Week 7 plays

[daft_picks]

Got these two in early. All plays to win 1 unit unless otherwise noted.

Regular plays:
49ers +3 @ Houston (-105) - Letdown for Houston, who has yet to put together B2B solid games and traditionally does not do well as a favorite. 49ers coming off a bye should be focused after their last blowout loss. They need to RUN RUN RUN. PUSH

Bears +1 @ Cinci (-105) - The bears have been shitting the bed in primetime (0-2), but sit at 3-0 other games. Not that this is reasoning in itself I just think the Bears bounce back this week and the Bengals continue to slide a little. If the bears win that game in ATL (which they could have minus those ridiculous mistakes they made) this line would be much higher. L -1.05

Giants -7 vs Arizona (-105) - I couldn't resist a regular play on this in case my parlay doesn't pan out. I think the Giants will match up well against Arizona this week and correct the mistakes they made against Brees and co last week. The problem was Brees just tore the Giants up with the deep ball, not being to stop that led to their downfall. I don't think Warner will be able to do this. Despite a solid show at Seattle it was nothing but short throws, his longest completion was just 22 yards! And aside from a 40-yard connection to Jerheme Urban this season, his longest connection is 26 yards to Larry Fitzgerald. Last year all four of his top WR's had 55yd+ receptions. While I do think he is healthy I think Warner's surgery has affected his deep ball. The Giants have only given up 3 sacks on the year, I think their offensive line will be able to provide Manning with plenty of time to pick apart their weak secondary. Giants in a rout. L -1.05

Falcons +4 @ Cowboys (-105) - Falcons playing better ball right now. Cowboys could come out huge and easily take this but I'll take the hotter team + the points. .7 to win .66 units L -.7

Raiders / Jets UNDER 35 - Honestly this total could be 30 and I'd probably still like the under. 5 td's in this game? More like 5 fg's and 1 TD, maybe. I lean raiders +6 too but I think this is the stronger play L -1.1

Chiefs / Chargers OVER 44 - No D = lots of points. PUSH

Colts -13.5 @ Rams (-105) .7 to win .66 units - I didn't originally want to play this game cause I have it in a teaser, but I couldn't resist. Prove me wrong rams, prove me wrong!! At least if the Rams do cover this it means SJAX will have a good game, I just acquired him on my fantasy team. W +.66


Teasers:
*carry over from MNF* 6.5 point: .6 to win 1.5 units
Broncos +10 / Giants -0.5 / Eagles -0.5 / Falcons +10.5 L -.6

6 point: .6 to win 2.7 units
Browns +15 / Bills +13 / Jets pick / Steelers pick / Eagles -1 L -.6

10 point: 1.8 to win 1.5 units
Colts -3.5 / Pats -5 / Vikings +15.5 W +1.5

Parlays:
NYG -7 / OVER 46 1 to win 2.6 units - I think the Giants have a good chance to cover this game, but after watching the Saints tear apart their D I'm pretty sure the Cards will put up at least 20. So if the Giants are to cover, has to go over the total. L -1

Falcons +170 / Falcons/Cowboys UNDER 47.5 / Colts -800 .83 to win 4 units - Falcons have a real shot of winning this game, but they'll have to keep Romo and co from lighting up the scoreboard though or they are going to lose. L -.83

Props:
Bears/Bengals: Will there be 3 unanswered scores in game? NO +140 1 to win 1.4 units L -1
Vikings/Steelers: Will there be 3 unanswered scores in game? NO +150 1 to win 1.5 units L -1 (destroyed due to awful "tripping" call)
Browns/Packers: Will either team score in the first 6.5 minutes? NO (-115) to win .5 units W +.5
More points scored in week 7: Dolphins or Jets? Dolphins -0.5 (-105) .7 to win .66 units L -.7
Bills/Panthers: Will both teams score a FG over 37 yards? YES (+250) .6 to win 1.5 units L -.6
Greg Jennings total receptions: UNDER 4.5 (-105) .7 to win .66 units L -.66 (finally does something for my PPR fantasy team. But where are the TD's?!?!?)
Steve Smith total receptions: UNDER 5 (-140) .7 to win .5 units L -.7
Steelers OVER 24.5 points (-115) to win 1 unit W +1
Patriots OVER 30 points (-115) to win .5 units W +.5


Luck to all this week!

[Jcb890]

Originally Posted by daft_picks

Got these two in early. All plays to win 1 unit unless otherwise noted.

Regular plays:
49ers +3 @ Houston (-105) - Letdown for Houston, who has yet to put together B2B solid games and traditionally does not do well as a favorite. 49ers coming off a bye should be focused after their last blowout loss. They need to RUN RUN RUN.

Teasers:
*carry over from MNF* 6.5 point
Broncos +10 / Giants -0.5 / Eagles -0.5 / Falcons +10.5 .6 to win 1.5 units

Parlays:
NYG -7 / OVER 46 1 to win 2.6 units - I think the Giants have a good chance to cover this game, but after watching the Saints tear apart their D I'm pretty sure the Cards will put up at least 20. So if the Giants are to cover, has to go over the total.

Luck to all this week!

I like that NYG / Over play. GL man!

[daft_picks]

Thanks, I feel pretty good about the Giants this weekend. I went ahead and added a regular play on ATS plus a few others I like. I am probably going to have a smaller card this weekend than usual, which hopefully will be a good thing.

[daft_picks]

Card mostly ready to go, looking at Bills +7 and hoping to get the Fins +7...but also waiting to see Lang's plays for tomorrow lol I did put a few dogs in a small teaser though.

I'm really interested in the Dolphins/Saints game, I hope it goes well. Since the Titans are an utter fail this year the next team I root for is the Dolphins. I really like the way they are running this offense, for some reason I was just inspired to make what is probably one of the most ridiculous prop plays I have ever made.

Possible 2010 Superbowl Matchup: Saints vs Dolphins +7000 .6 to win 43 units

Already can chalk that up as a loss pretty much, hopefully though I make at least .6 units on my many props today.

Be back with some Lang fades possibly in the morning, if I get up in time. Ah week 7 NFL action is here, and finally the Titans won't lose

*edit*
Bills +7 .5 units W +.5
crazy parlay for fun: Bills +250 / Chiefs +200 / Vikings +230 .4 to win 13.48 units L -.4

[daft_picks]

Lang has a 50 dimer on the Raiders! Give me the Jets!

Jets -6 @ Oakland 1.5 units W +1.5
SD -5.5 @ KC .66 units W +.66

Lets make them bookies pay today

[daft_picks]

Fading Lang is simply wonderful. He's on the Fins, give me the Saints!

Saints -6.5 1 unit W +1

*wanted to say I'm still kind of rooting for the Fins

[daft_picks]

Oh Kasay, you slay my prop bet with your missed FG. But go Bills!! And Fins for that matter, if I don't cover they at laest better win

[daft_picks]

NO/Mia OVER 24 2nd H .5 unit W +.5

[daft_picks]

Fading Lang is too easy, I knew my Bears play was doomed as soon as I found out he was on them. He went a magical 0-4 today, thanks for the winners Lang!

Will ride the rest of my bets out for the night and update record later...enjoy the game!