week eleven

[yomonte]

22-22 -2.15

Dogs went 9-3-1 yesterday (MNF pending). It never fails that the next week, the favs have their day. This put a damper on my arrivals and departures LOL. I've been riding the road fav of -1 and am not stopping now. They went 1-1 yesterday and of the 3 favs, the RF of -1 got one. Although this has went to -2 already at Oly I grabbed it since teams that cover are covering open and close with 5 exceptions. Favs will shine in week eleven. This has always happened when the dogs cover this many in the week before.

NO -2 -105

[yomonte]

Just a thought

Cle -3 @ Balt o/u 44 (open)

The first EST team playing a EST team listed at SI, the home team is 8-1-1. The one road team that covered was in week 1

Home dogs that open at 3 are 10-6-1 with 9 winning SU. **When the line moves down, 5-1-1** (Down to 2 1/2 already)

Lines of 3: Dog is 18-11 with 6 pushes

Totals of 44 to 51 1/2: Home is 23-12

Now why would a team that almost beat Pitt, move to 2 1/2 over the worflessness of Balt

I don't think we can go another week of Ray Lewis crying like a 5 year old kindegarten cry baby

Just a thought

[yomonte]

NE -15 1/2 -110

NE goes back to beating teams by 17 or more. Buff just barely beat the still winless Fins

[yomonte]

Using opening lines from SI and are ATS

Lines of 1: Fav is 11-6 Road is 12-5
Lines of 2 and 2 1/2: Home team is 4-1 Under is 4-1
Lines of 3: Dog is 18-15 with 7 pushes
Lines of 4 1/2: Road is 6-1
Lines of 5 and 5 1/2: Dog is 6-1 Road 5-2
Lines of 6: Over is 8-3
Lines of 7 and 7 1/2: Fav is 5-2 Home 6-1
Lines of 9: Dog is 5-1
Lines of 9 1/2 and 10: Home is 8-1-1
Lines of 10: Home is 5-0-1
Lines of 10 1/2 to 11 1/2: Under is 6-2
Lines of 14 or higher: Fav and Over 5-1

All games covered opening and closing lines with 7 exceptions. Week 5, Stl opened at +1 and closed at +3 1/2. Ariz won by 3. Week 7, Dallas pushed opening (-10) and covered closing (-9 1/2). Week 6 Washington covered opening (+3 1/2) and pushed closing (+3). Week 9, NE pushed opener -4 and lost on closing -5. Week 10, Buff-3 at Mia, opener gets a push and covers closing of -1.Week 11, Cle pushes opener and covers closing and Mia covered opener while Philly covered closing

7 times a line moved a fav to a dog. The road team is 6-3. The original fav is 4-5

The first EST team playing a EST team listed at SI for Sunday, the home team is 7-1-3. The one road team that covered was in week 1

Games have gone ov or un open and closing lines with 4 exceptions.

MNF: Road team is 6-5-1 Under 8-4. When the road team covers, under is 6-0. When the home team covers, the over is 4-1. A push in week one went under.

Sunday late game: Over is 8-2

Totals of 33 to 35 1/2: Dog is 10-2-1 Road is 9-3-1
Totals of 34 1/2 to 35 1/2: Dog is 8-1-1
Totals of 36: Fav is 4-0-1
Totals of 37: Home is 8-2
Totals of 38 1/2 and 39: Over is 6-1
Totals of 39 1/2: Road is 6-1 Dog is 5-2`
Totals of 42: Dog is 5-2-1
Totals of 45 1/2 to 46 1/2: Fav is 7-3
Totals of 46 to 47 1/2: Over is 8-3
Totals of 46 and 46 1/2: Fav is 5-1
Totals of 48 to 49: Under is 4-1

[BoKnows]

Solid work YO! Thanks for making the effort!

[yomonte]

Originally Posted by BoKnows

Solid work YO! Thanks for making the effort!

LOL Bo, I got no life. After the books crunch their #'s and put up the opening line......AH Nevermind. Lets have a beer

[yomonte]

Sd +3 -120

[yomonte]

23-22 -1.15 After MNF

PST to PST: HF 3 RF 1 Un 4 (Fav 4-0 Un 4-0)
PST to MST: HD 1 RD 2 Ov 2 Un 1 (Dog 3-0)
PST to CST: HF 2 HD 2 RD 1 Ov 4 Un 1
PST to EST: HF 6 RD 2 Ov 5 Un 3
MST to PST: Push 1 Un 1
MST to MST: N/A
MST to CST: RF 1 RD 1 Ov 2 (Road 2-0 Ov 2-0)
MST to EST: HF 3 HD 1 RD 3 Ov 5 Un 2
CST to PST: HF 3 RF 3 RD 4 Ov 4 Un 5 Push 1
CST to MST: HD 1 RD 1 Ov 1 Un 1 (Dog 2-0)
CST to CST: HF 4 RF 1 HD 1RD 6 Push 1 Ov 5 Un 8
CST to EST: HF 6 RF 6 HD 4 RD 5 Push 1 Ov 12 Un 10
EST to PST: HF 1 HD 2 RD 2 Ov 3 Un 2
EST to MST: HF 1 HD 2 RD 2 Ov 2 Un 2 (Dog 4-1)
EST to CST: HF 4 RF 3 HD 2 RD 6 Push 1 Ov 8 Un 8
EST to EST: HF 20 RF 13 HD 9 RD 19 Push 5 Ov 28 Un 38

[yomonte]

Originally Posted by yomonte

Sd +3 -120

****, I took a dog

Hey Monte took a dog!

[yomonte]

NO is +1 now. Did'nt see that one coming. They moved from -1 to -2. Never thought they would move to a dog. Thought it would go to -3. OH FKN WELL LOL

[Rothko]

Are you purposely fading me??? You and your little clique with Flyers....LOL!

[yomonte]

[yomonte]

KC/Indy over 43 -110

Lines of 14 or higher: Fav and Over 4-0

I think KC covers this one.

[yomonte]

NYG -3 +105

Det opened at -1. Lines that move down 3 or more, the dog has covered ATS. NYG being the dog here. As you have seen, I bet early as hell. I missed the boat on this one and got a bad line on NO. Only one thing in my favor. Teams cover open and close with 5 exceptions. I hope that holds true this week got dammilit. Leaning towards Atl. Doubt I will pull the trigger.

[birdsfan5]

GL Yo