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Old 12-29-2009, 07:04 PM
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Default Interesting Week17/Playoff scenarios

Was farting around and just figured out that there is a very good possibility we may see rematches from Week17 in possibly 2 or even 3 of the Wild Card matchups.

Green Bay @ Arizona Week 17:......these 2 teams will match up again in Arizona in the wildcard round unless Minnesota loses at home to the NYG (and i don't see that happening). Could be the 3/6 or 4/5 but only thing preventing a rematch is Minnesota losing.

Cincinnati @ NYJets Week 17:.........if the Jets beat the Bengals then no matter what happens in any other game, these 2 teams will rematch in the wild card round in Cincinnati.

Philadelphia @ Dallas Week 17:........if Dallas beats the Eagles and Minnesota wins (which i think they will) then these 2 teams will rematch in Dallas in the first round of the playoffs as either the 3/6 or 4/5 matchup.

New England @ Houston Week 17:.....by far the most far fetched rematch but if Houston wins and Cincinnati loses and some other teams lose ahead of Houston and they sneak in, they would rematch in New England in the Wild card round.


Not sure this has any Week 17 handicapping impact but i don't ever recall it happening like this before.

If i had to go out on a limb i would say Minnesota wins as does Dallas and we end up with 3 rematches. Cincinnati is reportedly going to bench Palmer and most of the regulars and i really don't see them winning in New York. Plus i think they wouldn't mind a first round matchup with the Jets and the rookie Sanchez. I don't see them going into Cincinnati in the wild card round and winning a road playoff game.
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Old 12-29-2009, 09:59 PM
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Old 12-29-2009, 10:16 PM
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I saw smooth44 posting legit plays at another site, so it makes sense along the veins of where there's smoke there's fire.
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Old 12-29-2009, 10:26 PM
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Pretty crazy scenarios. Just looked through all of them and it's insane. Houston still a longshot to get in lol. AFC is so messed up, more than a couple teams will be heartbroken come sunday night. I think it would be best to see Pitt in there- first because he's the best qb of the teams on the outside looking in. Second, because they are a team that always plays great playoff games. I'm thinking about throwing down on some futures this playoff season. Should be some good opportunities and plenty of dog moneylines to hit



Anyone with takes on week 17 matchups? There always seems to be a dog that should get pounded play the spoiler. It could be a profitable week for dog mls, IMO.


Raiders+10.5- wut. I thought this line would be 7 max. Inflated as hell. Ravens are a 2-5 road team. I know, i know, all 5 losses were to playoff bound teams (&Pitt). Well the Raiders have beat the Broncos, Pitt, Cincy and Philly. Not a stretch for me to see them come with their A game off a really bad road loss, which fwiw was their 2nd straight road game off a 1 pt win as a dog. Not the best of spots. Looking at the Raiders schedule it is clear to me they can play well in the right spot. 4 pt loss to SD. Denver beat them bad at home in a letdown spot of division road win. Win vs Philly came off a blowout road loss to NYG. I am thinking of backing Frye and the S&B. Only thing that scares me is the Ravens haven't lost to a "bad" team all season....


Panthers- Revenge for Carolina and they played NO tough the first time. Panthers should be able to run on NO, and Moore has looked good. I think there's definite motivation for them to play, a chance to give the Saints 3 straight losses going into the playoffs? However, the Panthers could very well lay an egg. I'm always leery of backing a team that won su as a dog the week previous. Still looks like a decent spot to back the Panthers in some form. Maybe team total if it's not inflated.
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Old 12-31-2009, 12:57 AM
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Pretty crazy scenarios. Just looked through all of them and it's insane. Houston still a longshot to get in lol. AFC is so messed up, more than a couple teams will be heartbroken come sunday night. I think it would be best to see Pitt in there- first because he's the best qb of the teams on the outside looking in. Second, because they are a team that always plays great playoff games. I'm thinking about throwing down on some futures this playoff season. Should be some good opportunities and plenty of dog moneylines to hit



Anyone with takes on week 17 matchups? There always seems to be a dog that should get pounded play the spoiler. It could be a profitable week for dog mls, IMO.


