Cavorca NFL 8

[cavorca12]

Ugly looking card, but we shall see.....

St Louis +8.5
New England -16
New York G-men -9
Oakland -2
Detroit -2.5
Philadelphia -6


1 Unite each, may add more later. BOL to everyone!

[cavorca12]

Jumped on this right when the line came:

Dallas 2H -8.5

Dallas much better 2H team, and look at time of possession. Minn D likely to wear down. I like the probability of the better home team coming back to win, thus covering. BOL

[cavorca12]

4-3 this week. Adding these for MNF.

Indianapolis at Jacksonville
Jacksonville +3 (Even)
Under 45

See post below that reflects added plays.

Only 1/2 unit on the side, lean toward Jax, and normal 1 unit on the total.

Jax at home, running ball well & playing well overall lately, physical style fits v Indy, play Indy well in general like TN.
Indy rested & relatively healthy, have gotten fraction of media coverage compared to NE, might be motivated by NE hype to show they are just as good, big MNF stage, Indy shows up v top NFL teams, payback after blowout v Jax last year.

I think it just comes down to whether or not Jax can run the ball effectively. Indy having extra week doesn't make a huge difference to me. They play twice a year, no significant roster turnover, and know each other well, thus, game planning likely not as important as how much guys show up. Don't see a bunch of value either way, but lean toward the home dog thinking they will run ball well. Think the tough/physical style keeps it under, but only see barely enough value to make it 1 unit instead of 1/2.

BOL to everyone tonight!

[BoKnows]

Gl Cavorca!

Nice win Saturday night!

[cavorca12]

Thanks Bo! I just don't even know what to say about the game, I'm just sitting here shaking my head thinking about it...

[BoKnows]

Originally Posted by cavorca12

Thanks Bo! I just don't even know what to say about the game, I'm just sitting here shaking my head thinking about it...

You should be thinking.....I am damn glad AU is in the West and we dont have to play them again LOL!

[cavorca12]

Haha, definitely sums things up well Bo. Adding another 1/2 unit on Jax +3 (+105) and then 1/2 unit on Jax ML +150. That brings my MNF wagers to.....

Indianapolis at Jacksonville
Jacksonville +3 (1 unit total, Half each at Even and +105)
Under 45 (1 unit)
Jacksonville ML +150 (1/2 Unit)

I'm now deeper in this game that I wanted to be , but we'll see how things look after the 1H.

[cavorca12]

Not even close with Jax... Just a couple thoughts:

1. Kornheiser is horrible, and ESPN should ditch the "witty comment guy" on MNF. Just ruins the game IMO.

2. Quinn Gray is not good. A little ways, it became apparent to me if Jax was going to win, it would be with Garrard throwing. A little ways after that, he got hurt...and Jax didn't have a prayer with Gray.

3. This was the 2nd MNF game in a row covered by an away favorite that was significantly backed by the public. GB at Den next week, but while GB is +3 dog, public is siding with them about 60/40 so far. Interesting to see what happens if that climbs to 75+.

That's it for tonight. YTD updated below. Congrats to everyone on Indy and the Under .

[cavorca12]

Forgot an important thing...

One huge oversight on my part when capping this: Bob Sanders. After watching him make a tackle near the line on seemingly every Jax run in the 1H, I thought back to Jax's 375 rush yrd blowout last year and wondered if he played. Sure enough, no Bob Sanders in the box score. Even though 375 is a ton regardless, turns out he definitely is a huge key for Indy stopping the run. But if you watched the game, I'm sure you are aware since the ESPN crew might as well have chisseled out a bust and enshrined him with how much they gished over him in the 1H.....