Need some advice for tonight's game...

[bookiekilla]

Ok...here's the deal...I have a 4 team 13 point teaser pending with the last team being Denver +22......I've risked 6.5 units to win 5 units for this teaser (yeah i know the odds weren't too good), but it's got 1 team left to cash, and it's a pretty big play...

do you guys think I should try for a middle with this late game?? I'm seeing the line as san diego -7 right now, so it's a 15 point middle...but not sure if I should or if I should, for how much?

My initial thought is to just keep my teaser at Denver +22, and hope that cashes...and not worry about middling it...

would really like to get some thoughts from some of the regulars here...

[BoilerBacker]

Normally I would say no, but I actually think SD -7 is a decent play right now.

The other option is to wait until halftime and hope Denver does not implode (down more than 2 TD) in the first half. You should still have some good options and if the game is close, you can just keep your original play.

[bookiekilla]

yeah, I'm thinking that I'm going to take a chance and wait until halftime to see where I'm at with this play...

[FlyersFan]

never understood hedging....all you are doing is giving 1/2 your winnings away. let the thing ride. if it was good at +22 last night then it's good today at +22. i swear i see more guys compromise good bets on these sites by doing that ****...

let it ride.....

[birdsfan5]

Originally Posted by FlyersFan

never understood hedging....all you are doing is giving 1/2 your winnings away. let the thing ride. if it was good at +22 last night then it's good today at +22. i swear i see more guys compromise good bets on these sites by doing that ****...

let it ride.....

He would have a good shot at a middle.

[FlyersFan]

Originally Posted by birdsfan5

He would have a good shot at a middle.

yeah, i agree, but why mess with it i guess is my point. +22 is pretty good for a game involving 2 teams with no defenses.

[birdsfan5]

Originally Posted by FlyersFan

yeah, i agree, but why mess with it i guess is my point. +22 is pretty good for a game involving 2 teams with no defenses.

I see what you are saying 22 points should be good.

[bookiekilla]

thanks for the comments fellas...so far i've just let it ride with the +22....going to see at halftime if I want to make a play, but at this point, i will most likely just let it ride at +22 and not make any halftime plays...atleast that's the way I'm leaning right now...

[bookiekilla]

22 points aren't looking too good right now..24-6 right now, and its just about halftime.......going to see what the half time line is...

[BoilerBacker]

i would play SD -3 even for at least half of your play.

[BoilerBacker]

just the fact that the line is SD -2 or so says a lot. Vegas thinks this is going to get worse.

[FlyersFan]

Originally Posted by BoilerBacker

i would play SD -3 even for at least half of your play.

i would agree 100% with that at this point. you are on the wrong side with DEN in your teaser and that's pretty obvious. take 1/2 a payout and be happy. but you did the right thing, at least IMHO by riding out the 1H to see what happened

[bookiekilla]

so you guys think SD -3 for about 3 units is good?

the teaser is risking 6.5 units to win 5 units....

[Stifler's Mom]

Yea, I agree. I see no reason to believe Denver is competitive here in the 2H. They blow hard.

[BoilerBacker]

Originally Posted by Stifler's Mom

Yea, I agree. I see no reason to believe Denver is competitive here in the 2H. They blow hard.

they also suck hard.

LMAO