Playoff System

[Billy Barooooooo]

You know the Drill Carolina -10

Last year started 2-0 lost Superbowl week 2-1

Two year ago was ****ed up each week had a tie so no play but won on Superbowl going against the Bears!


BB

[Billy Barooooooo]

Read somewhere when a team loses it last game they don't win the SB!

Tennessee and New York both lost the last week of the regular season!

BB

[homedawg]

read somewhere sdc is 12-1su last 13gms dec/jan.

[FlyersFan]

Originally Posted by Billy Barooooooo

You know the Drill Carolina -10




BB

actually i don't....what is the system? thx

[Billy Barooooooo]

A friend of mine (spottie) comes up with differnt systems!

Go back over the years and check it out! I have been posting this since the UC days! Did pretty good over there.

Playoffs
Play against a team who put up the most points the prior week. Arizona put up 30 points so you go against them. Follow it all the way to the Supper Bowl!

BB

[Billy Barooooooo]

Originally Posted by homedawg

read somewhere sdc is 12-1su last 13gms dec/jan.

I like it! I'll take Carolina -10, Baltimore +3 and San Diego +4 and Philly +4 this week!

If Tennessee and New York Cover I will chase it! LOL


BB

[Billy Barooooooo]

I like it even more now si has them all getting between 54% to 59% of the early money. Come game day they will move onto the favs! Will see...

Just so I can check

Baltimore Ravens 59%

Carolina Panthers 54%

Philadelphia Eagles 59%

San Diego Charger 54%

[Billy Barooooooo]

Tuesday numbers Friday Night Numbers
Baltimore Ravens 59% 60%

Carolina Panthers 54% 58%

Philadelphia Eagles 59% 53%

San Diego Charger 54% 56% Pittsburgh 10% Change

Guess we will see what tomorrow brings. SI is reporting that smart money is coming in on Tennessee and public money is coming in on Baltimore. They go on to say that Public money out numbers the smart money in playoffs! They are 0-1 for the life of me I can not find who they had last week, but it was the same thing! Who knows what will happen that is why the games are played. Maybe one of these teams will get stopped in the red zone two times and go for it on 4th down rather than take the lead with a FG and lose the game not to mention the cover. Do I sound a little bitter ****en bowl games!!!

[Stifler's Mom]

They had minny last week, and that sooners non cover was bill****. They have only themselves to thank for not winning that game outright.

[JB]

That Pittsburgh change is crazy....
That line will wind up moving to like 7 or maybe even more
Its like all of a sudden everybody is on Pittsburgh when SD was the darling all week.

[Billy Barooooooo]

0-1 Loser Carolina

Went 2-0 with my predictions on Tennessee and New York Giants getting the lost after losing the last game of the season!

This week wow have two High Scoring games!

Arizona 33 and Pittsburgh 35!

Give me Baltimore and the points for the system play! No way the Nfl is going to allow this to be a Philly/Pittsburgh game. Call me crazy but to much money would be lost with a east coast series being played on the east coast!!! Just my thoughs........

Wife emailed me Monday Morning and said she is calling for a Philly Baltimore Super Bowl! I said no way!!! With Philly winning it all! Maybe I should get down on it for her at +175!

Like I said I don't see this being a East Coast match up but what do I know! If I had to go with the system I would guess who ever wins this week in the NFC will not win the SB. I'm thinking they will have the higher score. LOL Watch Baltimore put up some points on Pittsburgh!!! Don't see it but it would be funny!

So lets go out on a limb here and say for her

Baltimore over Pittsburgh 28-24 Baltimore covers
Philly over Arizona 21-17
Philly Wins the SB 36-25 Had a dream the SB is going to have a 6-5 in the end and be high scoring!


For me
Baltimore over Pittshburgh 17-16
Arizona by 1 over Philly 28-27 (Would love to see Philly win this one but don't see it)
Baltimore wins SB getting 2 Def TD 26-25 ******* all the ATS backers!!! LOL

BB

I'm sure I will change this next week and it will be a Philly/Pitt Super bowl with Pitt winning it all... Seems that is what everyone is saying!!!!

