JML Week 4 NFL >>>

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

NFL YTD: 14-13, +19.76 Units

Getting these two public plays in early before I lose the hook.

Chargers -7 -110 vs Raiders

Teaser: Chargers -0.5/Broncos -3 @ -120

3 Units Each


Also looking at some anti-public plays...namely the Vikings +3, Browns +4, Cards +3 & Bucs ML ...but I'll wait for (hopefully) some reduced juice by the weekend.


GL

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Rams are a mess, and I fear for Green's life...Bills are young, confident and hungry...

Bills -6.5 -145 vs Rams

3 Units

[Daws1089]

gl to you this weekend. I'm curious to see why you are interested in the browns.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Vikings +3.5 -123 vs Titans
Smells like a FG game. Two pretty evenly matched teams IMO. Yes, Tenn is 3-0, but they've beat teams that are a combined 1-7, whereas Minny started with games against the much tougher GB, IND & CAR. I'll take the points.

Cardinals +2 -111 vs Jets
Wrong team favoured IMO. Jets are a bad team, and are laying points with the high-profile Farve. The 19 point loss last week actually flattered the Jets. Warner and the two WR studs on Zona should have a field day on that Jets secondary. Not as worried about the Zona West/East travel, as the team stayed in the East Coast all week after the Washington game. It could actually be the Jets in the bad scheduling spot here, coming off Monday nighter in San Diego.

Bucs -1 -108 vs Packers
I have TB as a better team right now, so at a pick'em at home it's a solid play IMO. GB gets more headlines, but the home team has looked good. Bucs defence is very good, and will rattle Rodgers. GB has Al Harris out, and are thin at secondary. GB has only beaten Minny with Tavaris at QB, and Detroit. They were outmatched against Dallas, and I think it's a little much to ask them to win on the road against another quality team.

Eagles -3 -116 vs Bears
NFC East teams are 10-2 with both losses occurring within their own division. Bears are outmatched here, as McNabb will throw all over the Bears secondary, and Orton should have trouble contending with Philly's pass rush.

2.5 Units Each

GL

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Panthers -6.5 -106 vs Falcons

Falcons have 2 wins over Kansas City or Detroit...two train wrecks and both wins were at home. Their only road game was a blowout loss to TB. Carolina back home after a loss in Minny and they will handle Atlanta easily, who are a young team will likely struggle on road games against a quality opponents.

2.5 Units



That's it...

[FlyersFan]

MonteJapleLeaf- GL!.........like TAM but i must say i really like CHI tomorrow

[hook11050]

Gl Leaf...Like most of your picks...Great week last week by the way, keep up the good work...Lets make it a profitable one..

[Q-Unit]

GL JML!

like the chargers

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

That Chargers play was the right side all along!!

Looks like an even Sunday with the Bolts backdoor...

Nice defence, Arizona

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

• Steelers/Ravens Over 34 –110
• Teaser: Steelers +2/Over 27

2 Units Each


Lowest total of week 4, and I’ll play the over on a prime-time Monday night game, where all 4 games this year have gone over, with totals averaging 63 points. Teams play different and more aggressive on Kornhole night in America. lol.

When you think of these two teams, you think defence (hence the tiny number), but looking closer, both matchups between these two went Over last year, the Over is 10-4 in the last 14 matchups overall, and is 6-1 in the last 7 matchups in Pittsburgh. The Steelers are coming off two bigtime unders on the road the last two weeks, but I think they bounce back with some points at home tonight. Since Big Ben entered the league, the Steelers Over is 27-9-1 at home. This guy puts up points at Heinz Field. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see a defensive score or two with the way they both can play aggressive on that side of the ball. Also like the Steelers to do whatever it takes to win the game at home...especcially with Flacco in his first road game.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Updating after sweeping both Monday night plays...

NFL YTD: 20-17, +22.15 Units