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Old 12-14-2008, 11:30 AM
Stifler's Mom's Avatar
Stifler's Mom Stifler's Mom is offline
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Default Week 15

1:00pm

Bills +8 (-105)

Bills are in a tailspin, having been eliminated from any real playoff contention. Good, maybe that will raise some of the pressure that was placed on them by their hot start. This team has been losing from making mistakes, not lack of being able to compete, and finally draw a more realistic line this week against the almost equally overhyped Jets. Bills with revenge today, and now instead of having to play the role of the team who started 5-1 and was supposed to be good, now they can play the role of spoiler against divisional rival Jets. Jets may win, but I think this line is too high. Lets see how they do....

Lions +17

That Thanksgiving day game is still fresh in everyone's mind, i think. I mean that was a beating of monumental proportions, lol. But Tennessee is a different team than Indy. More physical, rammed the ball down the Lionettes throats on the ground, forced a ton of turnovers that gave them easy scores. These are things Indy has not really shown the ability to consistently do this season.

Indy will win, but by more than 17? Indy has won by more than this twice all year, and are not the high flying offense they once were. I know Detroit blows, but I think the can at least score double digits here, and certainly have a chance to get in the low 20's if they can make a few plays....

Jacksonville +2.5 (+100)

Green Bay is done. People can say Jacksonville sucks all they want, but GB sucks just as bad. Seeing them as a road fave of any size is an auto fade for me, unless they're playing Detroit, or maybe St Louis...

Miami -6

I don't care about the whole east to west thing, but this game falls into an old system I use that normally doesn't lose. It's 18-2 since I've been tracking it. Plays are rare, about 2 or 3 a year normally, and this is actually the first play this year that fell into it this year. I'll give it a shot, even though I don't much care for laying this many points with the Dolphins.

KC Chiefs +6

San Diego as a road fave makes no sense to me either. They're not very good.

St Louis +2.5

Yea, the Lambs blow, but Seattle as road chalk, and without Hasselbeck? Yikes....

Tampon Bay +4 (-105)

Atlanta looked too obvious after Tampa's suckness on MNF, and now a short week to prepare. My thoughts are in another thread. I liked ATL, but the oddsmakers like TB IMHO, and I am going with them. Hope I don't pay for second guessing my original thoughts on this one....

Houston +3 (+100)

My thoughts on this one are in another thread too. Fishy line to say the absolute least. How is the 12-1 team not laying more than a fg, especially with them receiving 72% of the bets....

Cincinnati +7 (-120)

Washington has won by more than 7 points ONCE this year....by 8 @ DETROIT. Even when they win, it's ugly. This line is dumb if you ask me....and if Washington covers, it will more than likely be due to a slew of Bungles turnovers leading to easy scores. If Cincinnati can hold on to the ball even halfway decent, this looks like another ugly game where neither team gets out of the teens, something like 18-13 or 16-12 either way, with a safety or two thrown in there, lol

2 units each

Yea, i played every side, lol.

4pm games later....
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Old 12-14-2008, 11:35 AM
RamPride RamPride is offline
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Default GL Stif

Tampa line up to 5 now..what is your system play with the dolphins?? was actually looking at that game earlier and like the fins' like cincy as well!
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Old 12-14-2008, 11:53 AM
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It has to do with fading a team with a sub .500 record, who won SU as a home dog one week, and then goes out on the road the next week and is a +7 or less dog.

If they're +7.5 or more, or favored, it doesn't qualify....
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Old 12-14-2008, 11:56 AM
RamPride RamPride is offline
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Default gotcha

I like it..small play for me on the fins!
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Old 12-14-2008, 12:00 PM
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GL Stif! Went with the Bills over as IMO if they cover they will have to f'n score.
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Old 12-14-2008, 02:18 PM
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add for 4:00:

Oakland +7 (+100)
Minnesota +4 (+100)
Pittsburgh +3 (-115)

2 units each


LOL, only 1 fave for me today (MIAMI)....and it looks as they will fail to cover, as they are too pussy to put a team away, which is the reason I didn't want to lay 6 points with them in the first place
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Old 12-14-2008, 02:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stifler's Mom View Post
1:00pm

Bills +8 (-105)

Bills are in a tailspin, having been eliminated from any real playoff contention. Good, maybe that will raise some of the pressure that was placed on them by their hot start. This team has been losing from making mistakes, not lack of being able to compete, and finally draw a more realistic line this week against the almost equally overhyped Jets. Bills with revenge today, and now instead of having to play the role of the team who started 5-1 and was supposed to be good, now they can play the role of spoiler against divisional rival Jets. Jets may win, but I think this line is too high. Lets see how they do....

....
you're welcome for the reverse jinx i put on them in BB's thread..... (have them in the pick 3 today)
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Old 12-14-2008, 05:59 PM
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add:

Cowgirls -3

2 units
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Old 12-14-2008, 06:04 PM
Billy The Kid Billy The Kid is offline
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nice day today stiff, with you on the cowboys
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MLB '11 0-0
NFL '10
31-21 +14.52 units
NBA '10
12-15 -14.58 units
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Old 12-14-2008, 07:08 PM
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Nice day... where are the haters now
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Old 12-14-2008, 07:43 PM
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Ming the Merciless Ming the Merciless is offline
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Nice day Stiffy!
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NCAA YTD: 2-3-2 -3.9 units.

"If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself, but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle." Sun Tzu- The Art of War
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Old 12-14-2008, 08:42 PM
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Great day Stif!!!
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2008.....updated 1/11/9....7:00pm....pacific

NFL 14-7-1.................+28.5

NBA 4-9....................-7.45

NCAAF 7-14..................-13.9
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Old 12-14-2008, 09:07 PM
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whatever....im still not sold on the guy........




























































....nice work stiff....
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Old 12-14-2008, 10:06 PM
GameBoy GameBoy is offline
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damn stif, i should of tailed you - darn it!
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Old 12-15-2008, 09:29 AM
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Default Great day

Great Day Stif.........! I tailed every play and hit the books hard. Where is that big mouth idiot now that questioned your handicapping? - fn idiot.

Cant believe you took the Cowboys, but Im glad you did. Go Big D!
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