[Billy Barooooooo]

Friday Morning

Line has moved from -3 to -4....
Philly 60%
Arizona 40%

Philly 26% on ML
Arizona 74% on ML



Line has moved from -5 to -6 reverse move!
Baltimore 64%
Pittsburgh 36%

Baltimore 44% on ML
Pittsburgh 66% on ML

[Stifler's Mom]

I'm usually all for systems like this that are fueled by the pub overreacting to one game and getting a favorable line as a result, but I see Baltimore getting whipped badly @ pittsburgh on Sunday. They're tired and hobbled on D, and it showed vs tennessee, who moved the ball over them only to gift wrap the game for the raisins every chance they got.

I know Baltimore has double revenge and all, but the steelers are clearly the better and fresher team right now. Fast Willie Parker is back finally, which finally makes teams respect the running game of the steelers again, and the veteran over the rookie is an easy choice at qb as well.

Nice run for them, but I just think the raisins are gonna run out of gas this week just like SD did last week...and clearly the books agree setting this line at -5, despite both regular season meetings being decided by less than that, and now the move to -6 with a clear majority backing Baltimore.

Only way Baltimore wins or covers this is if they get lucky like they did last week, IMHO....

[COACH DITKA]

Just out of curiosity, in terms of the Ravens-Steelers game, does anyone know what a team's record is going against a team they have already beaten twice that same season? If that is confusing, how does a team fare that is attempting to beat another team for the third time that season?


Moose

[Billy Barooooooo]

here they are 1983-2007.

This is from Big Jims thread over at TS!



6-Nov-83 //Wk10// Broncos //Site: A// Seahawks //Line: 3.5 //Total: 42.5 //Score: 19 - 27 //SU: L //ATS: L
20-Nov-83 //Wk12// Broncos //Site: H// Seahawks //Line: -1 //Total: 39 //Score: 38 - 27 //SU: W //ATS: W
24-Dec-83 //P-Off17// Broncos //Site: A// Seahawks //Line: 3.5 //Total: 44 //Score: 7 - 31 //SU: L //ATS: L

16-Oct-83 //Wk7// Seahawks //Site: H// Raiders //Line: 3 //Total: 44 //Score: 38 - 36 //SU: W //ATS: W
30-Oct-83 //Wk9// Seahawks //Site: A// Raiders //Line: 7 //Total: 44.5 //Score: 34 - 21 //SU: W //ATS: W
8-Jan-84 //P-Off19// Seahawks //Site: A// Raiders //Line: 7.5 //Total: 47 //Score: 14 - 30 //SU: L //ATS: L

7-Oct-84 //Wk6// Seahawks //Site: A// Raiders //Line: 5 //Total: 43 //Score: 14 - 28 //SU: L //ATS: L
12-Nov-84 //Wk11// Seahawks //Site: H// Raiders //Line: -3.5 //Total: 42 //Score: 17 - 14 //SU: W //ATS: L
22-Dec-84 //P-Off17// Seahawks //Site: H// Raiders //Line: 1.5 //Total: 40 //Score: 13 - 7 //SU: W //ATS: W

20-Oct-85 //Wk7// Patriots //Site: H// Jets //Line: 2 //Total: 41.5 //Score: 20 - 13 //SU: W //ATS: W
24-Nov-85 //Wk12// Patriots //Site: A// Jets //Line: 4 //Total: 39.5 //Score: 13 - 16 //SU: L //ATS: W
29-Dec-85 //P-Off17// Patriots //Site: A// Jets //Line: 3 //Total: 40 //Score: 26 - 14 //SU: W //ATS: W

3-Nov-85 //Wk9// Patriots //Site: H// Dolphins //Line: -1 //Total: 46 //Score: 17 - 13 //SU: W //ATS: W
16-Dec-85 //Wk15// Patriots //Site: A// Dolphins //Line: 7 //Total: 47 //Score: 27 - 30 //SU: L //ATS: W
12-Jan-86 //P-Off19// Patriots //Site: A// Dolphins //Line: 5 //Total: 46 //Score: 31 - 14 //SU: W //ATS: W

