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One small 2nd half play, too much value here despite the 1st half score. Neither team is an explosive offensive threat in my opinion. Going to have at least one more afternoon play.
1% 2nd HALF TOTAL = BILLS @ CHIEFS - UNDER 22½ (-110) |
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Yeah Biff, ugly second quarter there on that half-bet... best of luck on the rest of your plays and your late games. :)
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MMA: 41-53-1 // 43.62% // -2.88 units MLB: 13-23-0 // 36.11% // -2.35 units MLB Underdog System: 32-3 // 91.43% // +28.66 units Updated on 05/14/12 --- One of my 2012 resolutions: no more action gambling. NFL 11: 49-42-4 // 53.84% // +7.40 units NCAAB 11: 25-21-0 // 54.35% // +1.90 units NHL 11: 122-118-0 // 50.83% // +14.98 units NCAAF 10-11: 78-81-2 // 49.06% // -27.00 units MLB 10: 148-126-1 // 54.01% // +25.43 units NBA 10: 130-120-3 // 52.00% // +15.31 units |
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Looking for a small night cap to a very nice day. Putting 1% action on both NFL and NCAA tonight. Sanders is out for the Colts and the Chargers should be pumped up and leave it all on the field with Denver losing. Good luck.
1% SPREAD = CHARGERS -3 (-110) -- |
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Well I've always thought Denver was pathetic this year. Anyone who follows me knows that. Shame I laid off the Raiders at the last minute and rolled with just the Falcons in the afternoon. I would have loved to have profited from that game. But the Chargers are just a total mindwarp right now. Even w/o Merriman this team has more than enough talent. Step 1 is BENCH LT! The guy is washed up this year with that toe injury. Sproles could do twice as much, and could have got them a win yesterday in my opinion.
Tonight I'm staying small as I've been plain awful in MNF this year. The Over in MNF this year is 10-1-1 with the past two games both sailing over by 2+ touchdowns. If oddsmakers are any good at what they do they'll stop getting burned. This week they set a number low enough that 2 out of 3 people bet the over, but also high enough that 6-7 TD's will be needed to cover. Everyone is expecting both teams to air it out keeping the clock stopped, but they still have to make the plays. If the defense knows what's coming and has a few weeks of film, they make adjustments. Saints are up against a INT machine in the GB secondary. I'd lay off the sides, because this game will come down to 1-2 big plays I think, and I'm not laying huge money on one or two guys catching a ball or not. Instead I'm taking the Under strictly under the idea that this will be a competitive game despite everyone thinking the Saints have "too many problems" right now. 1% TOTAL = PACKERS @ SAINTS - UNDER 52 (-110) -- |
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