Horfin's Week 16 - Sports Betting Forums

Horfin · #1 (**permalink**) 12-20-2007, 11:57 AM

Last week was bitter sweet going 11-3 on sides and 0-8 on totals (or something like that). So unless a total looks really tasty I'm staying off.

Tonights game looks odd to me:
1. 63% on Pitt and line moves from 9.5 to 7.5
2. Who is better in the last 5 games? Both teams are 2-3 and 3-3 in last 6
3. Pitt has only beaten Balt and Ciny on the road, 2-4 on road
4. Fist of back to back road games for Pitts
5. Second of back to back home for St. Louis (and they lost the first)
6. Pitt travels on a short week
7. St. L has gone 1-6 at home, but only two losses at home were by more than 7 (GB and Carolina)
8. Pitt has proven that they can be beaten by bad teams on the road (arz, nyj, den)

In my mind there is no reason why this line was 9.5 or even 7.5, should be a 4 point line:
Pittsburgh 24
St. Louis 20

1.5 units on St. Louis +7.5

I think the total is spot on, so ain't playin it.

Horfin

JohnnyMapleLeaf · #2 (**permalink**) 12-20-2007, 12:00 PM

GL Horf!

I'll take that 24-20 score, as it hits the Over by a 1/2 point! lol!

Horfin · #3 (**permalink**) 12-22-2007, 12:46 AM

Had the total closer than I had the side in that last game.

Usually I hate taking Road Favs. Expecially Road Favs of double digits.

But I think Dallas Bounces back and Carolina isn't a team that can win twice in a row against two playoff teams (not to mention two divisional winners)

Going with
Dallas -10.5 (reluctantly)

Horfin

yomonte · #4 (**permalink**) 12-22-2007, 03:36 PM

GL Horfy. StL is a relatively good team. They just can't click together as a team. When they click, they can be great. GL and Merry Xmas

SuperSkins · #5 (**permalink**) 12-22-2007, 03:43 PM

GL tonight Horfin

daft_picks · #6 (**permalink**) 12-22-2007, 04:18 PM

GL tonight Horf, looking forward to Sunday, hoping the Browns fall and Titans rise...like the reluctant Dallas play tonight

Horfin · #7 (**permalink**) 12-23-2007, 08:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by daft_picks

GL tonight Horf, looking forward to Sunday, hoping the Browns fall and Titans rise...like the reluctant Dallas play tonight

daft....

Go ahead and place your bet on Cincinnati ML. Dude they win SU. I just hope the Tits don't mess it up in a look forward game.

Horfin

Horfin · #8 (**permalink**) 12-23-2007, 08:52 AM

Sunday:

1 Pm
NY Giants -2.5 vs. Buffalo
New Orleans -3.5 (+100) vs. Philadelphia
Oakland +14 (-120) vs. Jacksonville (I know west to east, but Oakland is better than I think)
Detroit -5 vs. KC
Detroit/KC Over 43.5 (I swore off totals, but this looks nice)
Indianapolis -7 (-105) vs. Houston
Cincinnati ML +120 vs. Cleveland
OVER 32.5 in Green Bay Chicago

4:00 games:
Tampons -6 vs. San Fransisco
Arizona -10 vs. Atlanta
OVER 45 in New England/Miami
Tennessee/NY Jets - No Play
Baltimore/Seattle - No Play

Damn does that look like a Joe Public card or what.....Almost all Favorites and 3 Overs.

Gotta Quick Nick Parlay I had to play....
Cincinnati +3 (-125)
GB -370
Ind -300
Ne -2500
NO -3 (-125)
Arz-450
Sea-700
Ten -400
TB-260

1 unit to win 12.

All Favs but Cincinnati in that parlay?

Horfin

Horfin · #9 (**permalink**) 12-23-2007, 03:27 PM

AM Games:
Sides 3-2-1
ML 1-0
Totals 2-0
All: 6-2-1.

Horfin

Horfin · #10 (**permalink**) 12-23-2007, 05:14 PM

SNF

Washington +6
Over 40.5

Parlay of:
Washington +7 (pt bought) and Over 40 (1/2 pt bought)

Good Luck Everyone

Horfin

daft_picks · #11 (**permalink**) 12-23-2007, 05:30 PM

Yeah Horf, you were right about that Cinci straight up win, glad I hedged my Cleveland play a little, both having +$$ odds. Here's hoping the Titans hang on, I think we can do it!

ps. why do you like Washington tonight? Personally I think Minnesota at home will get the win, as they have won their last 5 games by 7 points or more. I like the over for sure though, gonna add that I think.