27-Oct-86 //Wk8// Redskins //Site: A// Giants //Line: 4 //Total: 37 //Score: 20 - 27 //SU: L //ATS: L
7-Dec-86 //Wk14// Redskins //Site: H// Giants //Line: -3.5 //Total: 37 //Score: 14 - 24 //SU: L //ATS: L
11-Jan-87 //P-Off19// Redskins //Site: A// Giants //Line: 7 //Total: 38.5 //Score: 0 - 17 //SU: L //ATS: L

7-Nov-88 //Wk10// Titans //Site: H// Ravens //Line: 0 //Total: 43 //Score: 24 - 17 //SU: W //ATS: W
18-Dec-88 //Wk16// Titans //Site: A// Ravens //Line: 3 //Total: 35.5 //Score: 23 - 28 //SU: L //ATS: L
24-Dec-88 //P-Off17// Titans //Site: A// Ravens //Line: 2.5 //Total: 37.5 //Score: 24 - 23 //SU: W //ATS: W

22-Oct-89 //Wk7// Steelers //Site: A// Titans //Line: 9.5 //Total: 44 //Score: 0 - 27 //SU: L //ATS: L
3-Dec-89 //Wk13// Steelers //Site: H// Titans //Line: 3 //Total: 36 //Score: 16 - 23 //SU: L //ATS: L
31-Dec-89 //P-Off17// Steelers //Site: A// Titans //Line: 7 //Total: 42.5 //Score: 26 - 23 //SU: W //ATS: W

1-Oct-89 //Wk4// Rams //Site: A// 49ers //Line: 4 //Total: 47 //Score: 13 - 12 //SU: W //ATS: W
11-Dec-89 //Wk14// Rams //Site: H// 49ers //Line: 2.5 //Total: 44.5 //Score: 27 - 30 //SU: L //ATS: L
14-Jan-90 //P-Off19// Rams //Site: A// 49ers //Line: 7 //Total: 45 //Score: 3 - 30 //SU: L //ATS: L

21-Oct-90 //Wk7// Redskins //Site: H// Eagles //Line: -4.5 //Total: 44 //Score: 13 - 7 //SU: W //ATS: W
12-Nov-90 //Wk10// Redskins //Site: A// Eagles //Line: 3 //Total: 42 //Score: 14 - 28 //SU: L //ATS: L
5-Jan-91 //P-Off18// Redskins //Site: A// Eagles //Line: 4 //Total: 39.5 //Score: 20 - 6 //SU: W //ATS: W

14-Oct-90 //Wk6// Titans //Site: H// Bengals //Line: -4 //Total: 47.5 //Score: 48 - 17 //SU: W //ATS: W
23-Dec-90 //Wk16// Titans //Site: A// Bengals //Line: -2.5 //Total: 43 //Score: 20 - 40 //SU: L //ATS: L
6-Jan-91 //P-Off18// Titans //Site: A// Bengals //Line: 3.5 //Total: 43.5 //Score: 14 - 41 //SU: L //ATS: L

16-Sep-90 //Wk2// Dolphins //Site: H// Bills //Line: 1.5 //Total: 43 //Score: 30 - 7 //SU: W //ATS: W
23-Dec-90 //Wk16// Dolphins //Site: A// Bills //Line: 4 //Total: 34.5 //Score: 14 - 24 //SU: L //ATS: L
12-Jan-91 //P-Off19// Dolphins //Site: A// Bills //Line: 7 //Total: 34 //Score: 34 - 44 //SU: L //ATS: L

29-Sep-91 //Wk5// Falcons //Site: H// Saints //Line: 2 //Total: 35 //Score: 6 - 27 //SU: L //ATS: L
24-Nov-91 //Wk13// Falcons //Site: A// Saints //Line: 6.5 //Total: 35.5 //Score: 23 - 20 //SU: W //ATS: W
28-Dec-91 //P-Off18// Falcons //Site: A// Saints //Line: 6.5 //Total: 38.5 //Score: 27 - 20 //SU: W //ATS: W