Raiders+10.5- wut. I thought this line would be 7 max. Inflated as hell. Ravens are a 2-5 road team. I know, i know, all 5 losses were to playoff bound teams (&Pitt). Well the Raiders have beat the Broncos, Pitt, Cincy and Philly. Not a stretch for me to see them come with their A game off a really bad road loss, which fwiw was their 2nd straight road game off a 1 pt win as a dog. Not the best of spots. Looking at the Raiders schedule it is clear to me they can play well in the right spot. 4 pt loss to SD. Denver beat them bad at home in a letdown spot of division road win. Win vs Philly came off a blowout road loss to NYG. I am thinking of backing Frye and the S&B. Only thing that scares me is the Ravens haven't lost to a "bad" team all season....


Panthers- Revenge for Carolina and they played NO tough the first time. Panthers should be able to run on NO, and Moore has looked good. I think there's definite motivation for them to play, a chance to give the Saints 3 straight losses going into the playoffs? However, the Panthers could very well lay an egg. I'm always leery of backing a team that won su as a dog the week previous. Still looks like a decent spot to back the Panthers in some form. Maybe team total if it's not inflated.

Udoggiedog- hope you had a good xmas.

Some random thoughts.

CAR has played 2 great games in a row and i am waiting for Moore to come back down to earth. Possibly no Williams again and Steve Smith is out with a broken arm. That changes things quickly on the offensive side of the ball for CAR IMO. Plus i really think that NO will look to right some things in this last game. They don't want to go into the postseason with all kinds of question marks. No line on that game, though.

I think a lot of these lines are based on perception. I actually like some of the totals this week. If CIN benches a lot of their regulars i love the Under35 in that game. Neither of these teams score when they do play their starters let alone with a 2nd string QB and a bunch of backups running routes. Also like the Falcons/Bucs over41. Neither of these teams have anything to play for and both offenses seem to be waking up with Ryan back now and having a game or 2 under his belt. Should be a wide open finale IMO.

I would also back the seachickens if anyone could convince me they haven't quit on the season yet. Hasslecrap has been just awful, though, with 4-pick games in his last 2 i believe. Might look at the Over in that one if once again anyone could convince me that SEA could move the ball and if dumb **** Mora would play Forsett and not the orange traffic cone Julius Jones.


Might also be a good weekend for some ML parlays. NYJ/MIN/DEN would be a very good one IMO. NYJ are a win or go home situation and again the Bengals are reportedly resting their team. And the Vikings play early and won't know the outcome of the PHI/DAL game (late game) or the Arizona/GB game (late game) which means as far as they are concerned they are still playing for a 2nd seed if the Eagles go down in flames. And the NYG just suck complete ass. If they didn't put up a fight last week i don't see it this week. And I really don't see KC going into DEN as a 14 point dog and winning outright to knock the Broncos out of the playoffs. And keep in mind that the NYJ game is a late late last game of the day game and the Ravens play at the same time as DEN so that game WILL have meaning as far as i can tell.
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Old 12-31-2009, 10:36 AM
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FF hope you're enjoying the holidays



Regarding Saints/Panthers, it's been reported that Sean Payton said the team will go all out week 17, in an effort to get back on track and correct things before it gets serious. I have to agree that they should go all out, no way you want to go into the playoffs losing 3 straight. At the same time it would be quitesoul crushing if they did go all out and lost anyway... very curious to see what NO plans to do because the Panthers have a D that can get after people, and if Brees starts getting touched, plans could change quickly.

Moore may regress a bit with Smith out, but really for me it would be a play on the Panthers defense and run game. The Panthers have allowed over 10 pts just once in the last 4 games. I'm fine with Williams missing, Stewart is a more than capable back. over 100 yards in 3 of last 4 (he only got 7 carries @NE). The Saints allowed 176 yds rushing 5.2 ypc vs TB, and 145 yds/4ypc vs Dallas. They nearly lost @ATL with Redman @qb and no Turner. They should have lost to Washington if they weren't so inept. Unless the Saints just come out on fire defensively and shut down the run, I still think the Panthers win this one. I would think this is a -3 line or so, with the winner covering the spread....
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