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NFL Football Do your handicapping and make your pro football picks from the National Football League here! For more picks with analysis, check out the NFL Betting section of our site!

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Old 01-04-2008, 03:22 PM
daft_picks daft_picks is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Miami / Nashville
Posts: 149
Default Daft's wild card...

Haven't been around for a few days, just wanted to get all of my picks down in one post, see a lot of you guys on the same sides as me which is comforting. Broke about even for the season, going to try and get focused and come out on top after the playoffs. For the weekend:

Jags -2 over Pitt 2.75 to win 2.5 units
(PUSH)
This one almost seems too easy, but I just think Jacksonville is the better, more complete team right now. Big Ben will have to step up huge if the steelers are to have a decent chance at winning this game but I just think the Jax D steps up bigger.

Tampa -3 over NYG (+105) 5 to win 5.25 units
I really like Tampa in this game, I think their D will force Eli into making mistakes and Garcia's experience will lead them to victory so I'm all over "picking the winner" here especially with the juice. The only worrying factor is the different ways these teams entered the playoffs but I think Tampa resting their players vs. NYG playing hard but losing some people to injuries in their last game will factor into their defeat.

Tenn +10 over San Diego (-105) 2.1 to win 2 units added 1.15 to win 1 unit Tenn +10.5 (-115)
Some may think this is a homer play (see my ML play for that), but even an impartial person I think should agree that this has the makings of a close and hard fought game. I watched the Titans lose in OT to San Diego, and I know we match up well with this team. Should be a low scoring, fiercely fought game and 10 points IMO is just too many to pass up.

Titans ML +450/+400 1.25/1.25 to win 5.625/5 units
This is the homer play, such good value in my opinion for a game that the Titans do actually have a chance of winning. They may not, but there sure as hell is no value IMO in San Diego -650 (found these lines at bodog). Go titans!

PROPS
Hawks team UNDER 22 points (-120) 1.8 to win 1.5 units (LOSS -1.5)
Team to use first timeout WASHINGTON (-130) 1.3 to win 1 unit (LOSS -1.3)
Pitt first score of game FG OR SAFETY (+110) 1 to win 1.1 units (LOSS -1)
Jags team OVER 20.5 points (-115) 1.15 to win 1 unit (WIN +1)

2 teasers
Jags +4.5
Skins +10.5
Skins/Hawks UNDER 47.5
1.5 to win 2.25 units
(TOUGH LOSS -1.5)

Georgia -1.5 (over Hawaii)
Jags +5.5
Jags/Steelers OVER 32
Skins/Hawks UNDER 47
Tampa +4
Tampa/NYG UNDER 47
Titans +16
.75 to win 6 units
(LOSS -.75)

1 parlay
Skins ML +165
Skins/Hawks UNDER 40.5
Jags team total OVER 20.5
.6 to win 5 units
(Had a great chance...loss .6)

All future plays played throughout the season:
Team to win AFC conference:
Jags +1615 .525 to win 8.5 units
Titans +2550 .95 to win 25 units (not happening)
Team to win Superbowl:
Jags +2550 .8 to win 20.4 units
Colts +745 1 to win 7.45 units

Please don't let the Patriots get to the superbowl...
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Last edited by daft_picks : 01-06-2008 at 01:05 PM.
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Old 01-05-2008, 02:30 PM
daft_picks daft_picks is offline
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Adding my total plays for the games, I got three games under 39.5 I'm just hoping at least 2 go under! I see some smash mouth football for these wildcard games, the only over play I made was on the Pitt game and I went smaller on that one.

Seattle/Wash UNDER 39.5 2.2 to win 2 units (Tough LOSS -2.2)
Jax/Pitt OVER 40 (-105) 1.05 to win 1 unit (EASY WIN +1)
NYG/Tampa UNDER 39.5 2.2 to win 2 units
SDG/Tenn UNDER 39.5 2.2 to win 2 units


Also adding one more teaser because I think these two games stay relatively close...
Wash +10.5
Tenn +17
2.6 to win 2 units (LOSS -2)

Best of luck to all today, enjoy the games
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Last edited by daft_picks : 01-06-2008 at 12:54 PM.
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Old 01-05-2008, 02:34 PM
JohnnyMapleLeaf's Avatar
JohnnyMapleLeaf JohnnyMapleLeaf is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Toronto
Posts: 7,122
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GL, daft
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Old 01-05-2008, 06:26 PM
daft_picks daft_picks is offline
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Washington needs some offense, I have them in 2 teasers +10.5 so just going to hedge that a small bit with seattle at a pick'em, finally got some juice that was acceptable.

Hawks PICK 2nd half (-115) 1.15 to win 1 unit (WIN +1)

Under looks fine though...good luck to all
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Last edited by daft_picks : 01-06-2008 at 12:59 PM.
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Old 01-06-2008, 12:59 PM
daft_picks daft_picks is offline
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Yuck, yesterday did not go well, 36 points in the 4th quarter of the seahawks game just blew it for me!! Plays looked so good for a time then just blew up in my face. Then I got a lowly push on the Jags game (glad they pulled it out though), ended night down about 7 units. Must stay strong though, only first day of playoffs, biggest play of the weekend on Tampa and Titans game coming very soon. No more bullshit plays, sticking to my guns and hoping to make some $$ back. BOL to all today

edit:
adding some small props for fun
First score Titans/Chargers FG OR SAFETY (+130) 1 to win 1.3 units
LT UNDER 103.5 rushing yards (+110) 1 to win 1.1 units
LT 1rst carry UNDER 3.5 yards (EVEN) .5 to win .5 units
Shawn Merriman OVER 6 tackle (-130) .65 to win .5 units
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Last edited by daft_picks : 01-06-2008 at 04:17 PM.
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Old 01-06-2008, 06:06 PM
daft_picks daft_picks is offline
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Looking good, but so have most of the plays I've made this weekend at the half. Gates out is huge, Titans can win this!!

Chargers -10 2nd half (+145) .5 to win .725 units

Hopefully I lose this one...

GO TITANS
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