28-Oct-91 //Wk9// Raiders //Site: A// Chiefs //Line: 6.5 //Total: 34 //Score: 21 - 24 //SU: L //ATS: W
22-Dec-91 //Wk17// Raiders //Site: H// Chiefs //Line: -2 //Total: 34 //Score: 21 - 27 //SU: L //ATS: L
28-Dec-91 //P-Off18// Raiders //Site: A// Chiefs //Line: 5.5 //Total: 35.5 //Score: 6 - 10 //SU: L //ATS: W

6-Sep-92 //Wk1// Chiefs //Site: A// Chargers //Line: -2.5 //Total: 35 //Score: 24 - 10 //SU: W //ATS: W
8-Nov-92 //Wk10// Chiefs //Site: H// Chargers //Line: -6 //Total: 35 //Score: 16 - 14 //SU: W //ATS: L
2-Jan-93 //P-Off18// Chiefs //Site: A// Chargers //Line: 3.5 //Total: 36 //Score: 0 - 17 //SU: L //ATS: L

5-Oct-92 //Wk5// Eagles //Site: H// Cowboys //Line: -5.5 //Total: 39 //Score: 31 - 7 //SU: W //ATS: W
1-Nov-92 //Wk9// Eagles //Site: A// Cowboys //Line: 4 //Total: 36 //Score: 10 - 20 //SU: L //ATS: L
10-Jan-93 //P-Off19// Eagles //Site: A// Cowboys //Line: 6.5 //Total: 37.5 //Score: 10 - 34 //SU: L //ATS: L

4-Oct-92 //Wk5// Dolphins //Site: A// Bills //Line: 11.5 //Total: 49 //Score: 37 - 10 //SU: W //ATS: W
16-Nov-92 //Wk11// Dolphins //Site: H// Bills //Line: 2 //Total: 46.5 //Score: 20 - 26 //SU: L //ATS: L
17-Jan-93 //P-Off20// Dolphins //Site: H// Bills //Line: 2.5 //Total: 42 //Score: 10 - 29 //SU: L //ATS: L

21-Nov-93 //Wk12// Packers //Site: H// Lions //Line: -3.5 //Total: 36 //Score: 26 - 17 //SU: W //ATS: W
2-Jan-94 //Wk18// Packers //Site: A// Lions //Line: -1.5 //Total: 37 //Score: 20 - 30 //SU: L //ATS: L
8-Jan-94 //P-Off19// Packers //Site: A// Lions //Line: 1.5 //Total: 38.5 //Score: 28 - 24 //SU: W //ATS: W

18-Oct-93 //Wk7// Broncos //Site: H// Raiders //Line: -7 //Total: 39.5 //Score: 20 - 23 //SU: L //ATS: L
2-Jan-94 //Wk18// Broncos //Site: A// Raiders //Line: 3 //Total: 38 //Score: 30 - 33 //SU: L //ATS: P
9-Jan-94 //P-Off19// Broncos //Site: A// Raiders //Line: 1 //Total: 41 //Score: 24 - 42 //SU: L //ATS: L

6-Nov-94 //Wk10// Lions //Site: A// Packers //Line: 6 //Total: 35 //Score: 30 - 38 //SU: L //ATS: L
4-Dec-94 //Wk14// Lions //Site: H// Packers //Line: 0 //Total: 40 //Score: 34 - 31 //SU: W //ATS: W
31-Dec-94 //P-Off18// Lions //Site: A// Packers //Line: 4.5 //Total: 37.5 //Score: 12 - 16 //SU: L //ATS: W

18-Sep-94 //Wk3// Bears //Site: H// Vikings //Line: 1 //Total: 34.5 //Score: 14 - 42 //SU: L //ATS: L
1-Dec-94 //Wk14// Bears //Site: A// Vikings //Line: 5.5 //Total: 36 //Score: 27 - 33 //SU: L //ATS: L
1-Jan-95 //P-Off18// Bears //Site: A// Vikings //Line: 6.5 //Total: 37.5 //Score: 35 - 18 //SU: W //ATS: W

11-Sep-94 //Wk2// Ravens //Site: H// Steelers //Line: -2.5 //Total: 38 //Score: 10 - 17 //SU: L //ATS: L
18-Dec-94 //Wk16// Ravens //Site: A// Steelers //Line: 3.5 //Total: 31.5 //Score: 7 - 17 //SU: L //ATS: L
7-Jan-95 //P-Off19// Ravens //Site: A// Steelers //Line: 4 //Total: 32 //Score: 9 - 29 //SU: L //ATS: L

