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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 01-05-2009, 09:09 AM
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JohnnyMapleLeaf JohnnyMapleLeaf is offline
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Default JML Divisional Playoffs >>>

NFL Regular Season: 95-87, +25.00 Units
NFL Playoffs: 3-1, +6.37 Units


Pending Futures:

To win AFC: Ravens +720

To Win NFC: Eagles +816 and Panthers +260


1 Unit Each



Got this in right away yesterday...so posting early...

Steelers -5 -110 vs Chargers

3 Units



Looking at backing Baltimore, Philly & Carolina.... 2 road teams and 2 home teams...


GL!
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Old 01-05-2009, 10:04 PM
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Bought two more units of Pittsburgh tonight...might as well post it...

Steelers -5 -116 vs Chargers

2 Units


Waiting on the rest...GL
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Old 01-05-2009, 10:21 PM
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Why do you keep layin' that juice on the 5?

NFL ATS and Over/Under Push Frequencies
Spread N Std. Err. Freq.

0 699 0.00% 0.00%
1 2,213 0.33% 2.44%
2 2,703 0.27% 2.07%
3 2,954 0.54% 9.38%
4 3,019 0.32% 3.28%
5 3,207 0.22% 1.59%
6 2,160 0.39% 3.38%
7 1,918 0.51% 5.16%
8 1,845 0.33% 2.06%
9 1,447 0.27% 1.04%
10 917 0.71% 4.80%
11 793 0.54% 2.40%
12 610 0.33% 0.66%
13 397 0.66% 1.76%
14 311 1.18% 4.50%
15 258 0.77% 1.55%
16 146 1.35% 2.74%
17 84 2.58% 5.95%
18 57 1.74% 1.75%


If you think pitt is an easy cover, you can get -101 on the 6 & +120 on the 7

GL
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Old 01-05-2009, 11:00 PM
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JohnnyMapleLeaf JohnnyMapleLeaf is offline
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I like to play lines near the usual -110. Pinnys are just usually a 1/2 point better.
Second buy I wanted to keep the same number for the whole wager, or I would have done 5.5.
Why do you care? lol.
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Old 01-05-2009, 11:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf View Post
I like to play lines near the usual -110. Pinnys are just usually a 1/2 point better.
Second buy I wanted to keep the same number for the whole wager, or I would have done 5.5.
Why do you care? lol.
The above lines are from pinny!

I do care, I have been making more money bettin' close to or @+$, just thought I would pass it on to you!

Think about it?

You make 10 bets -?
you need to win 6 to make or break even!

You make 10 bets +?
you only need to win 5 to break even or make!

Bottom line is:

if you like a team at -5, get -5.5 or -6 to keep it close to even money!

50/50 on every bet you make, just make your bet even $$$, and win 60/40
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Old 01-06-2009, 08:19 AM
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Always play + Juice. Play the dog. Play the anti-pub. yada yada. lmao. Dude, everyone here plays -110. Quite normal actually. Anyway...I bought the -5 -116 b/c I wanted the same line for the game as my initial buy. If not I would have went with the normal juice and -5.5. I just happened to get a great early -5 line. But who really f'ing cares?

Leave me alone please. I do this for fun. It's a hobby, and I don't lose money. In fact I win more units than most it seems playing my way. I keep records. I am happy the way I play. I don't take it too seriously, and have fun with it.

Anyway...I thought we were staying out of each others threads? lol.
I know you like to tell everyone what to do, but I'll be just fine w/o the Great HD's wisdom.
Thanks anyway.

Gl with your plays...

Last edited by JohnnyMapleLeaf; 01-06-2009 at 08:43 AM..
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Old 01-06-2009, 02:28 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf View Post
I don't lose money. In fact I win more units than most
Are you a tout or just a warlord?LOL
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Old 01-06-2009, 02:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BoKnows View Post
Are you a tout or just a warlord?LOL
Toulord.



This thread.

Last edited by JohnnyMapleLeaf; 01-06-2009 at 02:46 PM..
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Old 01-06-2009, 02:59 PM
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lol. Are there going to be any more pics in this thread, or should I start bashing too?
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Old 01-06-2009, 03:41 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf View Post
Toulord.


Now that has a nice ring too it!Keep up the strong work Toulord..LOL!!
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Old 01-06-2009, 10:12 PM
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Default I feel the bye hurts Pittsburgh

I know it gets Ben aka Drama Queen healthy , but i honestly feel that SD has all the momentum... SD is confident that they can come into Pitt and win this weekend .. +7 is a nice number if you can get it IMO ... I really like THE CHARGERS to cover that # ..... Sproles is a dangerous,dangerous WEAPON right now .. I feel that SD is confident that they can come to Pitt and win this game .. This is a team who is playing loose and playing with confidence and i feel "THE MOMENTUM" All the pressure is on the steelers AT HOME .. This SD team reminds me of THE STEELER team who won the SB a few years ago !!!
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Old 01-09-2009, 09:27 AM
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Respectfully disagree, WW...but GL with your plays!


Put the rest in this morning...

Ravens +3 -110 vs Titans

Panthers -9 -112 Cards

Eagles +4.5 -112 vs Giants

ML Parlay @ -135: Panthers -400 + Steelers -255

3 Units Each


GL

Last edited by JohnnyMapleLeaf; 01-09-2009 at 11:44 AM.. Reason: added ML parlay
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Old 01-09-2009, 09:39 AM
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Added this multi-sport parlay...won't count it towards my record in either sport, but thought I'd post it, as I think it's a solid winner....

Parlay @ -144: Panthers -415 + Capitals (NHL Friday) -273

3 Units

GL
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Old 01-09-2009, 06:32 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf View Post
Respectfully disagree, WW...but GL with your plays!


Put the rest in this morning...

Ravens +3 -110 vs Titans

Panthers -9 -112 Cards

Eagles +4.5 -112 vs Giants

ML Parlay @ -135: Panthers -400 + Steelers -255

3 Units Each


GL
why would you play the Panthers at -9 -112 when you could have had them -9 1/2 at even money +100. why are you playing the eagles at +4.5. if 4.5 is good then 3.5 +105 is better......why do you play that way? are you canadian or something? where did you get those lines?





























































.......GL!.......like the PHI play a lot the more i look at it and obviously we see eye to eye on the steelers game from the d-thread.
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Old 01-10-2009, 10:40 AM
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lol, Flyers....thanks.
I just noticed a great capper like Zman is laying -120 to get Car -9. Like wtf? lol.


GL2E...
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