Div Round

[Stifler's Mom]

Baltimore Raisins +3/ml +135

2 units ats/1 unit ml

So i guess the sexy thing to do is play "anti public" (a whole whopping 58% are on BAL....big deal), and take Tennessee. But why would I want to do that? I can't really think of a good reason. Maybe fading a rookie QB on the road in the playoffs?

I will give some reasons why I want to play Baltimore....

1. Tennessee backed into the postseason by getting their asses handed to em @ Indy who was also playing for nothing, and if you ask me their entire schedule was a tad on the weak side. Their big week 16 win over Pittsburgh for "home field throughout" was a big fat farce, as I was on TEN in that game, and in no way, shape or form should they have won or covered that game. I was lucky as hell that day that Pittsburgh ate big fat ass all over themselves.

2. Baltimore has revenge here, and it's hard to beat the same good team 2x in the same season without some good fortune going your way. I'm not making my bet on the chance i get lucky.

3. Tennessee has ?'s and injuries out the wazoo. C Kevin Mawae is out, a huge position that will effect both run blocking and pass protection, especially against a hybrid defense like Baltimore's, against whom you need to know what the hell is going on, or get blindsided. Not only that, the C touches the ball every snap, so much more chance for error from an inexperienced guy.

Next we have VandenBosch and Haynesworth coming off injury. I don't know what to expect from them, good or bad, but i'm not banking on them paying well in taking Baltimore either, so i guess whatever they do, they do.

4. Tennessee has no real WR threats that are going to scare Baltimore. This can only add to the woes of missing your center and the run/pass block issues that come along with it.

I could go on, but I actually want to take some time to look over the other sports before this thing starts. The bottom lines for me are these:

IF the books were looking for BAL money here, and had a strong opinion that TEN was a good play, this without a doubt would have been +3.5. it's not, and never has been. As a matter of fact, all week the juice was on the +3, allowing -2.5 to be bought much cheaper than +3.5 If anything, they were welcoming TEN money, imho.

And think about it, the #1 seed only -3 over the #6 seed?

I could be way off I guess, but I have not once been impressed with Tennessee this year, and I'm not going to start now when they have injuries, ?'s, and are coming off a ho hum end to the regular season. I'll take the team with the playmakers & the momentum, and see what happens.

[Billy The Kid]

GL today stif....like baltimore myself

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

GL Stif. Great post! I don't think I knew why I was on Baltimore until now! lol...

GL

[Stifler's Mom]

Got lucky with a bunch of breaks in that one, but hey, i've been on the losing side of that crap often enough. Nice to know how it feels to be on the winning side of it for a change.

Arizona +10/ml +350

2 units ats/half unit ml

On paper the play is probably Carolina here, but I think Arizona is mighty tired of hearing how they have no chance tonight, and how they suck when coming East. It's not 1pm, it's 8:15, so the effect of that time zone stuff (if it even exists) should be minimal anyway.

Arizona has "east coast style" coaches with Whisenhunt and Russ Grimm. They should have these guys ready to go tonight....hopefully....and this imo is going to be a very good game. I leaned towards the over too, but I generally blow at totals, so i passed.

[FlyersFan]

Originally Posted by Stifler's Mom

Got lucky with a bunch of breaks in that one, but hey, i've been on the losing side of that crap often enough. Nice to know how it feels to be on the winning side of it for a change.

.....feel like crap about my play but glad to see you get a bounce your way...

[JB]

Nice ******* hit Stiff!

[Underdog88]

Zona

[Stifler's Mom]

Wish I had time to do write ups for these, but right now I don't...

Iggles +4/ml +170
Stillers -6

2 units each ats/1 unit ml

[Daws1089]

nice job yesterday stif, here's to PA teams

[Stifler's Mom]

Iggles

Teams who back in to the playoffs continue to get dispatched from same said playoffs at an alarming rate. You'd think with all the insignifigant **** these nfl teams notice, they would notice that resting your starters and heading into the playoffs with 3 weeks (or more) of your best players not seeing meaningful game action = playing like **** next game and ending up watching the championship round and super bowl from the same place as me, at home

[FlyersFan]

Originally Posted by Stifler's Mom

Iggles

Teams who back in to the playoffs continue to get dispatched from same said playoffs at an alarming rate. You'd think with all the insignifigant **** these nfl teams notice, they would notice that resting your starters and heading into the playoffs with 3 weeks (or more) of your best players not seeing meaningful game action = playing like **** next game and ending up watching the championship round and super bowl from the same place as me, at home

i don't really think that was the NYG problem in the least bit, though, i do agree completely with your comments on the theory of doing that. NYG were not the same team after Burress went out for whatever reasons. They went 1-5 to finish the year after starting 11-1. One big reason is that you don't have to double team anyone on the giants's WR group and you can add another guy to the box to stop their run. Could be distractions...who knows...but they were probably playing some of the worst football of anyone heading into the playoffs. Nothing changed today. I thought they were awful.

[Stifler's Mom]

Agreed, and i think alot of what ailed NYG was missing Burress and their lack of an effective pass rush most of the time, but they did sit Manning and a few others in the 2H vs MIN in week 17, at which time they managed to lose the game as well after leading late.

Not to discredit the Philly defense at all but it sure looked to me like the NYG could have used all the practice they could get today, as they flat out sucked.

[FlyersFan]

no magic for SDG today......what a mirage their run was.....

[Stifler's Mom]

Stillers

7-0 (+12.80 units) this weekend counting the ml plays

[Stifler's Mom]

Originally Posted by FlyersFan

no magic for SDG today......what a mirage their run was.....

I know. They did well winning 5 straight and getting to where they did, but they didn't face pittsburgh in those 5 games either, or anything even remotely close.

Final today was more like what it should have been the first time if pit hadn't let sd hang around all day while completely outplaying them everywhere but on the scoreboard.

The steelers have done that a few times this year, actually....