29-Oct-95 //Wk9// Dolphins //Site: H// Bills //Line: -7.5 //Total: 43 //Score: 23 - 6 //SU: W //ATS: W
17-Dec-95 //Wk16// Dolphins //Site: A// Bills //Line: 4 //Total: 42.5 //Score: 20 - 23 //SU: L //ATS: W
30-Dec-95 //P-Off18// Dolphins //Site: A// Bills //Line: 3.5 //Total: 43 //Score: 22 - 37 //SU: L //ATS: L

6-Nov-95 //Wk10// Eagles //Site: A// Cowboys //Line: 14 //Total: 43.5 //Score: 12 - 34 //SU: L //ATS: L
10-Dec-95 //Wk15// Eagles //Site: H// Cowboys //Line: 8.5 //Total: 40.5 //Score: 20 - 17 //SU: W //ATS: W
7-Jan-96 //P-Off19// Eagles //Site: A// Cowboys //Line: 13.5 //Total: 45.5 //Score: 11 - 30 //SU: L //ATS: L

7-Sep-97 //Wk2// Lions //Site: H// Buccaneers //Line: -4.5 //Total: 37.5 //Score: 17 - 24 //SU: L //ATS: L
12-Oct-97 //Wk7// Lions //Site: A// Buccaneers //Line: 5.5 //Total: 38 //Score: 27 - 9 //SU: W //ATS: W
28-Dec-97 //P-Off18// Lions //Site: A// Buccaneers //Line: 2.5 //Total: 37.5 //Score: 10 - 20 //SU: L //ATS: L

23-Nov-97 //Wk13// Dolphins //Site: A// Patriots //Line: 6 //Total: 39.5 //Score: 24 - 27 //SU: L //ATS: W
22-Dec-97 //Wk17// Dolphins //Site: H// Patriots //Line: -3 //Total: 44 //Score: 12 - 14 //SU: L //ATS: L
28-Dec-97 //P-Off18// Dolphins //Site: A// Patriots //Line: 4.5 //Total: 41 //Score: 3 - 17 //SU: L //ATS: L

31-Aug-97 //Wk1// Broncos //Site: H// Chiefs //Line: -9 //Total: 42.5 //Score: 19 - 3 //SU: W //ATS: W
16-Nov-97 //Wk12// Broncos //Site: A// Chiefs //Line: -4 //Total: 39 //Score: 22 - 24 //SU: L //ATS: L
4-Jan-98 //P-Off19// Broncos //Site: A// Chiefs //Line: 0 //Total: 41 //Score: 14 - 10 //SU: W //ATS: W

5-Oct-97 //Wk6// Buccaneers //Site: A// Packers //Line: 8 //Total: 40 //Score: 16 - 21 //SU: L //ATS: W
7-Dec-97 //Wk15// Buccaneers //Site: H// Packers //Line: 3 //Total: 37.5 //Score: 6 - 17 //SU: L //ATS: L
4-Jan-98 //P-Off19// Buccaneers //Site: A// Packers //Line: 14 //Total: 37 //Score: 7 - 21 //SU: L //ATS: P

6-Sep-98 //Wk1// Cardinals //Site: A// Cowboys //Line: 5.5 //Total: 41.5 //Score: 10 - 38 //SU: L //ATS: L
15-Nov-98 //Wk11// Cardinals //Site: H// Cowboys //Line: 3.5 //Total: 38 //Score: 28 - 35 //SU: L //ATS: L
2-Jan-99 //P-Off18// Cardinals //Site: A// Cowboys //Line: 7 //Total: 42 //Score: 20 - 7 //SU: W //ATS: W

13-Sep-98 //Wk2// Bills //Site: A// Dolphins //Line: 8 //Total: 38.5 //Score: 7 - 13 //SU: L //ATS: W
1-Nov-98 //Wk9// Bills //Site: H// Dolphins //Line: -2 //Total: 36 //Score: 30 - 24 //SU: W //ATS: W
2-Jan-99 //P-Off18// Bills //Site: A// Dolphins //Line: 2.5 //Total: 43 //Score: 17 - 24 //SU: L //ATS: L

