Daft week 6

[daft_picks]

Couple early ones, going to try and keep my thread more organized from now on. First 2 plays pending from MNF:

6 point teaser: NYJ/Mia OVER 30.5 / NYG +9 @ NO / Den +9.5 @ SD .66 to win 1.07 units L -.66
Parlay: Miami +140 / Philly -1000 / NYG +145 .4 to win 2.19 units L -.4

Regular plays (1 unit unless noted):
Jags/Rams UNDER 42 L -1.1 - This total screams for an over play because both of these defenses are terrible but for some reason I think these teams will struggle to score against each other and this could be a tight game. Or I could see a Jags blowout 28-7 type of deal, hopefully goes under.

Panthers/Bucs OVER 39.5 W +1- This is another total that stood out to me. I believe this goes over even though these offenses have been bad all season and it seems like an under bet. I think the Panthers will be able to get their running game going again and easily pick apart the Bucs terrible secondary. The Bucs have in certain games put up decent amount of points, the Panthers D is not very good.

Eagles -14 L -1.1 - Will continue to fade the Raiders until they actually play professional level football. A huge number of points for a road fave but still think Eagles cover without much trouble. Raiders are putrid.

Ravens +3 (-105) W+1 - I think the Ravens bounce back this week. I know the Vikings are good but I think the Ravens keep it close and maybe even pull the upset. Give me the points!

Seahawks -3 (EVEN) L -1 - Cardinals are overrated and historically play poorly @ Seattle. Initially I was leaning Cards but decided against it. I think the Hawks get the win here so I'll take them in a pick-the-winner situation.

Texans +5 (-105) W +1 - Possible letdown spot for the Bengals who just got a huge win against the Ravens. Think texans even have a shot to pull the upset (stop giving it to Chris Brown!!) but whatever happens I think it will be close.

Giants/Saints OVER 47 W +1 - Even though both these teams have great defenses I expect a high scoring back and forth type game.

Chargers/Broncos OVER 44 - I think the Broncos will finally allow over 20 points this game, and I know the chargers should keep up the trend so I think this goes over.

Lions/Packers OVER 48 .66 units L -.66 - Lots of scoring here, Lions D is terrible but they do put up points.

Giants +160 .66 to win to 1.06 units L -.66 - Already have a parlay with the Giants ML but when these even better odds came out at another book I had to play it. Both are elite teams with a good chance to win, but I will always play the Giants as a dog, even as the away team because they don't get rattled. Essentially now I am risking just over 1 unit to win 3.25 units. Give me that any day.

Teasers:
6.5 point: Texans +11 / Ravens +9.5 / Ravens/Vikes Over 37 / Lions +20 / Pats -2.5 / Den/SD Under 50.5 1 to win 5.5 units L -1
6.5 point: Jets/Bills UNDER 43.5 / Chiefs +13 / Pats -2.5 / Pats/Titans OVER 36.5 / Bears/Falcons UNDER 52 .75 to win 3 units W + 3
10 point: Eagles -4 / Steelers -4 / Jets +0.5 2.4 to win 2 units L -2.4

Parlays:
Rams-gotta-win-sometime: Rams +425 / UNDER 42 0.5 to win 4.51 units L -.5 (very close Rams blew it)
Packers -13 / OVER 48 0.5 to win 1.3 units L -.5
Chargers -3.5 (Even) / OVER 44 0.5 to win 1.41 units
Jets -9.5 (-105) / UNDER 37 0.4 to win 1.1 units L -.4
Skins -250 / Skins/Chiefs UNDER 37 / Eagles -900 / Steelers -950 / Jets -490 / Chargers -175 .66 to win 3.5 units L -.66

Luck to all in week 6

[daft_picks]

And with these props all set to go.

Ravens/Vikings - Will either team score 3 unanswered time? NO +150 .66 to win 1 unit W +1
Giants/Saints - Will either team score 3 unanswered time? NO +160 .66 to win 1.06 units W +1.06
DeSean Jackson total receptions UNDER 4.5 (-115) to win .66 units L -.76
Redskins Team total UNDER 22 (-115) to win 1/2 unit (haven't broken 20 yet) W +.5
Steelers/Browns - Will there be a score in the first 7 minutes? YES (-115) to win 1/2 unit L -.58


Here's to a profitable NFL sunday Good luck everybody!

[daft_picks]

Crazy day, Titans are awful

Small play on Bears, like the line and the odds:

Bears +4 (-105) .7 to win .66 units L -.7

Under 50.5 pending in teaser, like that so will stick with it.

Couple of props, one is the same prop play as before, this prop is money I don't understand why it's always at + odds.

Bears/Falcons - Will either team score 3 unanswered time? NO +150 1 to win 1.5 units W +1.5
Will both teams score a FG OVER 37 yards? YES +200 .7 to win 1.4 L -.7

Luck to all tonight

[daft_picks]

So much seems to point towards Atlanta for the 2nd half that I just feel I gotta put more on Chicago. Plus Lang is on the Birds

Chicago PICK 2ndH (EVEN) 0.5 units PUSH
Chi/Atl 2ndH UNDER 23 (-105) 0.7 to win .66 units W +.66

[daft_picks]

WTF Forte?!

[daft_picks]

Not my best day, but I was due for a losing week.

Regular plays: 5-6-1 -0.56 units
Teasers: 1-3 -1.06 units
Parlays: 0-5 -2.46 units
Props: 4-3 +2.02 units
Total: 10-17-1 -2.08 units

Too many dumb plays and misreads on parlays. Need to focus and play fewer games, ones that I like a lot for more units. Been doing well with props, really liking this 3 unanswered scores point prop. In the right game I cant believe you can get +150 odds on that! Will be on it tomorrow for sure.

Kind of rethinking my O/U play for the MNF game, could see this game being very much like the Bears Falcons one. Will have to think on it some more, still like the Bolts though (I think) to come out firing and the broncos to have a slight letdown. Should be close though so laying 3.5 definitely makes me nervous. Hope you guys had a good Sunday, thank god I won some fantasy stuff or I would be doing some My beloved Titans are the worst I've ever seen them.