week nine

[yomonte]

16-14 +0.60

New England -4 1/2

Harrison out for Indy. Brady has all his weopons in tact. Indy hasn't played a real contender all season as opposed to New England beating Dallas and San Diego by 20+. Total opened at 57 and the fav is 5-0 with totals of 48 1/2 or higher with the road fav getting 3 of the 5.

[yomonte]

Using opening lines from SI and are ATS

Lines of 1: Fav is 10-4 road is 11-3
Lines of 2 and 2 1/2: Home team is 4-1 Under is 4-1
Lines of 3: Dog is 16-10 with 5 pushes
Lines of 4 1/2: Road is 3-1
Lines of 5 and 5 1/2: Dog is 6-1 Road 5-2
Lines of 6: Over is 6-3
Lines of 7 and 7 1/2: Fav is 4-2 Home 5-1
Lines of 9: Dog is 5-1
Lines of 9 1/2: Fav is 2-0
Lines of 9 1/2 and 10: Home is 7-0-1
Lines of 9 1/2 to 11: Home is 10-2
Lines of 10 1/2 to 11 1/2: Under is 5-0
Lines of 10 1/2 to 13: Under is 6-1
Lines of 14 or higher: Fav and Over 4-0

Home dogs that open at 3 are 9-5 with 8 winning SU. When the line moves down, 5-1

All games covered opening and closing lines with 4 exceptions. Week 5, Stl opened at +1 and closed at +3 1/2. Ariz won by 3. Week 7, Dallas pushed opening (-10) and covered closing (-9 1/2). Week 6 Washington covered opening (+3 1/2) and pushed closing (+3). Week 9, NE pushed opener -4 and lost on closing -5.

5 times a line moved a fav to a dog. Throad team is 5-1. The original fav is 4-2

Games have gone ov or un open and closing lines with 4 exceptions.

MNF: Road team is 6-2-1 Under 7-2

Sunday late game: Over is 7-1

Totals of 33 1/2 to 35: Under is 6-1 Road 5-2
Totals of 33 1/2 to 35 1/2: Dog is 8-1
Totals of 36 1/2 to 37 1/2: Dog is 8-4
Totals of 37: Home is 6-2
Totals of 38: Home is 5-2
Totals of 38 1/2 and 39: Over is 5-1
Totals of 39 to 40 1/2: Road is 14-3
Totals of 39 1/2: Road is 6-1 Dog is 6-1`
Totals of 40 1/2: Over is 3-0
Totals of 41: Under is 4-2
Totals of 42: Dog is 6-2
Totals of 43 1/2 to 44 1/2: Home is 8-4
Totals of 44 to 51 1/2: Home is 21-8
Totals of 46 1/2 to 51 1/2: Home is 10-2
Totals of 46 1/2 or higher: Fav is 10-3
Totals of 48 1/2 or higher: Fav is 5-0-2

[yomonte]

PST to PST: HF 2 RF 1 Un 3
PST to MST: HD 1 RD 2 Ov 2 Un 1
PST to CST: HF 1 HD 2 RD 1 Ov 3 Un 1
PST to EST: HF 5 RD 2 Ov 4 Un 3
MST to PST: Push 1 Un 1
MST to MST: N/A
MST to CST: RF 1 Ov 1
MST to EST: HF 3 HD 1 RD 2 Ov 4 Un 2
CST to PST: HF 3 RF 1 RD 5 Ov 4 Un 4 Push 1?
CST to MST: HD 1 RD 1 Ov 1 Un 1
CST to CST: HF 3 RF 1 RD 5 Push 1 Ov 4 Un 6
CST to EST: HF 6 RF 4 HD 4 RD 5 Push 1 Ov 11 Un 9
EST to PST: HF 1 HD 1 RD 2 Ov 3 Un 1
EST to MST: HD 1 RD 2 Ov 1 Un 2
EST to CST: HF 3 RF 3 HD 2 RD 5 Push 1 Ov 6 Un 8
EST to EST: HF 20 RF 11 HD 8 RD 11 Push 3 Ov 22 Un 31

[yomonte]

Cle -1 -105

Jus a trend play

[yomonte]

Correction: Cle -1 1/2 -105

Wash -3 -125
Dallas-3 -120

I know I'm a square. That is not a news flash bitches LOL. I jus can't pass up these two. Joe Pub is taking his chances.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Originally Posted by yomonte

Correction: Cle -1 1/2 -105

Wash -3 -125
Dallas-3 -120

I know I'm a square. That is not a news flash bitches LOL. I jus can't pass up these two. Joe Pub is taking his chances.

lol...I got Wash/Dal early too....it should be near 5 by gametime....GL!

[yomonte]

JML, lines of 3 rarely move. Wash is already at 3 1/2. Teams have covered opening and closing lines with 3 exceptions. Three exceptions out of all the games played is such a small % that I don't even worry about it. I also felt these would move and grabbed it when I could. Don't mean they are going to win LOL

[yomonte]

SD seems to be gettin' their groove back. Min is a sinking. Total seems alittle low for two good RB's. Favs are covering lines of 7 and 7 1/2 at a decent clip.

SD -7 -110

[yomonte]

HomeDawg posted that losers of MNF either won SU or ATS the next week. It won again this week with Jax winning SU. I looked for that post and couldn't find it. Looks like Den might be a play and are a 3 pt dog @ Det. I hope I didn't get that wrong. If I remember correctly, bye's did not factor in this.

[Billy Barooooooo]

YO YO Did you ban me from your email???

Everything keeps getting kicked backed!


Email me when you get a chance!

[yomonte]

Billy, I sent you and all my contacts an email and it bounced. I posted my new email in A section.

[homedawg]

Originally Posted by yomonte

HomeDawg posted that losers of MNF either won SU or ATS the next week. It won again this week with Jax winning SU. I looked for that post and couldn't find it. Looks like Den might be a play and are a 3 pt dog @ Det. I hope I didn't get that wrong. If I remember correctly, bye's did not factor in this.

Mnf su loser ~~~~~~~ following week result

bal--------------------------> su win
ari-------------------------->su win
phi--------------------------> su win
nos------------------------->bye
cin------------------------->bye
buf------------------------->bye
atl-------------------------->ats cover
jax------------------------->su win

[yomonte]

HD, I kinda like Den this week and being a 3 pt dog, I might just pull the trigger.

5 times a line moved a fav to a dog and the road team won all 5.

Buff opened at -1 and is now +1. Cincy on the road doesn't seem like a bad play either.

I need to play some dogs to add to the big ass public plays I made thus far.

[homedawg]

take a look @ jax

[yomonte]

Originally Posted by homedawg

take a look @ jax

Too late, I've exhausted my acct

Den+3 -120
Car -110
Cincy -1 -110

Now I can sit back and relax and play a freeroll or two LOL