on Dallas on MNF, and the line hasn't moved a bit. Honestly, when I looked at the line, I thought it would be at least 14, so I think Vegas is begging for some Dallas money.

[NittanyLions94]

Let's hit this thing with your boys tonight UD

[Underdog88]

Thanks tdawgmd, Nitts


tdawgmd- IMO the line is set right... No way would Dallas be a 14 pt road fave vs an AFC team...


added 2 more plays to the top

[NittanyLions94]

That +550 looks tasty but I just can't find any way that the Bills get an outright win outside of playing the "look-ahead" angle. But MNF and a flashy team I see no way they look ahead. I'm seeing it more as a 3-7 point win by the Boyz. GL though you know I'll be rootin hard

[HoosierDaddy]

GL man....also liking the notion that AFC teams, at home against NFC teams, have done pretty well it seems like.

[Q-Unit]

[OneYearWonder]

gl tonight Udog, with you on the over....hope that ML hits for you tonight......

[Underdog88]

Originally Posted by NittanyLions94

That +550 looks tasty but I just can't find any way that the Bills get an outright win outside of playing the "look-ahead" angle.

It's always tough to find reasons why a big dog will win, but hell it happens. IMO the Bills will need the help of turnovers & some big plays to take it su, but at +550 I had to put a little on it. Down to +490 @ 5Dimes now, so I'm happy with the number.


Thanks Hoosier, Q & OYW

[birdsfan5]

If Stanford can beat USC the Bills can beat the Cowgirls. GL Underdog. Bills win by 10+