27-Sep-98 //Wk4// 49ers //Site: H// Falcons //Line: -11 //Total: 45 //Score: 31 - 20 //SU: W //ATS: P
15-Nov-98 //Wk11// 49ers //Site: A// Falcons //Line: -3 //Total: 50 //Score: 19 - 31 //SU: L //ATS: L
9-Jan-99 //P-Off19// 49ers //Site: A// Falcons //Line: 2.5 //Total: 53 //Score: 18 - 20 //SU: L //ATS: W

26-Sep-99 //Wk3// Titans //Site: A// Jaguars //Line: 9.5 //Total: 45 //Score: 20 - 19 //SU: W //ATS: W
26-Dec-99 //Wk16// Titans //Site: H// Jaguars //Line: 3 //Total: 39 //Score: 41 - 14 //SU: W //ATS: W
23-Jan-00 //P-Off20// Titans //Site: A// Jaguars //Line: 7 //Total: 39.5 //Score: 33 - 14 //SU: W //ATS: W

26-Nov-00 //Wk13// Dolphins //Site: A// Colts //Line: 7 //Total: 44.5 //Score: 17 - 14 //SU: W //ATS: W
17-Dec-00 //Wk16// Dolphins //Site: H// Colts //Line: -3 //Total: 42 //Score: 13 - 20 //SU: L //ATS: L
30-Dec-00 //P-Off18// Dolphins //Site: H// Colts //Line: 2 //Total: 42 //Score: 23 - 17 //SU: W //ATS: W

26-Nov-00 //Wk13// Saints //Site: A// Rams //Line: 13.5 //Total: 53.5 //Score: 31 - 24 //SU: W //ATS: W
24-Dec-00 //Wk17// Saints //Site: H// Rams //Line: 3.5 //Total: 56 //Score: 21 - 26 //SU: L //ATS: L
30-Dec-00 //P-Off18// Saints //Site: H// Rams //Line: 6.5 //Total: 55 //Score: 31 - 28 //SU: W //ATS: W

22-Oct-00 //Wk8// Ravens //Site: H// Titans //Line: -1 //Total: 35 //Score: 6 - 14 //SU: L //ATS: L
12-Nov-00 //Wk11// Ravens //Site: A// Titans //Line: 4 //Total: 32.5 //Score: 24 - 23 //SU: W //ATS: W
7-Jan-01 //P-Off19// Ravens //Site: A// Titans //Line: 5.5 //Total: 34 //Score: 24 - 10 //SU: W //ATS: W

10-Sep-00 //Wk2// Eagles //Site: H// Giants //Line: -3 //Total: 39.5 //Score: 18 - 33 //SU: L //ATS: L
29-Oct-00 //Wk9// Eagles //Site: A// Giants //Line: 3.5 //Total: 36.5 //Score: 7 - 24 //SU: L //ATS: L
7-Jan-01 //P-Off19// Eagles //Site: A// Giants //Line: 4.5 //Total: 34 //Score: 10 - 20 //SU: L //ATS: L

4-Nov-01 //Wk8// Ravens //Site: A// Steelers //Line: 2 //Total: 33 //Score: 13 - 10 //SU: W //ATS: W
16-Dec-01 //Wk14// Ravens //Site: H// Steelers //Line: -3 //Total: 33 //Score: 21 - 26 //SU: L //ATS: L
20-Jan-02 //P-Off19// Ravens //Site: A// Steelers //Line: 6 //Total: 32 //Score: 10 - 27 //SU: L //ATS: L

29-Sep-02 //Wk4// Browns //Site: A// Steelers //Line: 6 //Total: 43.5 //Score: 13 - 16 //SU: L //ATS: W
3-Nov-02 //Wk9// Browns //Site: H// Steelers //Line: 3.5 //Total: 44.5 //Score: 20 - 23 //SU: L //ATS: W
5-Jan-03 //P-Off18// Browns //Site: A// Steelers //Line: 7.5 //Total: 41 //Score: 33 - 36 //SU: L //ATS: W