week seven

[yomonte]

9-12 -4.20

MNF Indy -3 +105

Jacksonville always plays Indy tough and gives them a run for their money hence the 3.

[yomonte]

Using opening lines from SI

Lines of 1: Fav is 4-1
Lines of 1 and 1 1/2: Road team is 6-1
Lines of 2 and 2 1/2: Home team is 4-1 Under is 4-1
Lines of 3: Dog is 13-4 with 5 pushes
Lines of 4: Over is 3-0
Lines of 5 and 5 1/2: Dog is 4-1
Lines of 6: Over is 4-2
Lines of 7 and 7 1/2: Fav is 4-0 Over is 3-1
Lines of 9: Dog is 4-0
Lines of 9 1/2: Fav is 2-0
Lines of 9 1/2 and 10: Home is 4-0
Lines of 9 1/2 to 11: Home is 7-2
Lines of 10 1/2 to 11 1/2: Under is 5-0
Lines of 10 1/2 to 13: Under is 6-1
Lines of 14 or higher: Home, Fav and Over 2-0

All games covered opening and closing lines with one exception. Stl opened at +1 and closed at +3 1/2. Ariz won by 3.

3 times a line moved a fav to a dog and the road team won all 3. The original fav is 1-2

Line movement on totals only came into play 3 times. Games have gone ov or un open and closing lines with 3 exceptions.

MNF: road team is 3-2-1 Under 4-2

Sunday late game: Over is 5-1

Totals of 33 1/2 to 35: Under is 5-1 Road 5-1
Totals of 33 1/2 to 35 1/2: Dog is 7-1
Totals of 36 1/2 to 37 1/2: Dog is 6-2 Road 5-3
Totals of 38: Home is 5-0
Totals of 38 to 39: Fav is 6-1
Totals of 39 to 40 1/2: Road is 12-3
Totals of 40 and 40 1/2: Road is 5-1
Totals of 41: Under is 4-1
Totals of 42: Dog and Over is 3-2
Totals of 43 1/2 to 44 1/2: Home is 7-1
Totals of 43 1/2 to 51 1/2: Home is 17-3
Totals of 46 1/2 to 51 1/2: Home is 6-0

The half point only came into play if you bought the half point on the line of 3 with the exception of week 3 when Houston pushed the opening line vs Indy-6. I was out of town and didn't record closing lines that week, but I would think Indy didn't go to 5 1/2. Weeks 4 and 5, all dogs with a line of +3 covered with SU wins by 5 of 6. Buying the half point on any other line would have been needless. Only 4 times of the 20 lines of 3 did the fav cover. Those would be Houston week 1, Dallas week 2, Tampa Bay week 3 and Philly week 6. Using opening lines from SI, the dog is 13-4 with 5 pushes. Also, if your thinking of buying the line of three and worried about the line moving, only 7 of the 20 moved off the 3. Three went to 2 and 2 1/2 in week 4 where the dogs won SU. Week 5, two went to 3 1/2 and 4 where the dog won SU and the other dog covered. In week 6, one game went from 3 to 1 and the dog covered while another went to 4 and the fave covered. In week 2, Dallas on the road at Miami went to 3 1/2 and Dallas covered handily (ya'll know I cain't spell handily, don't even look like a real word). Now, if you bought the 1/2 point on the dog at +3, it would have helped 5 times and and 4 times you would have lost and the higher juice. But you would have went 18-4. Any other line, there ws no need with one exception posted above

Home dogs that open at 3 are 8-2 with 7 winning SU. When the line moves down, 5-0

[DevilsAdvokt]

Originally Posted by yomonte

Using opening lines from SI

Totals of 43 1/2 to 44 1/2: Home is 7-1
Totals of 43 1/2 to 51 1/2: Home is 17-3

so does this mean home team covers spread or home team is 24-4 straight up with the win?

[DevilsAdvokt]

cause if that means straight up ill take 24-4 and atl tonight money line

[yomonte]

Its ATS but I'll check to see if they won SU. Its not 24-4 tho. Your reading it wrong.

[DevilsAdvokt]

Originally Posted by yomonte

Its ATS but I'll check to see if they won SU. Its not 24-4 tho. Your reading it wrong.

no need ill just take the points tonight thanks for the info... go falcons

[yomonte]

SU is 20-3. 3 won SU but pushed the opener. Atl opened at 43 so is a no play for that trend

[DevilsAdvokt]

oh ok

[yomonte]

Balt/Buff un 34 1/2 -110

[yomonte]

Cincy -6

All the above crap is ATS. I'm going with the totals of 43 1/2 or higher and of the three that fit, I feel Cincy is the realistic pick. The other two are Jax and Dal. I think Cincy wins by a TD

[yomonte]

PST to PST: HF 2 RF 1 Un 3
PST to MST: HD 1 RD 2 Ov 2 Un 1
PST to CST: HD 1 RD 1 Ov 1 Un 1
PST to EST: HF 3 RD 1 Ov 3 Un 1
MST to PST: Push 1 Un 1
MST to CST: RF 1 Ov 1
MST to EST: HF 1 HD 1 RD 1 Ov 2 Un 1
CST to PST: HF 1 RD 3 Ov 3 Un 1
CST to CST: HF 3 RF 1 RD 4 Ov 4 Un 4
CST to EST: HF 6 RF 1 HD 4 RD 3 Push 1 Ov 9 Un 6
EST to PST: HF 1 HD 1 RD 2 Ov 3 Un 1
EST to MST: HD 1 RD 2 Ov 1 Un 2
EST to CST: HF 2 RF 2 HD 2 RD 4 Push 1 Ov 4 Un 7
EST to EST: HF 14 RF 7 HD 5 RD 9 Push 2 Ov 14 Un 22

[birdsfan5]

GL Yo

[BoKnows]

Originally Posted by yomonte

9-12 -4.20

MNF Indy -3 +105

Jacksonville always plays Indy tough and gives them a run for their money hence the 3.

Going against your line notes with this one?

[Larry]

Look at you working on a perfect week

Hope you ain't had too much breakfest today

[yomonte]

Originally Posted by BoKnows

Going against your line notes with this one?

I know Bo. i grabbed it as soon as I seen it.

Hey Larry, I'm still having breakfast. I'm off tomorrow and AH Nevermind LOL