JML Week 5 NFL >>>

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

NFL YTD: 20-17, +22.15 Units

Getting these four public plays in early...and they're all public road faves to boot....eesh. lol

Titans -3 +110 vs Ravens
Titans ML -145 vs Ravens
Steelers played mostly a horrible game and still managed to win the game on Monday. That and two wins over the Ohio teams still has me not convinced Baltimore is a playoff caliber team. After that hard-hitting game Monday, the banged up Ravens and Flacco will be in tough here on the short week against the Titans who can do no wrong, are consistant and strong on both sides of the ball, and seem to be the healthiest team in the NFL. Fisher also gets his team to play well on the road, as they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games. They're also 4-0 ATS this year. They cover the measly FG in Baltimore's first lopsided loss this year.

Chargers -6 -109 vs Dolphins
After SD's close win last week, and the Fins win over the Pats, we get a small number for the much better team. Time for a bigtime letdown for the Fins after the amazing win in New England 2 weeks ago. They've had to much time too think about how great they were. lol.

Colts -3 -113 vs Texans
Must win time already for the Colts? Peyton gets my money in that situation playing the Texans. Colts have played 3 tough defences already this year, and now matchup with a Texans defence that has given up an average of 33 points per game this year, 3rd worst in the league, only better than jokes Detroit and STL, and even worse than Denver. Indy usually has to lay DD in this matchup, so I'll bite on three and hope the Colts play their first Colt-like game of the year.

Patriots -3 -123 vs 49ers
Belichek and the NE coaches with 2 weeks to prepare coming off that brutal loss at home. After that MIA/NE game last week, I'm fading the Fins, so I might as well back the Pats, as I think that game might have been an abberation, and we're getting value the next week on both sides because of that result alone. Niners with two wins over the injured Seahawks and the Lions also haven't proved anything yet. We'll see how they matchup against a pissed off Pats team.


2 Units Each

Also have a few anti-public plays that I'll put in later this week. Looking at TB, Zona, & Dallas.

GL

[FlyersFan]

JML- i was thinking Over was the best play in the Houston/Indy game. Houston will get their fare share of points especially with Sanders not patrolling the secondary. And as you said, Houston's defense is well.....not very good.

GL!......in another week all this becomes meaningless.....

[yomonte]

Took Tenn as well. Miami, like atl first week scored alot and won only to lose big the next week. That will be Mia this week. Also looking at Jax.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Thanks. Yeah, FF...I was actually looking at that Indy Over....and if the spread was 5 or 6, I might have went with that, but to only lay 3 in a game where I think Peyton will be able to score was the better option for me.

Uncle Yo...I like the Jags too.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Jaguars -4 -109 vs Steelers
Steelers were able to pull out a very ugly win at home against the Ravens, but will be in trouble on the road against the Jags. Steelers have not looked good on the road at all scoring a total of 16 points in Phi & Cle. They are a running team with RB injuries...now down to 3rd string. Big Ben does not look the same, and the injuries are definitely affecting his game. He has also not had success against the Jags, going 0-3 including the playoff loss last year. Pittsburgh's on a short week, banged up, and in a tough spot here. Jags have turned their season around winning two straight, and need this win bad.

2 Units

[Underdog88]

GL JohnnyPublicLeaf!

[FlyersFan]

dang- it's chalkyjohnnyleaft......

stay away from those -320's in the NHL this year, though....

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Originally Posted by Underdog88

GL JohnnyPublicLeaf!

Nope...Its always a mixture...just looking for winners! Put the public plays in early, and the anti-public in late...always looking for the best lines!

GL GUYS

[daft_picks]

Nice card JML, glad to see you on the Titans! Liking several of those plays as well, BOL to you this weekend !

[JoeyBallgame]

perennial juggernauts laying tiny numbers vs. inferior teams this week...BOL JML.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Teaser @ -130 - Cowboys -9.5 / BC Lions (CFL) -2.5 - 3 Units
Getting the Cowboys under double-digits at home in this spot coming off that loss makes me more comfortable than laying the full 17 (although I think that covers as well). Dallas will be looking to really put on a show offensively. I added a CFL play to the tease which is my favourite side of the week...I actually played BC -9.5 straight up as well on a big play. Their opponent, the Argos are a mess and should lose by 20+ against the CFL's hottest team, and the best sack-happy defence this league has seen in years.

Eagles -6 -108 vs Redskins
Washington b2b road games against Dallas and Philly....letdown time after last weeks win. Philly's defence will be all over Campbell. Philly hasn't allowed a TD in 3 straight home games.

Cardinals -1 -110 vs Bills
I've been backing the Bills all year so far, but this is a perfect spot for the Bills to finally get beat, across the country in Zona. The Cards have only played one home game, a blowout of Miami, and should be back in a comfort zone after playing (and living) 2 straight weeks on the East Coast. Despite his fumbleitis, Warner has played well this year throwing the ball, and the Bills look to be missing their best CB McGee this week. He'll be missed in the secondary against the pass-happy Cards AND on special teams where the Bills are already without Roscoe Parrish. Zona just needs Warner to hold onto the damn ball.

2 Units Each


Waiting to add the Bucs play, as the public continues to hammer Denver. Looking for reduced juice on my +3.5.

GL

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Bucs +3.5 +100 vs Broncos
Got my reduced juice.

2 Units

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Panthers -9.5 -113 vs Chiefs
Chiefs on the road? lmao.

Packers -4 -108 vs Falcons
Falcons on the road? lmao. If Roy Rogers was at QB for the Packers I'd still play them here.


2 Units Each

[birdsfan5]

GL JML