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Nice film homedawg! It was great to see him earn a victory for his team after fumbling on the 1 yard line earlier. Sweet performance!
Just going small in this afternoon game because of all the intangibles... Westbrook, Tarvaris, the Vikings weakened DL. I do think Philly has earned a spot more so than Tampa or Chicago in this game, and Andy Reid has always made it past the 1st round. The Eagles should be okay with the noise. While the Vikings defense has been good, Philly and McNabb appear to be ready to get the offense going on the road. I need 10 points less than both of these two teams saw in a game on average this year. Might seem like a chump bet, but the odds seem very right in a game that I win if it's decided by a FG granted one team breaks the teens. I may make a 2nd half bet on the Eagles as well if they are down at the half. Best of luck everyone. 1% TEASER = EAGLES +3½ & OVER 34 (-120) --
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"Half of life is luck... the other half is discipline..." Last edited by Biff_Tannen; 01-04-2009 at 03:19 PM.. Reason: fixed the line. waited and got 34. |
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Very excited the divisional round is here... I though I'd throw in some numbers I've found for those interested.
1) Since 2004, any NFL playoff team off a first -round bye favored by six or more owns a record of 5-11 ATS. (PIT & CAR) 2) Since 1976, the highest % of wins in any point spread category is for home faves of 7-9½ points, a record of 24-18 ATS. (CAR) Anquan Boldin isn't close to being 100%, while DeAngelo Williams is on a tear of a lifetime. I don't expect Edge do nearly as much as he did last week against a less than physical Falcons defense. If the weather becomes a factor and Kurt has trouble slinging the ball downfield this powerful offense could sputter. If they do, I expect Fox and Carolina to go for the jugular. Simply put, despite this being the playoffs, the Cardinals have come up short on the road all year. I'm splitting this 2% bet by taking some on the 1st Half spread. John Fox definitely doesn't take any team lightly, and he's going to want to build a cushion in the 1st half. The overall result... John Fox is 6-1 ATS in the postseason as Carolina’s head coach, and I'm looking to make that 7-1 ATS after tonight. Best of luck to everyone. 1% 1st HALF SPREAD = PANTHERS -6½ (-115) *RISKING $345 TO WIN $300 1% SPREAD = PANTHERS -9½ (-110) *RISKING $440 TO WIN $400 --
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"Half of life is luck... the other half is discipline..." Last edited by Biff_Tannen; 01-10-2009 at 06:22 PM.. Reason: date change |
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Tough break on the 1st half line. If Carney makes that FG I'm in the money. The plan was to split a 2% wager again, but this time I waited until the 2nd half to get a cheaper line in case the 1st half fell short. If the 1st half went over I would have stopped, but since that didn't happen here's the 2nd half bet. I can only hope for better results in the final 30 min. As always, best of luck.
1% 2nd HALF TOTAL = EAGLES @ GIANTS - OVER 18 (-105) |
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