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All plays at -110 to win 1 unit unless otherwise noted.
DEN @ BAL -4.5 This line and game has a similar feeling as that MIN @ PIT line last week. SEA @ DAL -10 I cannot back SEA on the road, especially in an early game. Probably a good teaser play just in case as well. DAL should smell blood this week since either the Giants or Eagles must lose this week. HOU @ BUF +3.5 I just don't trust HOU to go on the road and perform well as a favorite. MIA @ NYJ -3.5 The Jets were one play away from winning by 3 at MIA. I think they have more room to improve than the Dolphins from that performance. STL @ DET -3 (-120) This is my local game and the only way I'll be able to tolerate watching is with action. Is it possible for a team like DET to be overconfident? I would hope not. NYG @ PHI (ML +120) Something about Eli troubles me. So in retrospect I am WAY too heavy on home teams. Probably not a good thing but I've got the late games yet so we'll see what happens.
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GL Everybody! NFL '09 YTD Overall: 41-33-1 +5.4 units CFB '09 YTD 36-36-4 -3.4 units MLB '09 YTD (started 7/20) 96-96-7 +10.03 units |
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Late games...
JAX @ TEN -3 (-105) Yes... I'm a sucker. TEN coming off the bye is the only defense I can give for this pick. CAR +10 @ ARZ Banking on a worthless Delhomme TD late in the game to make this game look closer than it was. OAK +16.5 @ SD Way too many points to ask an inconsistent team like SD to cover.... they might win by 30+, or it could be a one score game. MIN @ GB -3 (-130) Bought the 0.5 point. Can this be anything but a close game?
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GL Everybody! NFL '09 YTD Overall: 41-33-1 +5.4 units CFB '09 YTD 36-36-4 -3.4 units MLB '09 YTD (started 7/20) 96-96-7 +10.03 units |
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A positive day yesterday which was the first one in several weeks. I'l take it and we'll see if I can add a unit tonight. Conventional wisdom says the Unstoppable Saints O should manhandle a banged up Falcons D. If ATL is smart they try to establish a run game, limit posessions, and keep it close. So I am hedging my bets with:
6 PT Tease: ATL +17.5/Over 50
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GL Everybody! NFL '09 YTD Overall: 41-33-1 +5.4 units CFB '09 YTD 36-36-4 -3.4 units MLB '09 YTD (started 7/20) 96-96-7 +10.03 units |
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