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Old 12-17-2009, 05:15 PM
Stifler's Mom's Avatar
Stifler's Mom Stifler's Mom is offline
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Default Week 15 Thurs

Jacksonville +4.5 -132

3 units


This line is available at Sportbet, for anyone wondering how I got such a wacky line.

Now as for why, I believe that 4 is the biggest key number in football. Not 3, and sure as hell not 7. I could have gotten +3.5 -110, +4 -125, or +4.5 -132. Now for 7 more cents, I'll take that hook off the 4. I believe that +4.5 could be so valuable in this game if the Colts bring their game to win, that it is worth the extra 22 cents to get from +3.5 to +4.5, reason being that if the Colts require a late score to win, which certainly wouldn't be the first time this year, and they get it, also wouldn't be the first time, there is virtually no way they cover -4.5.

If they are down 2, they probably settle for the winning FG, win by 1. If they are down 3 or more, and get the TD, they win by a max of 4.

Therefore, weather it's a smart idea or not, I am paying a little more to protect myself against what many fear.....another great Manning comeback win.

I just don't see this being a lopsided game.

Now with that being said, and jackass Lang on Jacksonville, 41-3 Colts sounds about right
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Old 12-17-2009, 05:26 PM
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Also played Pittsburgh at -1 for 4 units, but wanted to get it out there now so there's no line controversy, as I'm thinking it might move up to as much as -3 till game time across the board, since some books are already -1.5 and -2.

To keep a long story short for now, I think this is the perfect spot to jump on Pittsburgh, and the perfect team against which to do it. I think GB has overachieved, and their road wins are total ****.

Will repost it on Sunday, possibly with some more reasoning if i get a chance, but Pittsburgh is without a doubt my favorite play of the week, so i figured i'd throw it out there.
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Old 12-17-2009, 06:25 PM
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100% with you on Pitt, leaning Jax tonight as well. Good luck
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Old 12-17-2009, 10:04 PM
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you're looking like a genius right about now. My lame brain went with the + odds at 3
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Old 12-17-2009, 10:13 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stifler's Mom View Post
Jacksonville +4.5 -132

3 units




Very nice Stif
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Old 12-18-2009, 04:06 AM
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Very nice job!!
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Old 12-18-2009, 10:03 AM
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great play on jax, stif, and excellent reasonning as to why you played it that way.
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