Week 16

[Stifler's Mom]

Tennessee -3 +105

3 units

[Stifler's Mom]

Not even close

Sunday:

New England Patriots -9.5

This looks awful fishy. Why the hell are the ho hum so so Patsies laying nearly double digits to a respectable Jags team who is just outside looking in for the playoffs at spot #7?

Another ridiculous Brady line? Maybe.

But then again, I think the lines have long since caught up to NE. It's not like they have been huge faves every week lately, and it seems they haven't been covering too often either. As a matter of fact it appears they have not covered since Nov 22 vs NYJ. That makes them 0-4 L4 ATS.

I'm reading this line as the books think NE rolls the FLA team at home in late DEC, and laying the pts.

Carolina Panthers +8.5 -105

So now all of a sudden the Giants blow out Washington, whom they always own, and their woes are fixed? I don't think so, so I'll grab the generous points and look for a game Carolina team to be at the very least competitive, like always.

Houston Texases +3 -115

Available at SIA at the time I started writing this, but I know it's already dropped to +1 at most books, and will probably drop at SIA too.

Hate to see Lang a Wang on this, but I think that if Houston can actually play 60 minutes, they win this SU. That is a BIG IF however.

With that being said, and having to give much credit to the Dolphins for going on this year without first Noodle Arm, and then Ronnie Brown, I think today is the day Houston finally brings it for a full game with a chance to leapfrog just about everyone ahead of them in the playoff picture (assuming a few things happen in their favor such as NE beating JAX) and beats a game Miami team outright.

Buffalo Bills +9.5 -120

Back up QB theory. I mean Buffalo has been competitive with Fitzpatrick, and without risk of throwing a jinx on, how could Brohm really be any worse?

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 +100

Maybe I'm missing the wagon on this team, but the Baltimore Raisins don't do much for me. I think the fact that they have a winning record is a farce, and that they are fully capable of choking away that wild card berth, starting this week @ PIT.

Pittsburgh has been far less than great lately as well, but the Steelers are still 5-2 at home while Baltimore is only 2-4 on the road, and it's difficult to beat a div rival 2x in the same season, especially with the 2nd time on the road.

If Pittsburgh could find a way to play the 4th qtr, they would be nearly undefeated, so I'm hoping they can carry the momentum over today.

NY Jets +5 -105

Again, this line is available at SIA as of the time I'm writing this. I saw it as low as +3.5 at Pinnacle. Don't know what it will do at SIA, but I grabbed it while it was still there.

This is a bad matchup for Indy even if they do try to win all out. If they rest anyone at all, that's just a bonus to me.

With that being said, the Colts injury list is long, and I suspect they will rest guys who are not healthy, or at the least have them see limited action, while playing those who are healthy. The only one anyone really seems to care about is Manning, and he will play it seems (which i think is wise by Indy), but if you look over their injury list and those who are on it (Freeney, Addai, Brackett, Garcon, Session, Bethea, etc) their roster starts to become quite depleted.

I don't like the Jets all that much overall as a team, but their #1 ranked D matches up well here, imo.

Philadelphia Eagles -7 +100

Too many playmakers for Philly, and Orton really isn't the guy I'd want back there under pressure from the Philly blitz packages on the road. Philly is one of the best teams in the league, imo, and should win by DD here against an up and down Denver team that I don't think most people (including myself) are really sure what to think of.

The veteran leadership of the Iggles and homefield advantage cannot be discounted either. Philly is a team getting hot at the right time while others (Aints and Viqueens most notably) are cooling off, and will be bringing it today with still having a shot at the #2 seed.

On a side note, I really like how a trip to the super bowl lines up for Philly right now, and I got down on them @ +1000 to win it all for 1 unit before the odds get any worse.

Washington Redskins +7

How quickly everyone forgets how tough the Skins D has been and how far their offense has come. Or how piss poor Romo and the Cowgirls are in December. I haven't forgotten any of those things, and I like Washington to win this one and remind everyone both why they were betting against Dallas last week and got burned at New Orleans, and why they got burned betting ON Washington vs NYG.

One game is just that, one game.

3 team ml parlay @ +115: Cleveland -170/GB -800/NE -500

Oakland to win 2 straight road games outright? I'll take my chances against that.

NE reasoning above, and Seattle to win @ GB seems a bit far fetched when you consider how wonderful Seattle has been on the road, especially in a 1pm start in what i would assume is going to be cold GB weather, and with the Pack looking to bounce back off a SU loss.

3 units each

I know these parlays are out there, and have little to no chance of hitting, but....

3 team ml parlay: Houston +120/NY Jets +200/Washington +265 @ +2309

6 team parlay: Carolina +8.5 -105/Houston +3 -115/Pittsburgh -3 +100/Buffalo +9.5 -120/NY Jets +5 -105/Washington +7 -105 @ +5002

Philly to win SB +1000

1 unit each

[Stifler's Mom]

MNF:

Chicago +9 -120

4 units