Week 5 plays

[daft_picks]

First plays of the week already in, figured I'd post them.

Colts -3.5 W +1
Giants -8.5 1stH W +1
Skins/Panthers Under 37.5 W +1

1 unit each. More to come including some teasers and parlays. Luck to all this week

[daft_picks]

Adding (to win 1 unit each):

Texans +6 (-115) L -1.15
49ers -2.5 L -1.1
Ravens -8.5 (-105) L -1.05
Pats/Broncos UNDER 41.5 W +1
Bills/Browns UNDER 41 W +1
Cowboys/Chiefs 1stHalf OVER 21 L -1.1
Jags +105 (1/2 unit) L -.5


Teasers:
6.5 point teaser:
Colts +3
Cowboys -2
Vikings -3
Jets/Dolphins Under 43
1 to win 2.5 units Pending Under 43

10 point teasers:
Steelers -.5
Vikings pick
Dolphins +12
2.4 to win 2 units Pending Fins +12

Colts +6.5
Patriots +7
Steelers -0.5
1.2 to win 1 units W +1


Also a super small carry over parlay from baseball:
Dodgers ML EVEN
Angels ML -105
Pats/Broncos UNDER 41.5
Broncos +3.5
.2 to win 2.61 units W +2.61 units

[daft_picks]

Most plays set to go, here are some props and parlays I'm trying out.

2 props on the Giants/Raiders game I really like:
Longest TD UNDER 56.5 yards (-115) 1.15 to win 1 unit W +1
First play from scrimmage RUN PLAY (-160) .8 to win .5 units L -.8

Parlay. I think the Cowboys bounce back this week. Until KC proves me wrong I will bet against them.
Cowboys -8
Cowboys/Chiefs OVER 42.5
Dolphins +110
.66 to win 4.37 L -.66

Parlay. AFC South better than NFC West. Actually hope these teams lose.
Texans +190
Jags +1.5
.44 to win 2 units L -.44

Dream on parlay (one team away from hitting one of these last week):
Colts(Indianapolis) -190
49ers(SanFrancisco) -2.5 (-115)
Falcons/49ers Over 40.5
Dolphins(Miami) +110
Pats/Broncos Under 41
Broncos(Denver) +150
Texans(Houston) +7.5 (-170)
.58 to win 50 units L -.58

[daft_picks]

I have had a change of opinion on the Ravens Bengals game, I think it is going to be closer than I originally thought. Instead of buying it back straight up I have made the following plays:

Last Play of Game Will Be: Any Other Play than QB rush/kneel +160 .7 to win 1.12 units L -.7
Bengals +330 1/2 unit W +1.65

Bengals(Cincinnati) +14.5
Eagles(Philadelphia) -9.5
Jags/Hawks Under 50
Redskins(Washington) +10.5
1 to win 3 units W +3 units


Some other plays, some with brief reasoning.

Skins +4.5 1/2 unit - Anti-public and Delhomme play all rolled into one! Half a unit cause the redskins are terrible too. W +.5
Falcons/49ers: Will both teams make a FG over 37 yards? YES +200 1/2 unit - Good odds. W +1

Cleveland +6 / Under 41 .66 to win 1.73 units W +1.73


Sunday....

[daft_picks]

That Giants play was about the easiest money I've ever made. Same with Bills/Browns under, hilarious. And then they won! Bills are awful! Also so glad I reversed my decision the the ravens Bengals game, biggest ML odds I've cashed this year.

Adding:

SF PICK 1/2 unit (too tempting with huge line drop, should have waited) L -.55
Jags/Hawks OVER 44 1 unit (try for that middle) L -1.1
Pats/Broncos First score of game: Anything but TD (+120) 1/2 unit L .5 Prater missed FG

Luck to all in the afternoon.

[daft_picks]

Wow the 49ers are just falling apart, truth is I know they're not this bad but they just look terrible now. Terrible misreads of basically all afternoon games

Roddy White may have just won me a fantasy matchup though.

[daft_picks]

Wow Houston, reap what you sew there. Why do they keep sticking with Chris Brown at the goal line? Not only did that maybe destroy their chances for the win but also pisses me off cause I have Slaton on my fantasy team. Speaking of fantasy, here are a couple of hedges for my matchup in tonight's game that I also like the odds on:

Manning OVER 299.5 passing yards (-115) 1 unit W +1
Will Chris Johnson score a TD? YES (-115) 1/2 unit L -.58
Colts/Titans OVER 44 1/2 unit L -.55


Come on Titans, get a win for once. If nothing else do it for my gf who will be at the game, cold and dreary up high in the stands.

Broncos/Pats...who's winning this one? Under cashes, hopefully NE doesn't seal it away with a TD and my parlay will too.

[daft_picks]

Titans suck At least VY played a little. Future uncertain, very concerned.

All over the place day not surprisingly, results for week 5:
Regular plays: 7-6 +0.7 units
Teasers: 2-0 +4 units
Parlays: 2-3 +2.76 units
Props: 3-5 -0.3 units
Total 14-14 +7.16 units

2 teasers pending:
Colts +3 / Cowboys -2 / Vikings -3 / Jets/Dolphins Under 43
1 to win 2.5 units Pending Under 43 L -1

Steelers -.5 / Vikings pick / Dolphins +12
2.4 to win 2 units Pending Fins +12 W +2

Looking into hedging scenarios, really think the Fins keep this one close though and maybe even pull the upset. It total drops anymore like to 35 especially I will play the over. Need to come up with a best bet tonight though for a survivor MNF pickem pool. What do you guys like?

Hope everyone had a good weekend, gambling and otherwise. At least something are going good football wise cause my team is not

[daft_picks]

Sticking with the Fins at +12, really think that game stays close and have a chance to pull the upset. Small play on a teaser with the over and an even smaller parlay.

6 point teaser: NYJ/Mia OVER 30.5 / NYG +9 @ NO / Den +9.5 @ SD .66 to win 1.07 units pending
Parlay: Miami +140 / Philly -1000 / NYG +145 .4 to win 2.19 units pending

3 props:
What will Chad Henne throw first: INT (-115) to win 1/2 unit L -.58
Will either team score 3 unanswered times?: NO (+120) 1/2 unit W +.6
First score of game: FG (+110) 1/2 uni L -.5

Luck to all!

[RahStahMan]

GL daft!

[daft_picks]

Thanks Rah! Adding some hedges/middles:

Jets -0.5 2nd Half 1 L -1
OVER 17.5 (-105) .7 to win .66 W +.66

[daft_picks]

Yeah Fins!!

Should have stuck to my guns and laid off the Jets at the half. Also passed up some props I really liked, need to eye those better next week. Could have had a better night, ended up 3-4 +0.24 units on the night with the teaser. 1 unit of plays pending, both on the Giants. Anyone else like them already this week as underdogs? '

Let's get some winners next week